MIN @ CLE, Mon, Oct 26 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 26·MIN @ CLE·Mon, Oct 26·10 of 10 right

MinnesotaTimberwolves

125

ClevelandCavaliers

127▸

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	MIN	CLE	pred	pick	miss
Final			+2	CLE
LOKI †	+4.4	+8.0	+3.6	CLE	1.6	✓
BPM	+4.0	+8.0	+4.0	CLE	2.0	✓
EPM projection	+5.2	+7.6	+2.4	CLE	0.4	✓
DARKO	+5.5	+6.8	+1.3	CLE	0.7	✓
OpenRAPM	+0.1	+5.5	+5.4	CLE	3.4	✓
EPM	+2.9	+6.5	+3.6	CLE	1.6	✓
xPM	+5.7	+5.9	+0.3	CLE	1.8	✓
Pulse	+2.1	+6.4	+4.4	CLE	2.4	✓
xRAPM	+2.2	+5.8	+3.7	CLE	1.6	✓
LEBRON	+0.6	+6.1	+5.5	CLE	3.5	✓

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

MIN	rating		min		53.2		adds
Anthony Edwards	+4.51	×	41	÷	53.2	=	+3.47
Jaden McDaniels	−0.09	×	37	÷	53.2	=	−0.06
Jonathan Kuminga	+1.67	×	36	÷	53.2	=	+1.13
Rudy Gobert	+1.28	×	36	÷	53.2	=	+0.87
LaMelo Ball	+3.23	×	31	÷	53.2	=	+1.88
Ayo Dosunmu	−1.41	×	26	÷	53.2	=	−0.69
Terrence Shannon Jr	−3.15	×	24	÷	53.2	=	−1.42
Joan Beringer	−0.99	×	17	÷	53.2	=	−0.32
Trey Lyles	−2.00	×	13	÷	53.2	=	−0.49
Bones Hyland	−0.09	×	5	÷	53.2	=	−0.01
MIN team rating (sum)			266				+4.37

CLE	rating		min		52.8		adds
James Harden	+0.79	×	39	÷	52.8	=	+0.58
Evan Mobley	+3.23	×	38	÷	52.8	=	+2.33
Donovan Mitchell	+5.71	×	38	÷	52.8	=	+4.11
Peyton Watson	+0.20	×	37	÷	52.8	=	+0.14
Jarrett Allen	+5.01	×	27	÷	52.8	=	+2.56
Sam Merrill	−0.09	×	31	÷	52.8	=	−0.06
Jaylon Tyson	−0.95	×	20	÷	52.8	=	−0.36
Meleek Thomas	−2.00	×	19	÷	52.8	=	−0.72
Mario Hezonja	−2.00	×	15	÷	52.8	=	−0.57
CLE team rating (sum)			264				+8.01

predicted margin = CLE − MIN = +8.01 − (+4.37) = +3.64 → pick CLE

final margin = 127 − 125 = +2 → won CLE ✓

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

MIN	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Anthony Edwards	41	+4.5	+4.5	+3.9	+4.5	+1.0	+2.3	+2.9	+1.7	+1.9	+1.3
Jaden McDaniels	37	−0.1	−0.3	+1.3	+0.6	−0.1	+0.9	+0.5	0.0	+0.9	−1.2
Jonathan Kuminga	36	+1.7	−2.0	−1.0	−0.7	−1.7	−1.0	+1.3	−1.0	+1.1	−0.4
Rudy Gobert	36	+1.3	+1.0	+2.3	+2.6	+3.1	+2.5	+3.5	+2.4	+2.2	+1.8
LaMelo Ball	31	+3.2	+4.7	+5.1	+3.1	+2.9	+4.5	+2.8	+3.7	+2.7	+2.8
Ayo Dosunmu	26	−1.4	+1.0	−0.5	−0.4	−1.4	−1.0	−0.2	−0.9	−1.4	−1.2
Terrence Shannon Jr	24	−3.2	−3.6	−1.5	−1.8	−3.6	−1.6

CLE	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
James Harden	39	+0.8	+3.9	+2.3	+3.2	+2.5	+2.0	+0.6	+1.3	+0.6	+2.1
Evan Mobley	38	+3.2	+3.0	+2.4	+2.7	+2.5	+1.6	+2.5	+3.0	+2.1	+3.1
Donovan Mitchell	38	+5.7	+5.1	+4.7	+4.4	+3.5	+4.1	+3.5	+4.7	+4.0	+3.4
Peyton Watson	37	+0.2	−1.2	−0.5	−1.1	+0.1	−0.8	−0.4	−0.7	−1.5	−1.3
Jarrett Allen	27	+5.0	+2.6	+5.1	+3.0	+2.9	+5.5	+4.7	+1.4	+3.1	+2.1
Sam Merrill	31	−0.1	+0.1	+0.5	+0.2	−1.1	+0.9	+0.4	+1.5	+2.6	+1.3
Jaylon Tyson	20	−0.9	+0.1	−1.0	−0.5	−0.8	−1.6	+0.3	0.0	+0.6	+0.6
Meleek Thomas	19	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Mario Hezonja	15	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Team rating	264	+8.0	+8.0	+7.6	+6.8	+5.5	+6.5	+5.9	+6.4	+5.8	+6.1