PHX @ OKC, Mon, Oct 26 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 26·PHX @ OKC·Mon, Oct 26·10 of 10 right

PhoenixSuns

114

Oklahoma CityThunder

125▸

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	PHX	OKC	pred	pick	miss
Final			+11	OKC
LOKI †	+1.7	+8.0	+6.3	OKC	4.7	✓
BPM	−0.9	+8.0	+8.9	OKC	2.1	✓
EPM projection	+1.1	+5.8	+4.7	OKC	6.3	✓
DARKO	+1.1	+3.3	+2.2	OKC	8.8	✓
OpenRAPM	−2.1	+3.0	+5.1	OKC	5.9	✓
EPM	+0.2	+5.5	+5.3	OKC	5.7	✓
xPM	−0.2	+5.1	+5.4	OKC	5.6	✓
Pulse	−0.7	+2.4	+3.1	OKC	8.0	✓
xRAPM	+1.0	+9.5	+8.5	OKC	2.5	✓
LEBRON	+1.7	+3.3	+1.6	OKC	9.4	✓

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

PHX	rating		min		48.4		adds
Devin Booker	+3.91	×	34	÷	48.4	=	+2.75
Dillon Brooks	−1.00	×	33	÷	48.4	=	−0.68
Miles Bridges	+1.15	×	32	÷	48.4	=	+0.76
Jalen Green	−0.09	×	31	÷	48.4	=	−0.06
Khaman Maluach	−3.05	×	26	÷	48.4	=	−1.64
Collin Gillespie	+2.66	×	23	÷	48.4	=	+1.26
Jordan Goodwin	+0.72	×	17	÷	48.4	=	+0.25
Luke Kennard	−0.18	×	16	÷	48.4	=	−0.06
Ryan Dunn	−1.01	×	14	÷	48.4	=	−0.29
Duop Reath	−2.45	×	7	÷	48.4	=	−0.35
Jamaree Bouyea	−0.65	×	3	÷	48.4	=	−0.04
Rasheer Fleming	−1.58	×	3	÷	48.4	=	−0.10
Koa Peat	−2.00	×	3	÷	48.4	=	−0.12
PHX team rating (sum)			242				+1.68

OKC	rating		min		48		adds
Jared McCain	−0.99	×	30	÷	48	=	−0.62
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	+12.67	×	30	÷	48	=	+7.92
Isaiah Hartenstein	+3.01	×	26	÷	48	=	+1.63
Ajay Mitchell	+2.07	×	25	÷	48	=	+1.08
Kenrich Williams	+0.45	×	24	÷	48	=	+0.23
Jaylin Williams	+0.73	×	26	÷	48	=	+0.40
Bennett Stirtz	−2.00	×	25	÷	48	=	−1.04
Josh Dix	−2.00	×	22	÷	48	=	−0.92
Aday Mara	−2.00	×	20	÷	48	=	−0.83
Alex Caruso	+2.55	×	9	÷	48	=	+0.48
Brooks Barnhizer	−5.86	×	3	÷	48	=	−0.37
OKC team rating (sum)			240				+7.95

predicted margin = OKC − PHX = +7.95 − (+1.68) = +6.27 → pick OKC

final margin = 125 − 114 = +11 → won OKC ✓

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

PHX	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Devin Booker	34	+3.9	+2.2	+4.0	+2.2	+1.5	+3.7	+1.8	+2.8	+2.8	+2.5
Dillon Brooks	33	−1.0	−2.3	+0.5	−0.3	−1.8	+0.7	−1.0	−1.0	+0.2	−0.1
Miles Bridges	32	+1.2	+1.1	+0.5	+0.5	+0.1	0.0	+0.2	+0.1	−1.7	+0.8
Jalen Green	31	−0.1	−1.1	+0.1	+0.3	−1.3	−0.4	−0.1	−1.9	+0.1	−0.4
Khaman Maluach	26	−3.1	−3.7	−3.3	−1.9	−2.1	−4.1	−1.4	−2.7	−2.8	−0.6
Collin Gillespie	23	+2.7	+2.5	+1.2	+1.7	+1.0	+1.8	+0.9	+2.3	+2.6	+1.9
Jordan Goodwin	17	+0.7	+1.8	+0.8	+0.6	+2.2	+1.0

OKC	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Jared McCain	30	−1.0	−2.4	−1.8	−1.5	−3.2	−2.9	−1.4	−2.9	+0.1	−2.7
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	30	+12.7	+11.7	+10.0	+6.0	+6.9	+8.9	+6.4	+5.8	+9.3	+6.7
Isaiah Hartenstein	26	+3.0	+4.2	+3.3	+3.1	+3.5	+4.3	+4.2	+3.3	+3.3	+3.6
Ajay Mitchell	25	+2.1	+1.9	+3.2	+1.3	+2.5	+3.2	+1.8	+2.3	+4.6	+2.4
Kenrich Williams	24	+0.5	+0.2	−1.0	+0.3	−1.4	−0.6	+0.2	−1.0	−0.7	−0.8
Jaylin Williams	26	+0.7	+2.7	+1.0	+1.0	+0.8	+1.2	+1.9	+1.2	+3.8	+1.0
Bennett Stirtz	25	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Josh Dix	22	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Aday Mara	20	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Alex Caruso	9	+2.5	+1.9	+1.8	+2.2	+4.0	+3.2	+3.4	+2.2	+4.4	+2.3
Brooks Barnhizer	3	−5.9	−3.1	−5.3	−2.7	−3.0	−6.7	−2.7	−3.7	−5.4	−2.6
Team rating	240	+8.0	+8.0	+5.8	+3.3	+3.0	+5.5	+5.1	+2.4	+9.5	+3.3