POR @ LAL, Tue, Oct 27 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 27·POR @ LAL·Tue, Oct 27·1 of 10 right

PortlandTrail Blazers

136◂

Los AngelesLakers

129

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	POR	LAL	pred	pick	miss
Final			−7	POR
LOKI †	+4.3	+7.2	+2.9	LAL	9.9	✗
BPM	+2.3	+9.3	+7.0	LAL	14.0	✗
EPM projection	+4.3	+5.4	+1.1	LAL	8.1	✗
DARKO	+4.1	+4.2	+0.1	LAL	7.1	✗
OpenRAPM	+1.0	+4.2	+3.1	LAL	10.1	✗
EPM	+3.8	+2.5	−1.3	POR	5.7	✓
xPM	+4.3	+5.3	+1.0	LAL	8.0	✗
Pulse	+4.0	+7.3	+3.3	LAL	10.3	✗
xRAPM	+3.1	+5.3	+2.2	LAL	9.2	✗
LEBRON	+3.2	+3.6	+0.4	LAL	7.4	✗

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

POR	rating		min		48		adds
Deni Avdija	+2.47	×	33	÷	48	=	+1.70
Damian Lillard	−2.00	×	31	÷	48	=	−1.29
Ja Morant	+3.22	×	31	÷	48	=	+2.08
Donovan Clingan	+1.82	×	26	÷	48	=	+0.98
Toumani Camara	+1.41	×	24	÷	48	=	+0.70
Jrue Holiday	+1.41	×	30	÷	48	=	+0.88
Robert Williams III	+2.60	×	21	÷	48	=	+1.14
Sidy Cissoko	−2.99	×	20	÷	48	=	−1.24
Scoot Henderson	−1.08	×	17	÷	48	=	−0.38
Vít Krejčí	−1.61	×	7	÷	48	=	−0.23
POR team rating (sum)			240				+4.33

LAL	rating		min		48.2		adds
Austin Reaves	+2.82	×	39	÷	48.2	=	+2.28
Luka Dončić	+7.57	×	37	÷	48.2	=	+5.81
Walker Kessler	−2.00	×	33	÷	48.2	=	−1.37
Ziaire Williams	−1.36	×	29	÷	48.2	=	−0.82
Matisse Thybulle	+2.03	×	22	÷	48.2	=	+0.93
Sandro Mamukelashvili	+1.86	×	24	÷	48.2	=	+0.93
Quentin Grimes	−0.14	×	19	÷	48.2	=	−0.06
Jake LaRavia	−0.78	×	19	÷	48.2	=	−0.31
Collin Sexton	−0.55	×	14	÷	48.2	=	−0.16
Kevon Looney	−0.54	×	5	÷	48.2	=	−0.06
LAL team rating (sum)			241				+7.18

predicted margin = LAL − POR = +7.18 − (+4.33) = +2.85 → pick LAL

final margin = 129 − 136 = −7 → won POR ✗

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

POR	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Deni Avdija	33	+2.5	+4.3	+3.1	+1.9	+1.6	+2.6	+1.6	+2.4	+0.9	+1.7
Damian Lillard	31	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Ja Morant	31	+3.2	−1.5	+2.6	+1.9	−0.9	+1.9	+2.5	+0.9	+1.2	+1.5
Donovan Clingan	26	+1.8	+3.0	+3.0	+1.3	+3.7	+3.3	+2.4	+2.5	+2.0	+3.4
Toumani Camara	24	+1.4	−1.0	+1.8	+1.1	+1.2	+1.9	+0.8	+0.3	+1.5	0.0
Jrue Holiday	30

LAL	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Austin Reaves	39	+2.8	+2.8	+3.6	+1.9	+0.7	+3.2	+2.4	+3.9	+2.6	+2.4
Luka Dončić	37	+7.6	+9.3	+8.3	+5.1	+5.3	+6.9	+5.6	+6.1	+6.0	+5.2
Walker Kessler	33	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Ziaire Williams	29	−1.4	−1.7	−1.3	−1.1	−0.4	−1.6	−1.2	−0.5	−1.0	−1.2
Matisse Thybulle	22	+2.0	+4.4	−1.4	+0.8	+2.7	−1.4	−0.1	+2.3	−0.4	+0.8
Sandro Mamukelashvili	24	+1.9	+2.8	+0.2	+1.5	+0.9	−0.5	+2.5	+1.1	+2.2	+1.6
Quentin Grimes	19	−0.1	−1.6	−0.9	−0.9	−1.7	−2.1	0.0	0.0	−0.2	−1.5
Jake LaRavia	19	−0.8	−1.2	−1.3	+0.3	+1.4	−2.1	−0.2	−0.4	+0.2	−1.2
Collin Sexton	14	−0.5	+0.6	−1.0	+0.1	−0.9	−2.0	−0.4	−0.5	−1.0	−0.9
Kevon Looney	5	−0.5	−1.8	−0.2	−0.3	−0.9	+0.7	+1.1	−1.5	−0.6	−0.4
Team rating	241	+7.2	+9.3	+5.4	+4.2	+4.2	+2.5	+5.3	+7.3	+5.3	+3.6