POR @ UTA, Sat, Oct 31 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 31·POR @ UTA·Sat, Oct 31·10 of 10 right

PortlandTrail Blazers

112◂

UtahJazz

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	POR	UTA	pred	pick	miss
Final			−22	POR
LOKI †	−2.3	−3.5	−1.2	POR	20.8	✓
BPM	−2.5	−5.9	−3.4	POR	18.6	✓
EPM projection	−1.9	−4.0	−2.1	POR	19.9	✓
DARKO	+0.9	−5.4	−6.3	POR	15.7	✓
OpenRAPM	−2.0	−6.0	−4.0	POR	18.0	✓
EPM	−2.5	−6.8	−4.3	POR	17.7	✓
xPM	+0.3	−4.3	−4.6	POR	17.4	✓
Pulse	−0.3	−5.2	−4.9	POR	17.1	✓
xRAPM	−0.9	−7.8	−6.9	POR	15.1	✓
LEBRON	−0.7	−5.2	−4.5	POR	17.4	✓

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

POR	rating		min		48.2		adds
Toumani Camara	+1.41	×	31	÷	48.2	=	+0.90
Scoot Henderson	−1.08	×	31	÷	48.2	=	−0.70
Deni Avdija	+2.47	×	30	÷	48.2	=	+1.54
Damian Lillard	−2.00	×	27	÷	48.2	=	−1.12
Donovan Clingan	+1.82	×	15	÷	48.2	=	+0.56
Vít Krejčí	−1.61	×	24	÷	48.2	=	−0.80
Jrue Holiday	+1.41	×	22	÷	48.2	=	+0.64
Sidy Cissoko	−2.99	×	19	÷	48.2	=	−1.18
Robert Williams III	+2.60	×	14	÷	48.2	=	+0.76
Hansen Yang	−8.92	×	13	÷	48.2	=	−2.41
Chris Youngblood	−2.00	×	7	÷	48.2	=	−0.29
Branden Carlson	−1.88	×	4	÷	48.2	=	−0.16
Micah Potter	−0.59	×	4	÷	48.2	=	−0.05
POR team rating (sum)			241				−2.29

UTA	rating		min		48		adds
Ace Bailey	−3.56	×	37	÷	48	=	−2.74
Darryn Peterson	−2.00	×	36	÷	48	=	−1.50
Lauri Markkanen	+4.97	×	29	÷	48	=	+3.00
Keyonte George	−0.65	×	29	÷	48	=	−0.40
Jaxson Hayes	−0.62	×	20	÷	48	=	−0.26
Isaiah Collier	−2.99	×	20	÷	48	=	−1.24
Brice Sensabaugh	−1.05	×	19	÷	48	=	−0.42
Svi Mykhailiuk	+0.82	×	18	÷	48	=	+0.31
Josh Okogie	+0.30	×	14	÷	48	=	+0.09
Mo Bamba	−2.00	×	10	÷	48	=	−0.42
Kyle Filipowski	+1.04	×	6	÷	48	=	+0.13
Josh Green	−0.87	×	2	÷	48	=	−0.04
UTA team rating (sum)			240				−3.48

predicted margin = UTA − POR = −3.48 − (−2.29) = −1.19 → pick POR

final margin = 90 − 112 = −22 → won POR ✓

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

POR	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Toumani Camara	31	+1.4	−1.0	+1.8	+1.1	+1.2	+1.9	+0.8	+0.3	+1.5	0.0
Scoot Henderson	31	−1.1	−2.2	−2.3	−0.3	−2.4	−3.1	−0.5	−1.4	−0.8	−1.0
Deni Avdija	30	+2.5	+4.3	+3.1	+1.9	+1.6	+2.6	+1.6	+2.4	+0.9	+1.7
Damian Lillard	27	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Donovan Clingan	15	+1.8	+3.0	+3.0	+1.3	+3.7	+3.3	+2.4	+2.5	+2.0	+3.4
Vít Krejčí	24

UTA	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Ace Bailey	37	−3.6	−4.4	−2.1	−2.6	−3.2	−3.6	−2.3	−4.1	−3.4	−2.5
Darryn Peterson	36	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Lauri Markkanen	29	+5.0	+2.6	+3.3	+1.7	+1.9	+3.3	+1.9	+4.8	+3.7	+2.2
Keyonte George	29	−0.7	+0.9	+1.3	−1.8	−0.3	−0.2	−1.5	−1.0	−3.4	−0.6
Jaxson Hayes	20	−0.6	+1.2	−1.0	0.0	+0.2	−0.6	+1.2	+0.8	−0.5	+0.3
Isaiah Collier	20	−3.0	−2.4	−3.2	−2.8	−2.3	−4.4	−2.0	−3.3	−5.3	−2.3
Brice Sensabaugh	19	−1.1	−2.6	−1.4	−0.7	−3.8	−2.5	−0.6	−2.4	−2.5	−1.9
Svi Mykhailiuk	18	+0.8	−1.7	−1.8	−0.4	−1.4	−1.7	−1.1	−0.9	+0.2	−1.8
Josh Okogie	14	+0.3	−1.2	−0.8	+0.4	+1.1	−0.3	−0.1	0.0	0.0	−0.4
Mo Bamba	10	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Kyle Filipowski	6	+1.0	−1.1	0.0	+0.2	+0.1	−1.1	+1.6	−1.0	−1.2	−0.3
Josh Green	2	−0.9	−0.7	−1.2	+0.2	+0.7	−0.7	−1.2	−0.1	+0.6	−1.0
Team rating	240	−3.5	−5.9	−4.0	−5.4	−6.0	−6.8	−4.3	−5.2	−7.8	−5.2