EPM projection: 2026–27 record, every game

HOOP IMPACT BENCHlast updated Nov 1, 10:05 AM ETSOURCE ↗GITHUB ↗

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·EPM projection·Danny Harlan·github.com/dannyharlan05/nba-epm-projections ↗

Record · 61–27

3 of 10 · pct .693 · l10 8–2 · W4← LIVE

margin r² .184 (.107–.277) · win % r .584 · net err 11.30 · avg miss 11.59

date	game	pred	pick	final	margin	miss
Oct 31	OKC @ HOU	+1.9	HOU	98–119	+21	19.1	✓
Oct 31	MIN @ SAS	+17.1	SAS	111–121	+10	7.1	✓
Oct 31	CLE @ MIL	−6.3	CLE	136–111	−25	18.7	✓
Oct 31	SAC @ MEM	+4.3	MEM	105–136	+31	26.8	✓
Oct 31	ATL @ NOP	−4.0	ATL	99–121	+22	26.1	✗
Oct 31	PHI @ CHA	−2.5	PHI	109–104	−5	2.5	✓
Oct 31	POR @ UTA	−2.1	POR	112–90	−22	19.9	✓
Oct 30	DEN @ PHX	−7.2	DEN	127–120	−7	0.3	✓
Oct 30	LAL @ GSW	−3.2	LAL	95–112	+17	20.2	✗
Oct 30	LAC @ MIN	+3.6	MIN	101–127	+26	22.4	✓
Oct 30	HOU @ DAL	−9.7	HOU	111–116	+5	14.7	✗
Oct 30	IND @ MIA	+10.6	MIA	125–145	+20	9.4	✓
Oct 30	ORL @ TOR	+1.3	TOR	121–114	−7	8.3	✗
Oct 30	NYK @ PHI	−1.4	NYK	93–98	+5	6.5	✗
Oct 30	DET @ BKN	−10.1	DET	110–94	−16	5.9	✓
Oct 30	CHI @ BOS	+12.7	BOS	111–125	+14	1.3	✓
Oct 30	CHA @ WAS	−1.7	CHA	79–95	+16	17.7	✗
Oct 29	MEM @ POR	+0.2	POR	124–103	−21	21.2	✗
Oct 29	SAC @ NOP	+3.1	NOP	120–132	+12	8.9	✓
Oct 29	CLE @ ATL	−3.0	CLE	111–114	+3	6.0	✗
Oct 28	LAL @ LAC	−1.4	LAL	103–87	−16	14.6	✓
Oct 28	OKC @ DAL	−7.8	OKC	96–120	+24	31.8	✗
Oct 28	SAS @ UTA	−22.0	SAS	117–111	−6	16.0	✓
Oct 28	DEN @ NOP	−8.2	DEN	104–91	−13	4.8	✓
Oct 28	GSW @ MIN	−1.1	GSW	119–114	−5	3.9	✓
Oct 28	HOU @ MIL	−7.6	HOU	132–100	−32	24.4	✓
Oct 28	NYK @ CHI	−8.0	NYK	133–127	−6	2.0	✓
Oct 28	ORL @ TOR	−0.4	ORL	99–129	+30	30.4	✗
Oct 28	PHI @ IND	−12.4	PHI	114–109	−5	7.4	✓
Oct 28	CHA @ DET	+6.8	DET	89–97	+8	1.2	✓
Oct 28	WAS @ CLE	+7.8	CLE	111–121	+10	2.2	✓
Oct 28	MIA @ ATL	−2.0	MIA	129–117	−12	10.0	✓
Oct 27	POR @ LAL	+1.1	LAL	136–129	−7	8.1	✗
Oct 27	SAC @ SAS	+17.7	SAS	103–130	+27	9.3	✓
Oct 27	DET @ NYK	+4.3	NYK	97–111	+14	9.7	✓
Oct 27	BKN @ BOS	+14.3	BOS	124–125	+1	13.3	✓
Oct 26	GSW @ DEN	+6.2	DEN	134–114	−20	26.2	✗
Oct 26	MEM @ UTA	−8.1	MEM	110–105	−5	3.1	✓
Oct 26	ATL @ HOU	+2.6	HOU	110–120	+10	7.4	✓
Oct 26	PHX @ OKC	+4.7	OKC	114–125	+11	6.3	✓
Oct 26	IND @ MIL	+2.3	MIL	102–110	+8	5.7	✓
Oct 26	DAL @ MIA	+10.4	MIA	113–109	−4	14.3	✗
Oct 26	CHI @ BOS	+11.5	BOS	99–134	+35	23.5	✓
Oct 26	MIN @ CLE	+2.4	CLE	125–127	+2	0.4	✓
