CHI @ BOS, Fri, Oct 30 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 30·CHI @ BOS·Fri, Oct 30·10 of 10 right

ChicagoBulls

111

BostonCeltics

125▸

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	CHI	BOS	pred	pick	miss
Final			+14	BOS
LOKI †	−1.2	+7.7	+8.9	BOS	5.1	✓
BPM	−3.4	+10.8	+14.2	BOS	0.2	✓
EPM projection	−2.2	+10.5	+12.7	BOS	1.3	✓
DARKO	−3.2	+9.5	+12.7	BOS	1.3	✓
OpenRAPM	−3.8	+7.3	+11.1	BOS	2.9	✓
EPM	−3.8	+10.8	+14.6	BOS	0.6	✓
xPM	−2.1	+8.5	+10.6	BOS	3.4	✓
Pulse	−4.0	+8.4	+12.3	BOS	1.7	✓
xRAPM	−3.2	+12.1	+15.3	BOS	1.3	✓
LEBRON	−3.2	+10.0	+13.2	BOS	0.8	✓

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

CHI	rating		min		47.8		adds
Caleb Wilson	−2.00	×	31	÷	47.8	=	−1.30
Norman Powell	−0.04	×	31	÷	47.8	=	−0.02
Jalen Smith	+2.64	×	27	÷	47.8	=	+1.49
Josh Giddey	+2.20	×	25	÷	47.8	=	+1.15
Matas Buzelis	−0.78	×	20	÷	47.8	=	−0.33
Tre Jones	+2.32	×	20	÷	47.8	=	+0.97
Isaac Okoro	−1.49	×	18	÷	47.8	=	−0.56
Buddy Hield	−2.19	×	17	÷	47.8	=	−0.78
Noa Essengue	−2.00	×	16	÷	47.8	=	−0.67
Tobe Awaka	−2.00	×	12	÷	47.8	=	−0.50
Leonard Miller	+0.06	×	11	÷	47.8	=	+0.01
Jordan Hawkins	−3.94	×	6	÷	47.8	=	−0.49
Jaylin Sellers	−2.00	×	3	÷	47.8	=	−0.13
Zach Collins	−2.00	×	2	÷	47.8	=	−0.08
CHI team rating (sum)			239				−1.24

BOS	rating		min		48.2		adds
Jayson Tatum	+4.59	×	35	÷	48.2	=	+3.33
Paul George	+1.13	×	27	÷	48.2	=	+0.63
Derrick White	+3.76	×	26	÷	48.2	=	+2.03
Mitchell Robinson	+1.53	×	19	÷	48.2	=	+0.60
Jordan Walsh	−2.05	×	11	÷	48.2	=	−0.47
Payton Pritchard	+1.53	×	35	÷	48.2	=	+1.11
Baylor Scheierman	−1.42	×	23	÷	48.2	=	−0.68
Neemias Queta	+3.56	×	20	÷	48.2	=	+1.48
Sam Hauser	+0.53	×	18	÷	48.2	=	+0.20
Hugo González	−1.10	×	15	÷	48.2	=	−0.34
Luka Garza	+0.02	×	7	÷	48.2	=	0.00
Ron Harper Jr.	−1.76	×	3	÷	48.2	=	−0.11
Chris Cenac Jr.	−2.00	×	2	÷	48.2	=	−0.08
BOS team rating (sum)			241				+7.70

predicted margin = BOS − CHI = +7.70 − (−1.24) = +8.94 → pick BOS

final margin = 125 − 111 = +14 → won BOS ✓

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

CHI	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Caleb Wilson	31	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Norman Powell	31	0.0	+1.6	+1.1	+0.8	+0.2	+1.0	−1.2	+0.4	+1.4	+0.6
Jalen Smith	27	+2.6	−0.7	+1.9	+1.3	+0.9	+2.4	+1.9	+1.4	+2.4	+1.3
Josh Giddey	25	+2.2	+2.7	+1.6	+0.1	+0.1	+0.9	+1.7	+0.1	+0.6	+0.5
Matas Buzelis	20	−0.8	−1.0	−0.3	−1.2	0.0	−2.0	+0.5	−0.5	−2.6	−0.8
Tre Jones	20

BOS	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Jayson Tatum	35	+4.6	+4.8	+5.9	+5.0	+1.7	+5.4	+4.7	+2.8	+4.4	+3.9
Paul George	27	+1.1	+1.7	+1.2	+1.9	−0.1	+1.2	+1.5	+2.3	+1.4	+1.7
Derrick White	26	+3.8	+3.2	+3.3	+2.5	+3.0	+3.3	+2.8	+4.1	+4.4	+4.6
Mitchell Robinson	19	+1.5	+3.5	+2.4	+2.7	+3.3	+3.5	+3.5	+2.7	+1.1	+2.2
Jordan Walsh	11	−2.1	+0.2	−0.5	+0.5	+1.8	−1.0	−0.7	−0.7	+1.2	−0.5
Payton Pritchard	35	+1.5	+2.3	+2.8	+1.5	+0.8	+2.6	+0.7	+0.4	+2.4	+1.9
Baylor Scheierman	23	−1.4	+0.6	+0.5	+0.1	+0.3	+0.7	−0.6	+0.1	+2.0	−0.3
Neemias Queta	20	+3.6	+2.8	+2.2	+2.4	+4.4	+3.3	+4.4	+4.4	+4.0	+3.7
Sam Hauser	18	+0.5	+0.6	+0.6	+0.6	0.0	+0.9	+0.1	0.0	+0.9	+0.6
Hugo González	15	−1.1	−1.5	−1.0	−0.9	+1.1	−1.5	−2.4	−1.2	+1.8	−0.1
Luka Garza	7	0.0	+2.4	+1.0	+1.4	+0.8	+1.0	+2.1	+1.3	+0.3	+0.6
Ron Harper Jr.	3	−1.8	+1.1	−2.5	+0.4	−2.1	−2.8	−2.6	−0.3	−3.2	−0.4
Chris Cenac Jr.	2	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Team rating	241	+7.7	+10.8	+10.5	+9.5	+7.3	+10.8	+8.5	+8.4	+12.1	+10.0