WAS @ CLE, Wed, Oct 28 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 28·WAS @ CLE·Wed, Oct 28·10 of 10 right

WashingtonWizards

111

ClevelandCavaliers

121▸

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	WAS	CLE	pred	pick	miss
Final			+10	CLE
LOKI †	−1.9	+7.5	+9.4	CLE	0.6	✓
BPM	−3.5	+7.2	+10.8	CLE	0.8	✓
EPM projection	−0.7	+7.1	+7.8	CLE	2.2	✓
DARKO	−5.0	+6.3	+11.3	CLE	1.3	✓
OpenRAPM	−3.4	+5.0	+8.4	CLE	1.6	✓
EPM	−2.4	+6.0	+8.3	CLE	1.7	✓
xPM	−0.7	+5.6	+6.3	CLE	3.7	✓
Pulse	−1.7	+5.4	+7.2	CLE	2.8	✓
xRAPM	−7.6	+4.9	+12.6	CLE	2.6	✓
LEBRON	−4.5	+5.5	+10.0	CLE	0.0	✓

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

WAS	rating		min		48		adds
Kyshawn George	−0.64	×	38	÷	48	=	−0.51
Anthony Davis	+3.28	×	34	÷	48	=	+2.32
Trae Young	+2.22	×	33	÷	48	=	+1.53
AJ Dybantsa	−2.00	×	27	÷	48	=	−1.12
Alex Sarr	+0.35	×	26	÷	48	=	+0.19
Bilal Coulibaly	−1.32	×	27	÷	48	=	−0.74
Khris Middleton	−3.21	×	23	÷	48	=	−1.54
Bub Carrington	−4.20	×	20	÷	48	=	−1.75
Deandre Ayton	−1.24	×	12	÷	48	=	−0.31
WAS team rating (sum)			240				−1.94

CLE	rating		min		47.8		adds
James Harden	+0.79	×	34	÷	47.8	=	+0.56
Evan Mobley	+3.23	×	32	÷	47.8	=	+2.16
Donovan Mitchell	+5.71	×	31	÷	47.8	=	+3.70
Jarrett Allen	+5.01	×	30	÷	47.8	=	+3.14
Peyton Watson	+0.20	×	28	÷	47.8	=	+0.12
Jaylon Tyson	−0.95	×	21	÷	47.8	=	−0.42
Sam Merrill	−0.09	×	20	÷	47.8	=	−0.04
Meleek Thomas	−2.00	×	20	÷	47.8	=	−0.84
Mario Hezonja	−2.00	×	17	÷	47.8	=	−0.71
Tyrese Proctor	−1.61	×	6	÷	47.8	=	−0.20
CLE team rating (sum)			239				+7.47

predicted margin = CLE − WAS = +7.47 − (−1.94) = +9.42 → pick CLE

final margin = 121 − 111 = +10 → won CLE ✓

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

WAS	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Kyshawn George	38	−0.6	−1.2	−0.2	−2.1	−0.7	−0.9	0.0	0.0	−0.7	−1.1
Anthony Davis	34	+3.3	+2.4	+2.8	+2.2	+1.1	+3.0	+3.3	+2.5	+1.3	+1.6
Trae Young	33	+2.2	+2.8	+2.6	+1.2	+0.1	+2.9	+0.9	+1.8	−0.5	+0.9
AJ Dybantsa	27	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Alex Sarr	26	+0.4	+0.7	−1.1	−2.2	+0.6	−1.7	+0.8	−0.4	−3.4	−0.3
Bilal Coulibaly	27

CLE	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
James Harden	34	+0.8	+3.9	+2.3	+3.2	+2.5	+2.0	+0.6	+1.3	+0.6	+2.1
Evan Mobley	32	+3.2	+3.0	+2.4	+2.7	+2.5	+1.6	+2.5	+3.0	+2.1	+3.1
Donovan Mitchell	31	+5.7	+5.1	+4.7	+4.4	+3.5	+4.1	+3.5	+4.7	+4.0	+3.4
Jarrett Allen	30	+5.0	+2.6	+5.1	+3.0	+2.9	+5.5	+4.7	+1.4	+3.1	+2.1
Peyton Watson	28	+0.2	−1.2	−0.5	−1.1	+0.1	−0.8	−0.4	−0.7	−1.5	−1.3
Jaylon Tyson	21	−0.9	+0.1	−1.0	−0.5	−0.8	−1.6	+0.3	0.0	+0.6	+0.6
Sam Merrill	20	−0.1	+0.1	+0.5	+0.2	−1.1	+0.9	+0.4	+1.5	+2.6	+1.3
Meleek Thomas	20	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Mario Hezonja	17	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Tyrese Proctor	6	−1.6	−2.8	−2.0	−1.2	−2.2	−2.8	−2.0	−1.7	−2.9	−0.7
Team rating	239	+7.5	+7.2	+7.1	+6.3	+5.0	+6.0	+5.6	+5.4	+4.9	+5.5