Oct 26	WAS @ CHA	+2.2	CHA	103–110	+7	4.8	✓
Oct 25	MEM @ SAC	−7.1	MEM	123–112	−11	3.9	✓
Oct 25	DET @ PHI	+0.2	PHI	106–93	−13	13.2	✗
Oct 25	LAC @ OKC	+17.9	OKC	101–108	+7	10.9	✓
Oct 25	TOR @ MIN	−0.6	TOR	94–117	+23	23.6	✗
Oct 25	ORL @ NYK	+2.8	NYK	111–102	−9	11.8	✗
Oct 25	IND @ BKN	−3.5	IND	136–109	−27	23.5	✓
Oct 25	LAL @ UTA	−6.1	LAL	132–123	−9	2.9	✓
Oct 24	GSW @ PHX	+9.1	PHX	122–131	+9	0.1	✓
Oct 24	NOP @ DEN	+9.5	DEN	135–141	+6	3.5	✓
Oct 24	SAS @ DAL	−18.3	SAS	122–106	−16	2.3	✓
Oct 24	WAS @ CHI	−0.6	WAS	124–120	−4	3.4	✓
Oct 24	HOU @ ATL	−4.2	HOU	121–114	−7	2.8	✓
Oct 24	MIL @ PHI	+9.8	PHI	116–127	+11	1.3	✓
Oct 24	BKN @ CLE	+9.5	CLE	121–125	+4	5.5	✓
Oct 24	MIA @ CHA	−3.7	MIA	110–115	+5	8.7	✗
Oct 23	POR @ SAC	−7.7	POR	128–120	−8	0.3	✓
Oct 23	LAC @ LAL	+6.8	LAL	117–125	+8	1.2	✓
Oct 23	MEM @ GSW	+1.4	GSW	111–108	−3	4.4	✗
Oct 23	NOP @ UTA	−1.8	NOP	119–120	+1	2.8	✗
Oct 23	CHI @ MIL	−0.6	CHI	132–125	−7	6.4	✓
Oct 23	DET @ MIA	−1.2	DET	128–111	−17	15.8	✓
Oct 23	TOR @ WAS	−10.5	TOR	112–102	−10	0.5	✓
Oct 23	MIN @ ORL	+2.2	ORL	115–93	−22	24.2	✗
Oct 23	DAL @ IND	+3.6	IND	121–105	−16	19.6	✗
Oct 23	ATL @ CHA	−3.1	ATL	128–81	−47	43.9	✓
Oct 23	HOU @ SAS	+6.9	SAS	114–110	−4	10.9	✗
Oct 23	NYK @ BOS	+0.9	BOS	103–107	+4	3.1	✓
Oct 22	DEN @ OKC	+7.0	OKC	84–96	+12	5.0	✓
Oct 22	CLE @ PHI	+2.1	PHI	106–114	+8	5.9	✓
Oct 21	SAC @ LAC	+2.5	LAC	96–121	+25	22.6	✓
Oct 21	PHX @ POR	−0.7	PHX	83–124	+41	41.7	✗
Oct 21	DAL @ HOU	+10.9	HOU	110–128	+18	7.1	✓
Oct 21	IND @ NOP	+1.6	NOP	123–120	−3	4.6	✗
Oct 21	UTA @ MEM	+3.4	MEM	103–123	+20	16.6	✓
Oct 21	CHI @ TOR	+10.4	TOR	92–135	+43	32.6	✓
Oct 21	CHA @ BKN	−3.9	CHA	110–103	−7	3.1	✓
Oct 21	MIL @ WAS	+3.3	WAS	116–128	+12	8.7	✓
Oct 21	ATL @ ORL	+3.2	ORL	132–125	−7	10.2	✗
Oct 21	GSW @ LAL	+5.1	LAL	105–127	+22	16.9	✓
Oct 21	MIN @ MIA	+0.02	MIA	131–106	−25	25.0	✗
Oct 20	OKC @ SAS	−1.6	OKC	116–104	−12	10.3	✓
Oct 20	PHI @ NYK	−1.0	PHI	106–100	−6	5.0	✓
Oct 20	BOS @ DET	−2.4	BOS	113–121	+8	10.4	✗

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Danny Harlan's EPM projection model (github.com/dannyharlan05/nba-epm-projections), pred_epm_1y from artifacts/predictions.parquet at commit 97c0817, pushed 2026-10-20 17:03 UTC (GitHub push event), before opening night
sha256 23b7d01a01dabe11f3d36560fb2826bdd06b10c5c3d126413d04ab15503d8623
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Source: Hoop Impact Bench