CHI @ MIL, Fri, Oct 23 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 23·CHI @ MIL·Fri, Oct 23·8 of 10 right

ChicagoBulls

132◂

MilwaukeeBucks

125

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	CHI	MIL	pred	pick	miss
Final			−7	CHI
LOKI †	−0.3	−1.7	−1.4	CHI	5.6	✓
BPM	−2.8	−2.8	+0.1	MIL	7.0	✗
EPM projection	−1.9	−2.5	−0.6	CHI	6.4	✓
DARKO	−2.6	−2.3	+0.2	MIL	7.2	✗
OpenRAPM	−3.3	−3.9	−0.6	CHI	6.4	✓
EPM	−3.7	−6.0	−2.3	CHI	4.7	✓
xPM	−1.2	−1.6	−0.4	CHI	6.6	✓
Pulse	−3.6	−4.3	−0.7	CHI	6.3	✓
xRAPM	−2.3	−5.0	−2.6	CHI	4.4	✓
LEBRON	−2.6	−4.5	−1.8	CHI	5.2	✓

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

CHI	rating		min		48		adds
Caleb Wilson	−2.00	×	33	÷	48	=	−1.37
Norman Powell	−0.04	×	33	÷	48	=	−0.03
Josh Giddey	+2.20	×	25	÷	48	=	+1.15
Jalen Smith	+2.64	×	24	÷	48	=	+1.32
Matas Buzelis	−0.78	×	17	÷	48	=	−0.28
Isaac Okoro	−1.49	×	28	÷	48	=	−0.87
Tre Jones	+2.32	×	24	÷	48	=	+1.16
Leonard Miller	+0.06	×	24	÷	48	=	+0.03
Noa Essengue	−2.00	×	17	÷	48	=	−0.71
Buddy Hield	−2.19	×	15	÷	48	=	−0.68
CHI team rating (sum)			240				−0.28

MIL	rating		min		48		adds
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	−0.26	×	35	÷	48	=	−0.19
Ryan Rollins	+2.61	×	34	÷	48	=	+1.85
Tyler Herro	+1.72	×	32	÷	48	=	+1.15
Kyle Kuzma	−3.89	×	30	÷	48	=	−2.43
Myles Turner	+0.07	×	30	÷	48	=	+0.04
Kasparas Jakučionis	−1.35	×	23	÷	48	=	−0.65
AJ Green	−0.35	×	17	÷	48	=	−0.12
Ousmane Dieng	−4.01	×	16	÷	48	=	−1.34
Kel'el Ware	+1.11	×	15	÷	48	=	+0.35
Brayden Burries	−2.00	×	8	÷	48	=	−0.33
MIL team rating (sum)			240				−1.68

predicted margin = MIL − CHI = −1.68 − (−0.28) = −1.40 → pick CHI

final margin = 125 − 132 = −7 → won CHI ✓

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

CHI	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Caleb Wilson	33	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Norman Powell	33	0.0	+1.6	+1.1	+0.8	+0.2	+1.0	−1.2	+0.4	+1.4	+0.6
Josh Giddey	25	+2.2	+2.7	+1.6	+0.1	+0.1	+0.9	+1.7	+0.1	+0.6	+0.5
Jalen Smith	24	+2.6	−0.7	+1.9	+1.3	+0.9	+2.4	+1.9	+1.4	+2.4	+1.3
Matas Buzelis	17	−0.8	−1.0	−0.3	−1.2	0.0	−2.0	+0.5	−0.5	−2.6	−0.8
Isaac Okoro	28

MIL	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	35	−0.3	+0.1	−0.1	−0.2	−1.0	−1.3	0.0	−1.0	−0.6	−1.5
Ryan Rollins	34	+2.6	+0.2	+0.7	+1.5	+1.5	−1.0	+1.8	+0.1	+1.8	−0.7
Tyler Herro	32	+1.7	+2.0	+1.5	+1.1	−1.9	+0.7	−0.3	−0.4	−0.8	−0.5
Kyle Kuzma	30	−3.9	−2.3	−2.6	−3.6	−2.2	−3.0	−2.5	−1.7	−4.2	−2.0
Myles Turner	30	+0.1	−0.9	+0.1	+0.2	+0.5	0.0	+1.5	+0.6	−1.7	+0.1
Kasparas Jakučionis	23	−1.3	−0.4	−0.7	−0.4	0.0	−1.1	−1.6	−1.3	−0.6	−0.8
AJ Green	17	−0.4	−3.3	−0.6	0.0	−0.7	−0.6	−1.7	−1.2	+0.6	−1.1
Ousmane Dieng	16	−4.0	−3.8	−4.2	−3.2	−3.9	−5.2	−2.1	−3.4	−3.0	−1.6
Kel'el Ware	15	+1.1	+2.1	0.0	−1.1	+0.4	−0.9	+1.3	−0.6	−0.6	+0.8
Brayden Burries	8	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Team rating	240	−1.7	−2.8	−2.5	−2.3	−3.9	−6.0	−1.6	−4.3	−5.0	−4.5