IND @ NOP, Wed, Oct 21 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 21·IND @ NOP·Wed, Oct 21·2 of 10 right

IndianaPacers

123◂

New OrleansPelicans

120

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	IND	NOP	pred	pick	miss
Final			−3	IND
LOKI †	−2.1	+1.5	+3.6	NOP	6.6	✗
BPM	−3.6	−0.9	+2.7	NOP	5.7	✗
EPM projection	−0.3	+1.3	+1.6	NOP	4.6	✗
DARKO	−1.6	−1.1	+0.6	NOP	3.6	✗
OpenRAPM	−7.7	−2.9	+4.8	NOP	7.8	✗
EPM	−0.7	−2.6	−1.9	IND	1.1	✓
xPM	−1.6	+0.7	+2.3	NOP	5.3	✗
Pulse	−3.2	−1.5	+1.7	NOP	4.7	✗
xRAPM	−2.9	−6.0	−3.1	IND	0.1	✓
LEBRON	−3.7	−0.1	+3.6	NOP	6.6	✗

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

IND	rating		min		48.4		adds
Pascal Siakam	+2.84	×	35	÷	48.4	=	+2.06
Ivica Zubac	−0.07	×	34	÷	48.4	=	−0.05
Andrew Nembhard	−0.04	×	34	÷	48.4	=	−0.03
Tyrese Haliburton	−2.00	×	34	÷	48.4	=	−1.40
Kelly Oubre Jr.	−2.34	×	28	÷	48.4	=	−1.35
Obi Toppin	+1.55	×	25	÷	48.4	=	+0.80
Jarace Walker	−3.61	×	19	÷	48.4	=	−1.42
Quenton Jackson	+0.62	×	16	÷	48.4	=	+0.21
Ben Sheppard	−2.85	×	12	÷	48.4	=	−0.71
Larry Nance Jr.	−2.40	×	5	÷	48.4	=	−0.25
IND team rating (sum)			242				−2.14

NOP	rating		min		48.2		adds
Dejounte Murray	+0.50	×	34	÷	48.2	=	+0.35
Trey Murphy III	+1.56	×	32	÷	48.2	=	+1.03
Zion Williamson	+3.85	×	32	÷	48.2	=	+2.56
Yves Missi	−1.61	×	30	÷	48.2	=	−1.00
Jeremiah Fears	−1.42	×	21	÷	48.2	=	−0.62
Saddiq Bey	+0.70	×	24	÷	48.2	=	+0.35
Bennedict Mathurin	−1.56	×	18	÷	48.2	=	−0.58
Derik Queen	−2.22	×	18	÷	48.2	=	−0.83
Herbert Jones	+1.36	×	17	÷	48.2	=	+0.48
Jordan Poole	−0.89	×	15	÷	48.2	=	−0.28
NOP team rating (sum)			241				+1.46

predicted margin = NOP − IND = +1.46 − (−2.14) = +3.60 → pick NOP

final margin = 120 − 123 = −3 → won IND ✗

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

IND	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Pascal Siakam	35	+2.8	+0.7	+2.2	+1.4	+0.6	+2.0	+1.7	+0.8	+1.9	+1.0
Ivica Zubac	34	−0.1	−0.3	+2.6	+1.6	−1.4	+3.1	+1.2	+0.4	+1.0	−0.1
Andrew Nembhard	34	0.0	−0.8	+1.1	−0.6	−2.0	+0.5	−0.8	−0.4	−0.8	+0.2
Tyrese Haliburton	34	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Kelly Oubre Jr.	28	−2.3	−1.4	−1.0	−0.3	−1.7	−1.1	−2.1	−1.9	−1.9	−2.4
Obi Toppin	25

NOP	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Dejounte Murray	34	+0.5	+1.4	+0.3	+0.6	+0.6	0.0	+0.3	+1.0	−2.5	+1.6
Trey Murphy III	32	+1.6	+2.4	+1.1	+0.5	+0.5	+0.6	+1.6	+2.5	−0.6	+0.5
Zion Williamson	32	+3.8	+2.9	+2.3	+1.6	+0.2	+0.9	+3.5	+0.8	+0.9	+0.4
Yves Missi	30	−1.6	−1.7	−0.2	−0.9	+0.5	−0.7	−2.9	−1.3	−2.6	−0.5
Jeremiah Fears	21	−1.4	−2.7	−0.2	−0.8	−2.7	−2.1	−1.7	−3.4	−2.8	−1.5
Saddiq Bey	24	+0.7	+0.5	+0.2	−0.5	−1.8	−0.4	−0.9	−0.7	−0.4	−0.2
Bennedict Mathurin	18	−1.6	−2.5	−0.7	−1.4	−2.0	−1.0	−0.3	−1.3	−1.1	0.0
Derik Queen	18	−2.2	−0.8	−0.7	−1.4	−0.9	−2.6	−0.8	−2.2	−3.3	−0.5
Herbert Jones	17	+1.4	−3.1	+0.5	+0.2	+0.9	+0.3	+1.4	+0.5	+3.2	−0.3
Jordan Poole	15	−0.9	−3.5	−2.3	−2.4	−4.2	−2.8	+0.4	−2.2	−2.9	−1.7
Team rating	241	+1.5	−0.9	+1.3	−1.1	−2.9	−2.6	+0.7	−1.5	−6.0	−0.1