SAC @ MEM, Sat, Oct 31 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 31·SAC @ MEM·Sat, Oct 31·10 of 10 right

SacramentoKings

105

MemphisGrizzlies

136▸

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	SAC	MEM	pred	pick	miss
Final			+31	MEM
LOKI †	−5.2	−1.0	+4.2	MEM	26.8	✓
BPM	−8.8	−3.1	+5.6	MEM	25.4	✓
EPM projection	−6.1	−1.8	+4.3	MEM	26.8	✓
DARKO	−6.0	−3.5	+2.4	MEM	28.6	✓
OpenRAPM	−8.8	−4.2	+4.6	MEM	26.4	✓
EPM	−6.3	−3.8	+2.6	MEM	28.4	✓
xPM	−4.0	−1.5	+2.5	MEM	28.5	✓
Pulse	−5.8	−2.8	+3.0	MEM	28.0	✓
xRAPM	−8.1	−2.2	+5.9	MEM	25.1	✓
LEBRON	−5.4	−4.4	+1.0	MEM	30.0	✓

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

SAC	rating		min		48.2		adds
Domantas Sabonis	+2.07	×	38	÷	48.2	=	+1.63
Darius Acuff Jr.	−2.00	×	37	÷	48.2	=	−1.54
De'Andre Hunter	−1.85	×	32	÷	48.2	=	−1.23
Precious Achiuwa	−0.76	×	25	÷	48.2	=	−0.39
Zach LaVine	+0.21	×	21	÷	48.2	=	+0.09
Jonathan Mogbo	−3.52	×	25	÷	48.2	=	−1.83
Emanuel Sharp	−2.00	×	24	÷	48.2	=	−1.00
Malik Monk	−0.54	×	14	÷	48.2	=	−0.16
Nique Clifford	−0.37	×	11	÷	48.2	=	−0.08
Alex Karaban	−2.00	×	10	÷	48.2	=	−0.41
Daeqwon Plowden	−3.51	×	4	÷	48.2	=	−0.29
SAC team rating (sum)			241				−5.20

MEM	rating		min		47.8		adds
Cameron Boozer	−2.00	×	26	÷	47.8	=	−1.09
Cam Spencer	+1.52	×	25	÷	47.8	=	+0.79
Cedric Coward	+1.45	×	23	÷	47.8	=	+0.70
Jaylen Wells	−0.47	×	22	÷	47.8	=	−0.22
Zach Edey	+2.02	×	18	÷	47.8	=	+0.76
Jerami Grant	−1.62	×	23	÷	47.8	=	−0.78
GG Jackson	−0.54	×	21	÷	47.8	=	−0.24
Isaiah Stewart	−0.95	×	21	÷	47.8	=	−0.42
Kris Murray	+0.02	×	21	÷	47.8	=	+0.01
Javon Small	+0.82	×	20	÷	47.8	=	+0.34
Taylor Hendricks	−0.94	×	4	÷	47.8	=	−0.08
Karim López	−2.00	×	4	÷	47.8	=	−0.17
Jahmai Mashack	−4.31	×	4	÷	47.8	=	−0.36
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	−1.24	×	4	÷	47.8	=	−0.10
Carson Cooper	−2.00	×	3	÷	47.8	=	−0.13
MEM team rating (sum)			239				−0.97

predicted margin = MEM − SAC = −0.97 − (−5.20) = +4.23 → pick MEM

final margin = 136 − 105 = +31 → won MEM ✓

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

SAC	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Domantas Sabonis	38	+2.1	+0.6	+1.6	+0.1	−0.9	+1.5	+2.7	+1.0	−0.2	+1.1
Darius Acuff Jr.	37	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
De'Andre Hunter	32	−1.9	−3.9	−0.7	−0.9	−2.5	−0.2	−1.8	−1.6	−0.8	−0.8
Precious Achiuwa	25	−0.8	−1.6	−1.0	−0.4	+0.5	−1.3	−1.0	−0.7	−3.1	−0.1
Zach LaVine	21	+0.2	−1.5	−1.2	−2.4	−3.3	−1.4	−1.1	−1.5	−2.1	−1.7
Jonathan Mogbo	25

MEM	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Cameron Boozer	26	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Cam Spencer	25	+1.5	+2.2	+0.3	+0.1	−0.5	−0.3	+1.3	+0.8	+1.3	−0.3
Cedric Coward	23	+1.4	−0.2	+1.7	−0.7	0.0	+1.1	+1.0	−0.4	+0.9	−1.2
Jaylen Wells	22	−0.5	−3.1	+1.3	−1.0	−0.7	+1.0	−1.8	−0.8	0.0	−0.6
Zach Edey	18	+2.0	+0.5	+2.3	+0.6	+2.1	+2.7	+2.6	+3.8	+4.8	+0.9
Jerami Grant	23	−1.6	0.0	−1.0	−0.8	−1.7	−1.1	−1.5	−0.3	−2.0	−0.3
GG Jackson	21	−0.5	−1.2	−1.2	−1.0	−1.7	−1.9	−0.6	−2.4	−2.9	−0.8
Isaiah Stewart	21	−1.0	0.0	−0.6	−1.2	−0.7	−0.9	+0.7	−0.7	−1.3	−0.5
Kris Murray	21	0.0	−1.5	−2.0	+0.1	−0.1	−2.8	−1.6	+0.2	+1.2	−1.7
Javon Small	20	+0.8	+1.0	+0.4	+0.1	−1.5	−0.1	+0.5	−1.1	−1.6	−0.4
Taylor Hendricks	4	−0.9	−2.4	−2.4	−0.9	−1.2	−2.9	−0.4	−2.8	−2.4	−2.0
Karim López	4	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Jahmai Mashack	4	−4.3	−7.0	−5.9	−3.0	−2.2	−8.7	−2.5	−4.3	−4.6	−3.7
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	4	−1.2	−0.1	−2.1	+0.3	−1.9	−2.6	0.0	−2.1	−2.5	−2.1
Carson Cooper	3	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Team rating	239	−1.0	−3.1	−1.8	−3.5	−4.2	−3.8	−1.5	−2.8	−2.2	−4.4