LAC @ OKC, Sun, Oct 25 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 25·LAC @ OKC·Sun, Oct 25·10 of 10 right

LAClippers

101

Oklahoma CityThunder

108▸

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	LAC	OKC	pred	pick	miss
Final			+7	OKC
LOKI †	−0.7	+17.6	+18.3	OKC	11.3	✓
BPM	−7.2	+15.6	+22.8	OKC	15.8	✓
EPM projection	−1.7	+16.1	+17.9	OKC	10.9	✓
DARKO	−0.7	+10.7	+11.4	OKC	4.4	✓
OpenRAPM	−2.6	+11.7	+14.3	OKC	7.3	✓
EPM	−2.6	+16.1	+18.6	OKC	11.6	✓
xPM	−2.7	+14.1	+16.8	OKC	9.8	✓
Pulse	−4.0	+10.5	+14.4	OKC	7.4	✓
xRAPM	−0.5	+17.8	+18.4	OKC	11.4	✓
LEBRON	−3.6	+11.9	+15.5	OKC	8.5	✓

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

LAC	rating		min		48.2		adds
Darius Garland	+2.74	×	36	÷	48.2	=	+2.04
Kris Dunn	+0.77	×	33	÷	48.2	=	+0.53
Derrick Jones Jr.	+0.53	×	30	÷	48.2	=	+0.33
Rui Hachimura	+0.08	×	29	÷	48.2	=	+0.05
Isaiah Jackson	+0.32	×	24	÷	48.2	=	+0.16
Keaton Wagler	−2.00	×	26	÷	48.2	=	−1.08
Brook Lopez	−2.23	×	23	÷	48.2	=	−1.07
Kobe Sanders	−2.10	×	20	÷	48.2	=	−0.87
Gradey Dick	−1.89	×	18	÷	48.2	=	−0.70
Baba Miller	−2.00	×	2	÷	48.2	=	−0.08
LAC team rating (sum)			241				−0.70

OKC	rating		min		48		adds
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	+12.67	×	36	÷	48	=	+9.50
Jalen Williams	+2.02	×	32	÷	48	=	+1.35
Chet Holmgren	+6.06	×	31	÷	48	=	+3.91
Isaiah Hartenstein	+3.01	×	27	÷	48	=	+1.69
Cason Wallace	+1.04	×	6	÷	48	=	+0.13
Ajay Mitchell	+2.07	×	28	÷	48	=	+1.21
Alex Caruso	+2.55	×	22	÷	48	=	+1.17
Jared McCain	−0.99	×	21	÷	48	=	−0.43
Aday Mara	−2.00	×	14	÷	48	=	−0.58
Bennett Stirtz	−2.00	×	11	÷	48	=	−0.46
Kenrich Williams	+0.45	×	7	÷	48	=	+0.07
Jaylin Williams	+0.73	×	5	÷	48	=	+0.08
OKC team rating (sum)			240				+17.63

predicted margin = OKC − LAC = +17.63 − (−0.70) = +18.33 → pick OKC

final margin = 108 − 101 = +7 → won OKC ✓

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

LAC	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Darius Garland	36	+2.7	−0.2	+2.4	+1.7	−1.1	+1.6	+1.6	−0.2	+1.6	+0.4
Kris Dunn	33	+0.8	−0.8	−0.1	+0.5	+2.0	+0.1	−1.8	+1.2	+1.4	+0.5
Derrick Jones Jr.	30	+0.5	−0.7	+0.3	+1.3	+0.8	+0.9	+0.4	+0.1	+0.3	0.0
Rui Hachimura	29	+0.1	−2.2	−1.0	−1.1	−2.3	−1.5	−1.6	−3.1	−0.1	−2.2
Isaiah Jackson	24	+0.3	−1.2	−1.3	+0.2	+0.3	−1.7	+2.5	+0.1	−1.4	0.0
Keaton Wagler	26	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0

OKC	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	36	+12.7	+11.7	+10.0	+6.0	+6.9	+8.9	+6.4	+5.8	+9.3	+6.7
Jalen Williams	32	+2.0	+2.1	+3.3	+2.2	+0.7	+3.2	+2.8	+1.4	+1.9	+1.6
Chet Holmgren	31	+6.1	+4.2	+5.5	+4.0	+4.5	+5.6	+5.7	+4.6	+5.3	+5.1
Isaiah Hartenstein	27	+3.0	+4.2	+3.3	+3.1	+3.5	+4.3	+4.2	+3.3	+3.3	+3.6
Cason Wallace	6	+1.0	+1.2	+1.6	+1.8	+3.9	+1.3	+1.3	+2.3	+2.5	+2.2
Ajay Mitchell	28	+2.1	+1.9	+3.2	+1.3	+2.5	+3.2	+1.8	+2.3	+4.6	+2.4
Alex Caruso	22	+2.5	+1.9	+1.8	+2.2	+4.0	+3.2	+3.4	+2.2	+4.4	+2.3
Jared McCain	21	−1.0	−2.4	−1.8	−1.5	−3.2	−2.9	−1.4	−2.9	+0.1	−2.7
Aday Mara	14	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Bennett Stirtz	11	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Kenrich Williams	7	+0.5	+0.2	−1.0	+0.3	−1.4	−0.6	+0.2	−1.0	−0.7	−0.8
Jaylin Williams	5	+0.7	+2.7	+1.0	+1.0	+0.8	+1.2	+1.9	+1.2	+3.8	+1.0
Team rating	240	+17.6	+15.6	+16.1	+10.7	+11.7	+16.1	+14.1	+10.5	+17.8	+11.9