LAL @ UTA, Sun, Oct 25 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 25·LAL @ UTA·Sun, Oct 25·10 of 10 right

Los AngelesLakers

132◂

UtahJazz

123

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	LAL	UTA	pred	pick	miss
Final			−9	LAL
LOKI †	+7.5	+0.8	−6.7	LAL	2.3	✓
BPM	+9.9	−3.5	−13.4	LAL	4.4	✓
EPM projection	+5.5	−0.7	−6.1	LAL	2.9	✓
DARKO	+4.4	−2.8	−7.2	LAL	1.8	✓
OpenRAPM	+4.4	−2.9	−7.3	LAL	1.7	✓
EPM	+2.4	−3.2	−5.7	LAL	3.3	✓
xPM	+5.2	−0.7	−6.0	LAL	3.0	✓
Pulse	+7.6	−2.0	−9.5	LAL	0.5	✓
xRAPM	+5.2	−4.1	−9.3	LAL	0.3	✓
LEBRON	+3.7	−3.1	−6.8	LAL	2.2	✓

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

LAL	rating		min		47.8		adds
Luka Dončić	+7.57	×	38	÷	47.8	=	+6.02
Austin Reaves	+2.82	×	36	÷	47.8	=	+2.12
Ziaire Williams	−1.36	×	30	÷	47.8	=	−0.86
Walker Kessler	−2.00	×	28	÷	47.8	=	−1.17
Matisse Thybulle	+2.03	×	26	÷	47.8	=	+1.11
Sandro Mamukelashvili	+1.86	×	21	÷	47.8	=	+0.82
Quentin Grimes	−0.14	×	20	÷	47.8	=	−0.06
Collin Sexton	−0.55	×	20	÷	47.8	=	−0.23
Jake LaRavia	−0.78	×	15	÷	47.8	=	−0.24
Kevon Looney	−0.54	×	5	÷	47.8	=	−0.06
LAL team rating (sum)			239				+7.45

UTA	rating		min		47.8		adds
Lauri Markkanen	+4.97	×	38	÷	47.8	=	+3.95
Jaren Jackson Jr.	+2.69	×	33	÷	47.8	=	+1.86
Keyonte George	−0.65	×	33	÷	47.8	=	−0.45
Darryn Peterson	−2.00	×	30	÷	47.8	=	−1.26
Ace Bailey	−3.56	×	29	÷	47.8	=	−2.16
Jaxson Hayes	−0.62	×	19	÷	47.8	=	−0.25
Brice Sensabaugh	−1.05	×	17	÷	47.8	=	−0.38
Svi Mykhailiuk	+0.82	×	14	÷	47.8	=	+0.24
Isaiah Collier	−2.99	×	13	÷	47.8	=	−0.81
Josh Okogie	+0.30	×	10	÷	47.8	=	+0.06
Josh Green	−0.87	×	3	÷	47.8	=	−0.05
UTA team rating (sum)			239				+0.76

predicted margin = UTA − LAL = +0.76 − (+7.45) = −6.69 → pick LAL

final margin = 123 − 132 = −9 → won LAL ✓

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

LAL	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Luka Dončić	38	+7.6	+9.3	+8.3	+5.1	+5.3	+6.9	+5.6	+6.1	+6.0	+5.2
Austin Reaves	36	+2.8	+2.8	+3.6	+1.9	+0.7	+3.2	+2.4	+3.9	+2.6	+2.4
Ziaire Williams	30	−1.4	−1.7	−1.3	−1.1	−0.4	−1.6	−1.2	−0.5	−1.0	−1.2
Walker Kessler	28	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Matisse Thybulle	26	+2.0	+4.4	−1.4	+0.8	+2.7	−1.4	−0.1	+2.3	−0.4	+0.8
Sandro Mamukelashvili	21

UTA	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Lauri Markkanen	38	+5.0	+2.6	+3.3	+1.7	+1.9	+3.3	+1.9	+4.8	+3.7	+2.2
Jaren Jackson Jr.	33	+2.7	−0.6	+1.2	+1.4	+1.6	+0.9	+3.1	+0.5	+1.5	+0.2
Keyonte George	33	−0.7	+0.9	+1.3	−1.8	−0.3	−0.2	−1.5	−1.0	−3.4	−0.6
Darryn Peterson	30	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Ace Bailey	29	−3.6	−4.4	−2.1	−2.6	−3.2	−3.6	−2.3	−4.1	−3.4	−2.5
Jaxson Hayes	19	−0.6	+1.2	−1.0	0.0	+0.2	−0.6	+1.2	+0.8	−0.5	+0.3
Brice Sensabaugh	17	−1.1	−2.6	−1.4	−0.7	−3.8	−2.5	−0.6	−2.4	−2.5	−1.9
Svi Mykhailiuk	14	+0.8	−1.7	−1.8	−0.4	−1.4	−1.7	−1.1	−0.9	+0.2	−1.8
Isaiah Collier	13	−3.0	−2.4	−3.2	−2.8	−2.3	−4.4	−2.0	−3.3	−5.3	−2.3
Josh Okogie	10	+0.3	−1.2	−0.8	+0.4	+1.1	−0.3	−0.1	0.0	0.0	−0.4
Josh Green	3	−0.9	−0.7	−1.2	+0.2	+0.7	−0.7	−1.2	−0.1	+0.6	−1.0
Team rating	239	+0.8	−3.5	−0.7	−2.8	−2.9	−3.2	−0.7	−2.0	−4.1	−3.1