CHA @ BKN, Wed, Oct 21 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 21·CHA @ BKN·Wed, Oct 21·7 of 10 right

CharlotteHornets

110◂

BrooklynNets

103

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	CHA	BKN	pred	pick	miss
Final			−7	CHA
LOKI †	−0.8	+0.5	+1.3	BKN	8.3	✗
BPM	+1.7	−2.4	−4.1	CHA	2.9	✓
EPM projection	+1.8	−2.1	−3.9	CHA	3.1	✓
DARKO	−0.8	−0.5	+0.3	BKN	7.3	✗
OpenRAPM	+1.8	−2.0	−3.8	CHA	3.2	✓
EPM	+0.9	−3.9	−4.9	CHA	2.1	✓
xPM	+1.1	+1.3	+0.2	BKN	7.2	✗
Pulse	+3.5	−0.3	−3.9	CHA	3.1	✓
xRAPM	+2.9	−2.4	−5.3	CHA	1.7	✓
LEBRON	+1.0	−3.1	−4.1	CHA	2.9	✓

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

CHA	rating		min		48.2		adds
Brandon Miller	+1.67	×	36	÷	48.2	=	+1.25
Dennis Schröder	−2.00	×	35	÷	48.2	=	−1.45
Moussa Diabaté	+3.33	×	34	÷	48.2	=	+2.35
Naz Reid	+1.19	×	33	÷	48.2	=	+0.81
Sion James	−1.70	×	27	÷	48.2	=	−0.95
Grayson Allen	−0.79	×	29	÷	48.2	=	−0.47
Royce O'Neale	−3.24	×	17	÷	48.2	=	−1.14
Ryan Kalkbrenner	−1.37	×	14	÷	48.2	=	−0.40
Christian Anderson	−2.00	×	13	÷	48.2	=	−0.54
Liam McNeeley	−3.89	×	3	÷	48.2	=	−0.24
CHA team rating (sum)			241				−0.79

BKN	rating		min		48.4		adds
Julius Randle	+0.96	×	38	÷	48.4	=	+0.75
Michael Porter Jr.	+1.64	×	34	÷	48.4	=	+1.15
Keon Ellis	−0.13	×	34	÷	48.4	=	−0.09
Day'Ron Sharpe	+4.02	×	30	÷	48.4	=	+2.49
Egor Dëmin	−0.69	×	27	÷	48.4	=	−0.39
Noah Clowney	−2.51	×	22	÷	48.4	=	−1.14
Mikel Brown Jr.	−2.00	×	20	÷	48.4	=	−0.83
Moritz Wagner	−0.30	×	16	÷	48.4	=	−0.10
Nolan Traore	−3.62	×	16	÷	48.4	=	−1.20
Chaney Johnson	−1.62	×	5	÷	48.4	=	−0.17
BKN team rating (sum)			242				+0.50

predicted margin = BKN − CHA = +0.50 − (−0.79) = +1.28 → pick BKN

final margin = 103 − 110 = −7 → won CHA ✗

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

CHA	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Brandon Miller	36	+1.7	+1.6	+2.4	+1.2	+2.4	+1.6	+1.8	+2.8	+3.8	+1.3
Dennis Schröder	35	−2.0	−2.2	−1.4	−2.5	−2.9	−1.6	−2.3	−1.5	−1.9	−0.9
Moussa Diabaté	34	+3.3	+1.7	+2.0	+1.2	+4.0	+2.3	+3.9	+3.0	+0.7	+1.8
Naz Reid	33	+1.2	+0.9	+0.8	+0.7	+0.3	+0.7	+0.6	+1.6	+2.0	+1.1
Sion James	27	−1.7	−2.0	−0.1	−1.4	+0.2	−0.2	−1.6	−0.8	+1.5	−0.3
Grayson Allen	29	−0.8	+2.1	+0.8	+0.9	−0.1	+1.0	−0.1	+0.8	+0.3	+0.5
Royce O'Neale	17	−3.2	+0.7	−2.0	−1.5	−1.2	−2.4

BKN	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Julius Randle	38	+1.0	+1.5	+0.5	+0.4	+0.7	+0.2	0.0	+0.8	−0.2	+0.3
Michael Porter Jr.	34	+1.6	+3.0	+2.3	+2.0	+0.7	+2.1	+0.7	+2.0	+0.6	+0.7
Keon Ellis	34	−0.1	−0.5	−1.0	+0.3	−0.2	−1.6	+1.2	−0.4	+0.1	−0.2
Day'Ron Sharpe	30	+4.0	+1.4	+1.2	+1.5	+2.1	+0.9	+4.7	+2.8	+2.6	+0.5
Egor Dëmin	27	−0.7	−1.6	−1.0	−1.2	−1.3	−1.7	−1.1	−1.1	+0.3	−0.9
Noah Clowney	22	−2.5	−3.4	−1.4	−1.4	−1.1	−2.0	−1.0	−1.5	−2.4	−2.8
Mikel Brown Jr.	20	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Moritz Wagner	16	−0.3	−2.2	−0.9	−1.1	−2.5	−0.6	+0.5	−0.9	−3.3	−0.3
Nolan Traore	16	−3.6	−6.8	−4.9	−2.7	−3.6	−6.0	−3.2	−4.2	−3.2	−3.4
Chaney Johnson	5	−1.6	+0.1	−1.6	−0.4	−0.9	−1.2	−1.8	−0.3	−4.1	−0.9
Team rating	242	+0.5	−2.4	−2.1	−0.5	−2.0	−3.9	+1.3	−0.3	−2.4	−3.1