CLE @ PHI, Thu, Oct 22 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 22·CLE @ PHI·Thu, Oct 22·4 of 10 right

ClevelandCavaliers

106

Philadelphia76ers

114▸

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	CLE	PHI	pred	pick	miss
Final			+8	PHI
LOKI †	+8.5	+7.2	−1.2	CLE	9.3	✗
BPM	+8.6	+10.5	+1.8	PHI	6.2	✓
EPM projection	+7.7	+9.8	+2.1	PHI	5.9	✓
DARKO	+7.1	+7.3	+0.1	PHI	7.9	✓
OpenRAPM	+6.0	+3.4	−2.7	CLE	10.7	✗
EPM	+6.4	+7.2	+0.7	PHI	7.3	✓
xPM	+6.5	+4.8	−1.7	CLE	9.7	✗
Pulse	+6.8	+3.1	−3.6	CLE	11.6	✗
xRAPM	+6.1	+3.3	−2.9	CLE	10.9	✗
LEBRON	+6.9	+5.6	−1.3	CLE	9.3	✗

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

CLE	rating		min		48		adds
Donovan Mitchell	+5.71	×	35	÷	48	=	+4.16
Evan Mobley	+3.23	×	34	÷	48	=	+2.29
James Harden	+0.79	×	33	÷	48	=	+0.54
Peyton Watson	+0.20	×	30	÷	48	=	+0.12
Jarrett Allen	+5.01	×	28	÷	48	=	+2.92
Sam Merrill	−0.09	×	24	÷	48	=	−0.05
Jaylon Tyson	−0.95	×	24	÷	48	=	−0.47
Mario Hezonja	−2.00	×	19	÷	48	=	−0.79
Craig Porter Jr.	−0.55	×	8	÷	48	=	−0.09
Tyrese Proctor	−1.61	×	5	÷	48	=	−0.17
CLE team rating (sum)			240				+8.46

PHI	rating		min		48		adds
Tyrese Maxey	+3.39	×	42	÷	48	=	+2.97
Jaylen Brown	+0.17	×	38	÷	48	=	+0.13
Joel Embiid	+5.69	×	34	÷	48	=	+4.03
LeBron James	+1.67	×	33	÷	48	=	+1.15
VJ Edgecombe	+0.56	×	33	÷	48	=	+0.38
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	−1.48	×	25	÷	48	=	−0.77
Anfernee Simons	−0.64	×	17	÷	48	=	−0.23
Adem Bona	−1.25	×	14	÷	48	=	−0.37
Jabari Walker	−1.10	×	4	÷	48	=	−0.09
PHI team rating (sum)			240				+7.21

predicted margin = PHI − CLE = +7.21 − (+8.46) = −1.25 → pick CLE

final margin = 114 − 106 = +8 → won PHI ✗

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

CLE	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Donovan Mitchell	35	+5.7	+5.1	+4.7	+4.4	+3.5	+4.1	+3.5	+4.7	+4.0	+3.4
Evan Mobley	34	+3.2	+3.0	+2.4	+2.7	+2.5	+1.6	+2.5	+3.0	+2.1	+3.1
James Harden	33	+0.8	+3.9	+2.3	+3.2	+2.5	+2.0	+0.6	+1.3	+0.6	+2.1
Peyton Watson	30	+0.2	−1.2	−0.5	−1.1	+0.1	−0.8	−0.4	−0.7	−1.5	−1.3
Jarrett Allen	28	+5.0	+2.6	+5.1	+3.0	+2.9	+5.5	+4.7	+1.4	+3.1	+2.1
Sam Merrill	24	−0.1	+0.1	+0.5	+0.2	−1.1	+0.9	+0.4	+1.5	+2.6	+1.3
Jaylon Tyson	24	−0.9	+0.1	−1.0	−0.5	−0.8	−1.6

PHI	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Tyrese Maxey	42	+3.4	+5.4	+3.3	+2.5	+2.3	+1.9	+1.5	+2.0	+3.5	+2.9
Jaylen Brown	38	+0.2	+3.3	+1.7	+2.7	+1.5	+1.1	+1.2	+1.2	−0.6	+1.5
Joel Embiid	34	+5.7	+4.9	+5.0	+4.1	+1.8	+4.7	+5.7	+3.8	+2.1	+1.7
LeBron James	33	+1.7	+3.5	+2.3	+2.3	+0.3	+2.0	−0.2	+1.0	+0.5	+2.5
VJ Edgecombe	33	+0.6	−0.5	+2.5	−0.7	+0.4	+1.4	+0.1	−0.8	+1.1	0.0
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	25	−1.5	−2.5	−1.1	−0.6	−1.5	−0.2	−1.5	−2.0	−1.3	−1.3
Anfernee Simons	17	−0.6	−0.1	−1.0	−1.1	−2.5	−0.9	−1.6	−2.0	−1.3	0.0
Adem Bona	14	−1.3	−2.9	−0.8	−1.1	+0.6	−1.1	+0.2	−2.1	−2.4	−0.9
Jabari Walker	4	−1.1	−2.7	−2.4	−0.7	−1.7	−2.6	−1.5	−1.9	−0.7	−1.4
Team rating	240	+7.2	+10.5	+9.8	+7.3	+3.4	+7.2	+4.8	+3.1	+3.3	+5.6