SAC @ LAC, Wed, Oct 21 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 21·SAC @ LAC·Wed, Oct 21·10 of 10 right

SacramentoKings

LAClippers

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Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	SAC	LAC	pred	pick	miss
Final			+25	LAC
LOKI †	−3.7	−1.9	+1.7	LAC	23.3	✓
BPM	−10.5	−7.8	+2.7	LAC	22.4	✓
EPM projection	−5.0	−2.6	+2.5	LAC	22.6	✓
DARKO	−5.8	−1.9	+4.0	LAC	21.0	✓
OpenRAPM	−8.4	−3.8	+4.6	LAC	20.4	✓
EPM	−5.8	−3.3	+2.5	LAC	22.5	✓
xPM	−4.3	−4.1	+0.1	LAC	24.9	✓
Pulse	−5.7	−5.2	+0.5	LAC	24.5	✓
xRAPM	−7.9	−1.2	+6.7	LAC	18.3	✓
LEBRON	−4.6	−4.6	+0.04	LAC	25.0	✓

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

SAC	rating		min		48		adds
Darius Acuff Jr.	−2.00	×	35	÷	48	=	−1.46
Domantas Sabonis	+2.07	×	34	÷	48	=	+1.47
Zach LaVine	+0.21	×	34	÷	48	=	+0.15
Keegan Murray	−0.02	×	28	÷	48	=	−0.01
De'Andre Hunter	−1.85	×	20	÷	48	=	−0.77
Precious Achiuwa	−0.76	×	29	÷	48	=	−0.46
Emanuel Sharp	−2.00	×	17	÷	48	=	−0.71
Nique Clifford	−0.37	×	17	÷	48	=	−0.13
Daeqwon Plowden	−3.51	×	13	÷	48	=	−0.95
Jonathan Mogbo	−3.52	×	8	÷	48	=	−0.59
Alex Karaban	−2.00	×	5	÷	48	=	−0.21
SAC team rating (sum)			240				−3.67

LAC	rating		min		48.2		adds
Rui Hachimura	+0.08	×	32	÷	48.2	=	+0.05
Darius Garland	+2.74	×	32	÷	48.2	=	+1.82
Kris Dunn	+0.77	×	27	÷	48.2	=	+0.43
Derrick Jones Jr.	+0.53	×	26	÷	48.2	=	+0.29
Isaiah Jackson	+0.32	×	15	÷	48.2	=	+0.10
Keaton Wagler	−2.00	×	29	÷	48.2	=	−1.20
Brook Lopez	−2.23	×	27	÷	48.2	=	−1.25
Kobe Sanders	−2.10	×	19	÷	48.2	=	−0.83
Gradey Dick	−1.89	×	19	÷	48.2	=	−0.74
Baba Miller	−2.00	×	9	÷	48.2	=	−0.37
Cam Christie	−2.37	×	2	÷	48.2	=	−0.10
Nick Martinelli	−2.00	×	2	÷	48.2	=	−0.08
Jalen Pickett	−0.88	×	2	÷	48.2	=	−0.04
LAC team rating (sum)			241				−1.93

predicted margin = LAC − SAC = −1.93 − (−3.67) = +1.73 → pick LAC

final margin = 121 − 96 = +25 → won LAC ✓

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

SAC	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Darius Acuff Jr.	35	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Domantas Sabonis	34	+2.1	+0.6	+1.6	+0.1	−0.9	+1.5	+2.7	+1.0	−0.2	+1.1
Zach LaVine	34	+0.2	−1.5	−1.2	−2.4	−3.3	−1.4	−1.1	−1.5	−2.1	−1.7
Keegan Murray	28	0.0	−3.1	−0.1	−0.1	−1.4	−0.4	−0.3	−1.3	−0.1	−0.4
De'Andre Hunter	20	−1.9	−3.9	−0.7	−0.9	−2.5	−0.2	−1.8	−1.6	−0.8	−0.8
Precious Achiuwa	29

LAC	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Rui Hachimura	32	+0.1	−2.2	−1.0	−1.1	−2.3	−1.5	−1.6	−3.1	−0.1	−2.2
Darius Garland	32	+2.7	−0.2	+2.4	+1.7	−1.1	+1.6	+1.6	−0.2	+1.6	+0.4
Kris Dunn	27	+0.8	−0.8	−0.1	+0.5	+2.0	+0.1	−1.8	+1.2	+1.4	+0.5
Derrick Jones Jr.	26	+0.5	−0.7	+0.3	+1.3	+0.8	+0.9	+0.4	+0.1	+0.3	0.0
Isaiah Jackson	15	+0.3	−1.2	−1.3	+0.2	+0.3	−1.7	+2.5	+0.1	−1.4	0.0
Keaton Wagler	29	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Brook Lopez	27	−2.2	−0.9	+0.3	−0.5	+0.1	+1.0	−1.7	−1.1	−1.2	−0.1
Kobe Sanders	19	−2.1	−2.9	−1.1	−1.1	−1.4	−1.7	−1.1	−0.5	−1.0	−1.8
Gradey Dick	19	−1.9	−3.6	−2.7	−2.1	−2.0	−3.3	−2.1	−2.5	+0.1	−2.5
Baba Miller	9	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Cam Christie	2	−2.4	−4.6	−3.7	−2.6	−3.4	−4.1	−3.3	−4.9	−1.1	−1.5
Nick Martinelli	2	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Jalen Pickett	2	−0.9	−2.3	−2.6	−1.4	−3.4	−2.9	−2.4	−2.6	+0.4	−2.9
Team rating	241	−1.9	−7.8	−2.6	−1.9	−3.8	−3.3	−4.1	−5.2	−1.2	−4.6