TOR @ MIN, Sun, Oct 25 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 25·TOR @ MIN·Sun, Oct 25·2 of 10 right

TorontoRaptors

MinnesotaTimberwolves

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Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	TOR	MIN	pred	pick	miss
Final			+23	MIN
LOKI †	+2.0	+1.5	−0.5	TOR	23.5	✗
BPM	+1.8	+1.3	−0.5	TOR	23.6	✗
EPM projection	+2.8	+2.1	−0.6	TOR	23.6	✗
DARKO	+2.3	+3.1	+0.8	MIN	22.2	✓
OpenRAPM	+1.4	−1.6	−3.0	TOR	26.0	✗
EPM	+1.1	+0.1	−1.0	TOR	24.0	✗
xPM	+2.3	+3.3	+1.0	MIN	22.0	✓
Pulse	+1.6	+0.1	−1.5	TOR	24.5	✗
xRAPM	+1.9	+0.1	−1.8	TOR	24.8	✗
LEBRON	+1.1	−0.8	−1.9	TOR	24.9	✗

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

TOR	rating		min		48		adds
RJ Barrett	+1.59	×	32	÷	48	=	+1.06
Ja'Kobe Walter	−0.92	×	31	÷	48	=	−0.60
Scottie Barnes	+2.99	×	28	÷	48	=	+1.75
Immanuel Quickley	+2.31	×	28	÷	48	=	+1.35
Jakob Poeltl	+1.56	×	19	÷	48	=	+0.62
Jamal Shead	+0.80	×	21	÷	48	=	+0.35
Allen Graves	−2.00	×	20	÷	48	=	−0.83
Collin Murray-Boyles	+0.15	×	19	÷	48	=	+0.06
Jamison Battle	−3.03	×	13	÷	48	=	−0.82
Kyle Anderson	−1.29	×	11	÷	48	=	−0.30
Alijah Martin	−2.00	×	7	÷	48	=	−0.29
Trayce Jackson-Davis	−1.16	×	6	÷	48	=	−0.15
Jaden Bradley	−2.00	×	5	÷	48	=	−0.21
TOR team rating (sum)			240				+1.99

MIN	rating		min		48		adds
Jaden McDaniels	−0.09	×	31	÷	48	=	−0.06
Rudy Gobert	+1.28	×	31	÷	48	=	+0.83
Anthony Edwards	+4.51	×	28	÷	48	=	+2.63
Jonathan Kuminga	+1.67	×	26	÷	48	=	+0.90
LaMelo Ball	+3.23	×	17	÷	48	=	+1.14
Ayo Dosunmu	−1.41	×	23	÷	48	=	−0.68
Terrence Shannon Jr	−3.15	×	23	÷	48	=	−1.51
Bones Hyland	−0.09	×	15	÷	48	=	−0.03
Trey Lyles	−2.00	×	14	÷	48	=	−0.58
Joan Beringer	−0.99	×	13	÷	48	=	−0.27
Jaylen Clark	−0.43	×	5	÷	48	=	−0.04
Zyon Pullin	−2.00	×	5	÷	48	=	−0.21
Cody Williams	−4.56	×	5	÷	48	=	−0.48
Isaiah Evans	−2.00	×	4	÷	48	=	−0.17
MIN team rating (sum)			240				+1.49

predicted margin = MIN − TOR = +1.49 − (+1.99) = −0.50 → pick TOR

final margin = 117 − 94 = +23 → won MIN ✗

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

TOR	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
RJ Barrett	32	+1.6	+0.2	+2.2	+1.1	+0.6	+2.4	−0.7	+0.9	+0.1	+1.2
Ja'Kobe Walter	31	−0.9	−0.3	−1.3	−0.4	+0.2	−2.1	−0.2	−1.4	+0.4	−0.8
Scottie Barnes	28	+3.0	+4.2	+3.6	+3.0	+3.8	+2.8	+3.2	+4.5	+2.7	+3.0
Immanuel Quickley	28	+2.3	+2.4	+2.2	+1.1	+0.4	+1.6	+2.4	+0.8	+1.8	+2.3
Jakob Poeltl	19	+1.6	+1.6	+1.3	+2.5	+1.0	+1.3	+2.7	+1.6	+0.8	−0.2
Jamal Shead	21	+0.8	−2.3	+1.0	+0.2	−0.2	+1.2	−1.0	+0.1	+1.1	+0.2
Allen Graves	20	−2.0	−2.0

MIN	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Jaden McDaniels	31	−0.1	−0.3	+1.3	+0.6	−0.1	+0.9	+0.5	0.0	+0.9	−1.2
Rudy Gobert	31	+1.3	+1.0	+2.3	+2.6	+3.1	+2.5	+3.5	+2.4	+2.2	+1.8
Anthony Edwards	28	+4.5	+4.5	+3.9	+4.5	+1.0	+2.3	+2.9	+1.7	+1.9	+1.3
Jonathan Kuminga	26	+1.7	−2.0	−1.0	−0.7	−1.7	−1.0	+1.3	−1.0	+1.1	−0.4
LaMelo Ball	17	+3.2	+4.7	+5.1	+3.1	+2.9	+4.5	+2.8	+3.7	+2.7	+2.8
Ayo Dosunmu	23	−1.4	+1.0	−0.5	−0.4	−1.4	−1.0	−0.2	−0.9	−1.4	−1.2
Terrence Shannon Jr	23	−3.2	−3.6	−1.5	−1.8	−3.6	−1.6	−2.1	−1.8	−3.6	−2.2
Bones Hyland	15	−0.1	+1.7	−1.3	+0.2	−0.9	−1.8	+0.7	+0.5	+0.1	+1.3
Trey Lyles	14	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Joan Beringer	13	−1.0	+0.4	−3.0	+0.1	−1.1	−3.6	−0.8	−2.0	−2.9	−0.7
Jaylen Clark	5	−0.4	−2.4	−1.8	−0.4	+0.2	−2.0	−1.1	−1.4	+0.7	−0.7
Zyon Pullin	5	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Cody Williams	5	−4.6	−5.5	−3.5	−2.7	−2.6	−4.4	−4.3	−4.1	−4.7	−3.0
Isaiah Evans	4	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Team rating	240	+1.5	+1.3	+2.1	+3.1	−1.6	+0.1	+3.3	+0.1	+0.1	−0.8