ORL @ NYK, Sun, Oct 25 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 25·ORL @ NYK·Sun, Oct 25·1 of 10 right

OrlandoMagic

111◂

New YorkKnicks

102

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	ORL	NYK	pred	pick	miss
Final			−9	ORL
LOKI †	+7.2	+5.7	−1.4	ORL	7.6	✓
BPM	+2.8	+9.2	+6.4	NYK	15.4	✗
EPM projection	+6.1	+8.9	+2.8	NYK	11.8	✗
DARKO	+3.0	+7.7	+4.6	NYK	13.6	✗
OpenRAPM	+1.5	+7.6	+6.0	NYK	15.0	✗
EPM	+3.1	+8.8	+5.6	NYK	14.6	✗
xPM	+4.5	+5.3	+0.8	NYK	9.8	✗
Pulse	+6.0	+6.8	+0.8	NYK	9.8	✗
xRAPM	+6.4	+8.0	+1.6	NYK	10.6	✗
LEBRON	+3.8	+7.2	+3.4	NYK	12.4	✗

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

ORL	rating		min		47.8		adds
Franz Wagner	+5.71	×	37	÷	47.8	=	+4.42
Desmond Bane	+2.87	×	35	÷	47.8	=	+2.10
Jalen Suggs	+2.77	×	34	÷	47.8	=	+1.97
Wendell Carter Jr.	+1.48	×	33	÷	47.8	=	+1.02
Jase Richardson	−2.41	×	17	÷	47.8	=	−0.86
Tristan da Silva	−1.24	×	27	÷	47.8	=	−0.70
Anthony Black	−0.20	×	26	÷	47.8	=	−0.11
Jamal Cain	−1.44	×	15	÷	47.8	=	−0.45
Nikola Vučević	−0.78	×	15	÷	47.8	=	−0.25
ORL team rating (sum)			239				+7.16

NYK	rating		min		47.6		adds
OG Anunoby	+3.03	×	35	÷	47.6	=	+2.23
Mikal Bridges	+0.96	×	35	÷	47.6	=	+0.70
Josh Hart	+0.09	×	34	÷	47.6	=	+0.06
Karl-Anthony Towns	+2.94	×	33	÷	47.6	=	+2.04
Jalen Brunson	+2.55	×	32	÷	47.6	=	+1.72
Landry Shamet	−1.07	×	22	÷	47.6	=	−0.49
Tyler Kolek	−0.76	×	15	÷	47.6	=	−0.24
Miles McBride	+1.75	×	13	÷	47.6	=	+0.48
Andre Drummond	−1.22	×	7	÷	47.6	=	−0.18
James Wiseman	−2.00	×	7	÷	47.6	=	−0.29
Jordan Clarkson	−2.88	×	5	÷	47.6	=	−0.30
NYK team rating (sum)			238				+5.72

predicted margin = NYK − ORL = +5.72 − (+7.16) = −1.44 → pick ORL

final margin = 102 − 111 = −9 → won ORL ✓

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

ORL	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Franz Wagner	37	+5.7	+2.5	+5.1	+2.0	+0.5	+4.6	+3.1	+1.9	+4.7	+2.3
Desmond Bane	35	+2.9	+1.4	+2.8	+0.7	+0.7	+1.9	+2.1	+2.0	+1.7	+1.7
Jalen Suggs	34	+2.8	+2.5	+1.9	+1.8	+2.6	+1.3	+2.7	+3.5	+3.2	+2.2
Wendell Carter Jr.	33	+1.5	−0.6	+1.8	+1.4	+1.4	+1.6	+1.2	+2.4	+1.5	+0.3
Jase Richardson	17	−2.4	−2.5	−3.2	−1.6	−3.1	−3.8	−2.5	−3.3	−2.9	−2.2
Tristan da Silva	27	−1.2	−0.6	−0.6	−0.5	−1.0	−1.3	−1.4	+0.1	+0.6	−0.7
Anthony Black	26	−0.2	−0.6	−0.2	+0.2	+0.7	−1.5

NYK	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
OG Anunoby	35	+3.0	+2.0	+2.5	+3.7	+3.2	+2.8	+2.5	+3.0	+2.7	+1.8
Mikal Bridges	35	+1.0	+2.7	+1.0	+0.5	+2.3	+0.4	+1.8	+1.7	+1.6	+2.2
Josh Hart	34	+0.1	+3.0	+0.9	+0.6	+1.9	+1.4	+0.3	+0.7	+1.3	+1.3
Karl-Anthony Towns	33	+2.9	+3.3	+5.2	+3.4	+4.1	+5.8	+3.3	+3.0	+2.9	+3.0
Jalen Brunson	32	+2.6	+3.1	+5.1	+3.4	+2.2	+4.4	+1.1	+2.2	+2.1	+2.1
Landry Shamet	22	−1.1	−0.3	−0.9	+0.3	−1.4	−0.8	−1.0	+0.6	+1.3	+0.7
Tyler Kolek	15	−0.8	−0.6	−2.2	−1.0	−2.4	−3.0	−0.6	−1.1	−0.3	−1.1
Miles McBride	13	+1.7	+1.2	+1.0	+1.2	−0.5	+0.9	+0.6	+0.2	+4.2	+1.0
Andre Drummond	7	−1.2	−0.6	−0.5	−1.1	+0.1	0.0	−0.2	−0.3	−4.4	−0.2
James Wiseman	7	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Jordan Clarkson	5	−2.9	−3.3	−1.8	−1.6	−2.2	−1.9	−2.8	−2.5	−2.1	−1.8
Team rating	238	+5.7	+9.2	+8.9	+7.7	+7.6	+8.8	+5.3	+6.8	+8.0	+7.2