MIN @ ORL, Fri, Oct 23 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 23·MIN @ ORL·Fri, Oct 23·1 of 10 right

MinnesotaTimberwolves

115◂

OrlandoMagic

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	MIN	ORL	pred	pick	miss
Final			−22	MIN
LOKI †	+2.7	+6.5	+3.8	ORL	25.8	✗
BPM	+2.7	+3.5	+0.8	ORL	22.8	✗
EPM projection	+3.5	+5.7	+2.2	ORL	24.2	✗
DARKO	+4.2	+3.3	−0.9	MIN	21.1	✓
OpenRAPM	−0.9	+0.7	+1.6	ORL	23.6	✗
EPM	+1.3	+2.7	+1.3	ORL	23.3	✗
xPM	+4.2	+4.5	+0.3	ORL	22.3	✗
Pulse	+0.8	+4.5	+3.6	ORL	25.6	✗
xRAPM	+0.8	+5.1	+4.3	ORL	26.3	✗
LEBRON	−0.3	+3.5	+3.8	ORL	25.8	✗

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

MIN	rating		min		48		adds
Anthony Edwards	+4.51	×	33	÷	48	=	+3.10
Jaden McDaniels	−0.09	×	30	÷	48	=	−0.06
Rudy Gobert	+1.28	×	30	÷	48	=	+0.80
Jonathan Kuminga	+1.67	×	27	÷	48	=	+0.94
LaMelo Ball	+3.23	×	23	÷	48	=	+1.55
Ayo Dosunmu	−1.41	×	27	÷	48	=	−0.79
Terrence Shannon Jr	−3.15	×	22	÷	48	=	−1.45
Trey Lyles	−2.00	×	17	÷	48	=	−0.71
Joan Beringer	−0.99	×	15	÷	48	=	−0.31
Bones Hyland	−0.09	×	8	÷	48	=	−0.02
Jaylen Clark	−0.43	×	3	÷	48	=	−0.03
Cody Williams	−4.56	×	3	÷	48	=	−0.29
Isaiah Evans	−2.00	×	2	÷	48	=	−0.08
MIN team rating (sum)			240				+2.66

ORL	rating		min		48		adds
Jalen Suggs	+2.77	×	34	÷	48	=	+1.96
Franz Wagner	+5.71	×	33	÷	48	=	+3.93
Wendell Carter Jr.	+1.48	×	29	÷	48	=	+0.90
Desmond Bane	+2.87	×	27	÷	48	=	+1.62
Paolo Banchero	+1.12	×	26	÷	48	=	+0.61
Tristan da Silva	−1.24	×	29	÷	48	=	−0.75
Jase Richardson	−2.41	×	14	÷	48	=	−0.70
Jevon Carter	−2.46	×	13	÷	48	=	−0.67
Goga Bitadze	+1.29	×	12	÷	48	=	+0.32
Jamal Cain	−1.44	×	11	÷	48	=	−0.33
Nikola Vučević	−0.78	×	4	÷	48	=	−0.07
Colin Castleton	−2.00	×	4	÷	48	=	−0.17
Alex Morales	−2.00	×	4	÷	48	=	−0.17
ORL team rating (sum)			240				+6.49

predicted margin = ORL − MIN = +6.49 − (+2.66) = +3.82 → pick ORL

final margin = 93 − 115 = −22 → won MIN ✗

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

MIN	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Anthony Edwards	33	+4.5	+4.5	+3.9	+4.5	+1.0	+2.3	+2.9	+1.7	+1.9	+1.3
Jaden McDaniels	30	−0.1	−0.3	+1.3	+0.6	−0.1	+0.9	+0.5	0.0	+0.9	−1.2
Rudy Gobert	30	+1.3	+1.0	+2.3	+2.6	+3.1	+2.5	+3.5	+2.4	+2.2	+1.8
Jonathan Kuminga	27	+1.7	−2.0	−1.0	−0.7	−1.7	−1.0	+1.3	−1.0	+1.1	−0.4
LaMelo Ball	23	+3.2	+4.7	+5.1	+3.1	+2.9	+4.5	+2.8	+3.7	+2.7	+2.8
Ayo Dosunmu	27	−1.4	+1.0	−0.5	−0.4	−1.4	−1.0	−0.2	−0.9	−1.4	−1.2
Terrence Shannon Jr	22	−3.2	−3.6	−1.5	−1.8	−3.6	−1.6

ORL	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Jalen Suggs	34	+2.8	+2.5	+1.9	+1.8	+2.6	+1.3	+2.7	+3.5	+3.2	+2.2
Franz Wagner	33	+5.7	+2.5	+5.1	+2.0	+0.5	+4.6	+3.1	+1.9	+4.7	+2.3
Wendell Carter Jr.	29	+1.5	−0.6	+1.8	+1.4	+1.4	+1.6	+1.2	+2.4	+1.5	+0.3
Desmond Bane	27	+2.9	+1.4	+2.8	+0.7	+0.7	+1.9	+2.1	+2.0	+1.7	+1.7
Paolo Banchero	26	+1.1	+1.4	+1.7	+1.0	−0.2	+0.3	+1.1	−0.9	−1.3	+0.9
Tristan da Silva	29	−1.2	−0.6	−0.6	−0.5	−1.0	−1.3	−1.4	+0.1	+0.6	−0.7
Jase Richardson	14	−2.4	−2.5	−3.2	−1.6	−3.1	−3.8	−2.5	−3.3	−2.9	−2.2
Jevon Carter	13	−2.5	−1.1	−3.0	−0.6	−2.3	−3.6	−1.7	−1.7	−1.7	−1.1
Goga Bitadze	12	+1.3	+2.8	+1.5	+1.2	+1.6	+1.2	+3.1	+1.4	+1.7	+2.2
Jamal Cain	11	−1.4	−1.4	−2.6	−0.6	−2.3	−3.0	−1.7	−0.7	−2.9	−0.7
Nikola Vučević	4	−0.8	+1.5	−0.3	−1.4	−0.6	+0.2	−0.6	+0.9	−0.4	+0.6
Colin Castleton	4	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Alex Morales	4	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Team rating	240	+6.5	+3.5	+5.7	+3.3	+0.7	+2.7	+4.5	+4.5	+5.1	+3.5