CLE @ ATL, Thu, Oct 29 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 29·CLE @ ATL·Thu, Oct 29·0 of 10 right

ClevelandCavaliers

111

AtlantaHawks

114▸

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	CLE	ATL	pred	pick	miss
Final			+3	ATL
LOKI †	+8.1	+6.0	−2.1	CLE	5.1	✗
BPM	+8.0	+2.9	−5.1	CLE	8.1	✗
EPM projection	+7.7	+4.6	−3.0	CLE	6.0	✗
DARKO	+7.3	+3.5	−3.8	CLE	6.8	✗
OpenRAPM	+5.4	+1.8	−3.6	CLE	6.6	✗
EPM	+6.4	+2.3	−4.0	CLE	7.0	✗
xPM	+6.0	+3.5	−2.6	CLE	5.6	✗
Pulse	+6.4	+2.7	−3.7	CLE	6.7	✗
xRAPM	+5.6	+2.8	−2.8	CLE	5.8	✗
LEBRON	+6.9	+1.8	−5.1	CLE	8.2	✗

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

CLE	rating		min		48		adds
James Harden	+0.79	×	36	÷	48	=	+0.59
Evan Mobley	+3.23	×	33	÷	48	=	+2.22
Donovan Mitchell	+5.71	×	33	÷	48	=	+3.92
Jarrett Allen	+5.01	×	30	÷	48	=	+3.13
Peyton Watson	+0.20	×	22	÷	48	=	+0.09
Sam Merrill	−0.09	×	27	÷	48	=	−0.05
Tyrese Proctor	−1.61	×	20	÷	48	=	−0.67
Jaylon Tyson	−0.95	×	18	÷	48	=	−0.36
Mario Hezonja	−2.00	×	17	÷	48	=	−0.71
Craig Porter Jr.	−0.55	×	4	÷	48	=	−0.05
CLE team rating (sum)			240				+8.12

ATL	rating		min		47.6		adds
Jalen Johnson	+2.23	×	34	÷	47.6	=	+1.60
Onyeka Okongwu	+1.76	×	33	÷	47.6	=	+1.22
Dyson Daniels	+4.85	×	32	÷	47.6	=	+3.26
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	+2.28	×	31	÷	47.6	=	+1.49
CJ McCollum	+0.48	×	31	÷	47.6	=	+0.31
Aaron Wiggins	−0.06	×	24	÷	47.6	=	−0.03
Luguentz Dort	−1.91	×	22	÷	47.6	=	−0.89
Kingston Flemings	−2.00	×	16	÷	47.6	=	−0.67
Jock Landale	−0.95	×	15	÷	47.6	=	−0.30
ATL team rating (sum)			238				+5.99

predicted margin = ATL − CLE = +5.99 − (+8.12) = −2.13 → pick CLE

final margin = 114 − 111 = +3 → won ATL ✗

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

CLE	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
James Harden	36	+0.8	+3.9	+2.3	+3.2	+2.5	+2.0	+0.6	+1.3	+0.6	+2.1
Evan Mobley	33	+3.2	+3.0	+2.4	+2.7	+2.5	+1.6	+2.5	+3.0	+2.1	+3.1
Donovan Mitchell	33	+5.7	+5.1	+4.7	+4.4	+3.5	+4.1	+3.5	+4.7	+4.0	+3.4
Jarrett Allen	30	+5.0	+2.6	+5.1	+3.0	+2.9	+5.5	+4.7	+1.4	+3.1	+2.1
Peyton Watson	22	+0.2	−1.2	−0.5	−1.1	+0.1	−0.8	−0.4	−0.7	−1.5	−1.3
Sam Merrill	27	−0.1	+0.1	+0.5	+0.2	−1.1	+0.9	+0.4	+1.5	+2.6	+1.3
Tyrese Proctor	20	−1.6	−2.8	−2.0	−1.2	−2.2	−2.8

ATL	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Jalen Johnson	34	+2.2	+4.2	+1.5	+0.8	+0.8	+0.2	+2.3	+1.6	+0.7	+1.2
Onyeka Okongwu	33	+1.8	+0.7	+1.4	+1.6	+0.9	+0.7	+2.1	+0.5	+0.1	+0.9
Dyson Daniels	32	+4.8	+1.3	+3.8	+1.1	+3.4	+3.7	+1.8	+2.3	+3.7	+2.3
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	31	+2.3	+1.2	+2.5	+1.4	+0.6	+2.2	+0.6	+2.0	+1.9	+0.2
CJ McCollum	31	+0.5	−0.3	+0.5	+1.3	−0.4	+0.1	−1.4	0.0	+1.0	−0.3
Aaron Wiggins	24	−0.1	−0.9	−1.7	+0.6	−1.4	−2.7	+0.9	−1.0	+0.1	−0.3
Luguentz Dort	22	−1.9	−2.0	−0.4	−0.1	−0.5	−0.3	−0.6	−1.1	−1.6	−0.8
Kingston Flemings	16	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Jock Landale	15	−0.9	−0.1	−0.8	−0.8	−0.6	−0.7	+0.5	+0.2	−2.5	0.0
Team rating	238	+6.0	+2.9	+4.6	+3.5	+1.8	+2.3	+3.5	+2.7	+2.8	+1.8