DET @ BKN, Fri, Oct 30 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 30·DET @ BKN·Fri, Oct 30·10 of 10 right

DetroitPistons

110◂

BrooklynNets

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	DET	BKN	pred	pick	miss
Final			−16	DET
LOKI †	+6.1	−3.5	−9.6	DET	6.4	✓
BPM	+7.6	−6.3	−13.9	DET	2.1	✓
EPM projection	+4.9	−5.3	−10.1	DET	5.9	✓
DARKO	+4.3	−2.6	−6.9	DET	9.1	✓
OpenRAPM	+5.8	−4.6	−10.4	DET	5.6	✓
EPM	+3.6	−7.1	−10.7	DET	5.3	✓
xPM	+6.4	−1.1	−7.5	DET	8.5	✓
Pulse	+6.5	−2.8	−9.4	DET	6.6	✓
xRAPM	+7.2	−6.6	−13.8	DET	2.2	✓
LEBRON	+6.2	−5.3	−11.5	DET	4.5	✓

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

DET	rating		min		48.2		adds
Paul Reed	+3.37	×	31	÷	48.2	=	+2.17
Cade Cunningham	+4.46	×	28	÷	48.2	=	+2.59
Ausar Thompson	+3.92	×	26	÷	48.2	=	+2.12
John Collins	−0.13	×	26	÷	48.2	=	−0.07
Duncan Robinson	−0.42	×	26	÷	48.2	=	−0.22
Kevin Huerter	+1.82	×	24	÷	48.2	=	+0.90
Daniss Jenkins	−0.72	×	24	÷	48.2	=	−0.36
Javonte Green	+0.67	×	22	÷	48.2	=	+0.30
Ronald Holland II	−1.41	×	22	÷	48.2	=	−0.64
Isaac Jones	−2.00	×	3	÷	48.2	=	−0.12
Chaz Lanier	−4.82	×	3	÷	48.2	=	−0.30
Ebuka Okorie	−2.00	×	3	÷	48.2	=	−0.12
Tolu Smith	−2.00	×	3	÷	48.2	=	−0.12
DET team rating (sum)			241				+6.11

BKN	rating		min		48.4		adds
Michael Porter Jr.	+1.64	×	26	÷	48.4	=	+0.88
Nolan Traore	−3.62	×	26	÷	48.4	=	−1.95
Julius Randle	+0.96	×	25	÷	48.4	=	+0.50
Day'Ron Sharpe	+4.02	×	24	÷	48.4	=	+1.99
Chaney Johnson	−1.62	×	19	÷	48.4	=	−0.64
Moritz Wagner	−0.30	×	23	÷	48.4	=	−0.14
Mikel Brown Jr.	−2.00	×	23	÷	48.4	=	−0.95
Noah Clowney	−2.51	×	22	÷	48.4	=	−1.14
Keon Ellis	−0.13	×	21	÷	48.4	=	−0.05
Terance Mann	−2.34	×	12	÷	48.4	=	−0.58
Danny Wolf	−2.94	×	12	÷	48.4	=	−0.73
Drake Powell	−5.85	×	6	÷	48.4	=	−0.73
Josh Minott	+0.63	×	3	÷	48.4	=	+0.04
BKN team rating (sum)			242				−3.49

predicted margin = BKN − DET = −3.49 − (+6.11) = −9.60 → pick DET

final margin = 94 − 110 = −16 → won DET ✓

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

DET	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Paul Reed	31	+3.4	+5.3	+2.0	+1.7	+3.0	+2.4	+4.3	+4.0	+2.2	+2.0
Cade Cunningham	28	+4.5	+6.3	+5.5	+3.8	+4.0	+4.1	+3.7	+4.8	+3.7	+5.4
Ausar Thompson	26	+3.9	+3.1	+3.5	+1.1	+4.8	+3.8	+3.5	+3.3	+3.2	+2.8
John Collins	26	−0.1	−0.5	−0.8	+0.3	−1.3	−1.4	+1.4	−0.2	−1.7	−0.1
Duncan Robinson	26	−0.4	+0.8	+0.4	+0.9	−0.5	+0.8	−0.8	+0.4	+1.3	+1.1
Kevin Huerter	24	+1.8	−0.6	+0.2	+0.3	+0.1	+0.6	+0.6	+0.5	+2.3	0.0
Daniss Jenkins	24	−0.7	−0.7	−1.1	−0.8	−1.8	−2.0

BKN	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Michael Porter Jr.	26	+1.6	+3.0	+2.3	+2.0	+0.7	+2.1	+0.7	+2.0	+0.6	+0.7
Nolan Traore	26	−3.6	−6.8	−4.9	−2.7	−3.6	−6.0	−3.2	−4.2	−3.2	−3.4
Julius Randle	25	+1.0	+1.5	+0.5	+0.4	+0.7	+0.2	0.0	+0.8	−0.2	+0.3
Day'Ron Sharpe	24	+4.0	+1.4	+1.2	+1.5	+2.1	+0.9	+4.7	+2.8	+2.6	+0.5
Chaney Johnson	19	−1.6	+0.1	−1.6	−0.4	−0.9	−1.2	−1.8	−0.3	−4.1	−0.9
Moritz Wagner	23	−0.3	−2.2	−0.9	−1.1	−2.5	−0.6	+0.5	−0.9	−3.3	−0.3
Mikel Brown Jr.	23	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Noah Clowney	22	−2.5	−3.4	−1.4	−1.4	−1.1	−2.0	−1.0	−1.5	−2.4	−2.8
Keon Ellis	21	−0.1	−0.5	−1.0	+0.3	−0.2	−1.6	+1.2	−0.4	+0.1	−0.2
Terance Mann	12	−2.3	−3.4	−1.7	−2.5	−1.1	−1.8	−1.2	−0.5	−1.8	−2.4
Danny Wolf	12	−2.9	−2.5	−1.9	−1.4	−2.3	−2.7	−0.4	−1.5	−1.3	−0.8
Drake Powell	6	−5.9	−6.0	−5.7	−2.7	−4.5	−7.6	−4.3	−5.5	−3.9	−4.8
Josh Minott	3	+0.6	+2.5	−1.7	+2.5	+0.6	−2.6	+2.5	+1.8	−0.1	−0.3
Team rating	242	−3.5	−6.3	−5.3	−2.6	−4.6	−7.1	−1.1	−2.8	−6.6	−5.3