CHA @ DET, Wed, Oct 28 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 28·CHA @ DET·Wed, Oct 28·10 of 10 right

CharlotteHornets

DetroitPistons

97▸

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	CHA	DET	pred	pick	miss
Final			+8	DET
LOKI †	−2.4	+8.2	+10.7	DET	2.7	✓
BPM	+2.0	+11.0	+9.0	DET	1.0	✓
EPM projection	+0.6	+7.4	+6.8	DET	1.2	✓
DARKO	−1.6	+5.8	+7.4	DET	0.6	✓
OpenRAPM	+1.3	+7.7	+6.5	DET	1.5	✓
EPM	−0.4	+6.3	+6.8	DET	1.3	✓
xPM	+0.5	+7.8	+7.3	DET	0.7	✓
Pulse	+2.5	+9.3	+6.9	DET	1.1	✓
xRAPM	+1.5	+8.8	+7.2	DET	0.8	✓
LEBRON	−0.1	+8.3	+8.4	DET	0.4	✓

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

CHA	rating		min		48		adds
Brandon Miller	+1.67	×	38	÷	48	=	+1.32
Moussa Diabaté	+3.33	×	35	÷	48	=	+2.43
Dennis Schröder	−2.00	×	34	÷	48	=	−1.42
Sion James	−1.70	×	23	÷	48	=	−0.81
Naz Reid	+1.19	×	13	÷	48	=	+0.32
Royce O'Neale	−3.24	×	34	÷	48	=	−2.29
Grayson Allen	−0.79	×	30	÷	48	=	−0.49
Ryan Kalkbrenner	−1.37	×	13	÷	48	=	−0.37
Tidjane Salaün	−3.12	×	12	÷	48	=	−0.78
Christian Anderson	−2.00	×	8	÷	48	=	−0.33
CHA team rating (sum)			240				−2.43

DET	rating		min		47.8		adds
Cade Cunningham	+4.46	×	39	÷	47.8	=	+3.64
Paul Reed	+3.37	×	38	÷	47.8	=	+2.68
Duncan Robinson	−0.42	×	32	÷	47.8	=	−0.28
Ausar Thompson	+3.92	×	29	÷	47.8	=	+2.38
John Collins	−0.13	×	18	÷	47.8	=	−0.05
Daniss Jenkins	−0.72	×	24	÷	47.8	=	−0.36
Javonte Green	+0.67	×	21	÷	47.8	=	+0.29
Kevin Huerter	+1.82	×	19	÷	47.8	=	+0.72
Ronald Holland II	−1.41	×	12	÷	47.8	=	−0.35
Taurean Prince	−3.21	×	6	÷	47.8	=	−0.40
Tolu Smith	−2.00	×	1	÷	47.8	=	−0.04
DET team rating (sum)			239				+8.23

predicted margin = DET − CHA = +8.23 − (−2.43) = +10.66 → pick DET

final margin = 97 − 89 = +8 → won DET ✓

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

CHA	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Brandon Miller	38	+1.7	+1.6	+2.4	+1.2	+2.4	+1.6	+1.8	+2.8	+3.8	+1.3
Moussa Diabaté	35	+3.3	+1.7	+2.0	+1.2	+4.0	+2.3	+3.9	+3.0	+0.7	+1.8
Dennis Schröder	34	−2.0	−2.2	−1.4	−2.5	−2.9	−1.6	−2.3	−1.5	−1.9	−0.9
Sion James	23	−1.7	−2.0	−0.1	−1.4	+0.2	−0.2	−1.6	−0.8	+1.5	−0.3
Naz Reid	13	+1.2	+0.9	+0.8	+0.7	+0.3	+0.7	+0.6	+1.6	+2.0	+1.1
Royce O'Neale	34	−3.2	+0.7	−2.0	−1.5	−1.2	−2.4	−1.3	−1.2	−1.7	−2.1
Grayson Allen	30	−0.8	+2.1	+0.8	+0.9	−0.1	+1.0

DET	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Cade Cunningham	39	+4.5	+6.3	+5.5	+3.8	+4.0	+4.1	+3.7	+4.8	+3.7	+5.4
Paul Reed	38	+3.4	+5.3	+2.0	+1.7	+3.0	+2.4	+4.3	+4.0	+2.2	+2.0
Duncan Robinson	32	−0.4	+0.8	+0.4	+0.9	−0.5	+0.8	−0.8	+0.4	+1.3	+1.1
Ausar Thompson	29	+3.9	+3.1	+3.5	+1.1	+4.8	+3.8	+3.5	+3.3	+3.2	+2.8
John Collins	18	−0.1	−0.5	−0.8	+0.3	−1.3	−1.4	+1.4	−0.2	−1.7	−0.1
Daniss Jenkins	24	−0.7	−0.7	−1.1	−0.8	−1.8	−2.0	−0.6	−0.1	+0.4	+0.2
Javonte Green	21	+0.7	+2.1	+0.3	+0.8	+2.4	+0.7	−0.3	+1.3	+1.8	+0.7
Kevin Huerter	19	+1.8	−0.6	+0.2	+0.3	+0.1	+0.6	+0.6	+0.5	+2.3	0.0
Ronald Holland II	12	−1.4	−2.0	−0.9	+0.3	+0.6	−2.1	+0.1	−2.0	+1.2	−0.5
Taurean Prince	6	−3.2	−3.1	−1.8	−1.2	−2.8	−0.9	−3.5	−1.4	−2.5	−2.4
Tolu Smith	1	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Team rating	239	+8.2	+11.0	+7.4	+5.8	+7.7	+6.3	+7.8	+9.3	+8.8	+8.3