LAC @ MIN, Fri, Oct 30 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 30·LAC @ MIN·Fri, Oct 30·10 of 10 right

LAClippers

101

MinnesotaTimberwolves

127▸

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	LAC	MIN	pred	pick	miss
Final			+26	MIN
LOKI †	−1.8	−0.4	+1.4	MIN	24.6	✓
BPM	−7.9	+0.4	+8.3	MIN	17.7	✓
EPM projection	−3.0	+0.6	+3.6	MIN	22.4	✓
DARKO	−1.6	+1.5	+3.1	MIN	22.9	✓
OpenRAPM	−3.4	−1.2	+2.2	MIN	23.8	✓
EPM	−3.4	−0.8	+2.6	MIN	23.4	✓
xPM	−3.6	+2.3	+5.9	MIN	20.1	✓
Pulse	−4.7	−0.1	+4.6	MIN	21.4	✓
xRAPM	−1.5	−0.1	+1.4	MIN	24.6	✓
LEBRON	−4.0	−0.8	+3.3	MIN	22.8	✓

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

LAC	rating		min		47.6		adds
Kris Dunn	+0.77	×	31	÷	47.6	=	+0.50
Darius Garland	+2.74	×	31	÷	47.6	=	+1.78
Derrick Jones Jr.	+0.53	×	26	÷	47.6	=	+0.29
Rui Hachimura	+0.08	×	26	÷	47.6	=	+0.04
Isaiah Jackson	+0.32	×	22	÷	47.6	=	+0.15
Keaton Wagler	−2.00	×	25	÷	47.6	=	−1.05
Kobe Sanders	−2.10	×	24	÷	47.6	=	−1.06
Brook Lopez	−2.23	×	21	÷	47.6	=	−0.99
Gradey Dick	−1.89	×	12	÷	47.6	=	−0.48
Cam Christie	−2.37	×	5	÷	47.6	=	−0.25
Nick Martinelli	−2.00	×	5	÷	47.6	=	−0.21
Baba Miller	−2.00	×	5	÷	47.6	=	−0.21
Blake Wesley	−2.63	×	5	÷	47.6	=	−0.28
LAC team rating (sum)			238				−1.75

MIN	rating		min		48.4		adds
Jaden McDaniels	−0.09	×	33	÷	48.4	=	−0.06
Rudy Gobert	+1.28	×	30	÷	48.4	=	+0.80
Ayo Dosunmu	−1.41	×	30	÷	48.4	=	−0.87
LaMelo Ball	+3.23	×	29	÷	48.4	=	+1.93
Jonathan Kuminga	+1.67	×	22	÷	48.4	=	+0.76
Terrence Shannon Jr	−3.15	×	20	÷	48.4	=	−1.30
Bones Hyland	−0.09	×	20	÷	48.4	=	−0.04
Joan Beringer	−0.99	×	18	÷	48.4	=	−0.37
Trey Lyles	−2.00	×	17	÷	48.4	=	−0.70
Jaylen Clark	−0.43	×	17	÷	48.4	=	−0.15
Isaiah Evans	−2.00	×	2	÷	48.4	=	−0.08
Zyon Pullin	−2.00	×	2	÷	48.4	=	−0.08
Cody Williams	−4.56	×	2	÷	48.4	=	−0.19
MIN team rating (sum)			242				−0.36

predicted margin = MIN − LAC = −0.36 − (−1.75) = +1.39 → pick MIN

final margin = 127 − 101 = +26 → won MIN ✓

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

LAC	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Kris Dunn	31	+0.8	−0.8	−0.1	+0.5	+2.0	+0.1	−1.8	+1.2	+1.4	+0.5
Darius Garland	31	+2.7	−0.2	+2.4	+1.7	−1.1	+1.6	+1.6	−0.2	+1.6	+0.4
Derrick Jones Jr.	26	+0.5	−0.7	+0.3	+1.3	+0.8	+0.9	+0.4	+0.1	+0.3	0.0
Rui Hachimura	26	+0.1	−2.2	−1.0	−1.1	−2.3	−1.5	−1.6	−3.1	−0.1	−2.2
Isaiah Jackson	22	+0.3	−1.2	−1.3	+0.2	+0.3	−1.7	+2.5	+0.1	−1.4	0.0
Keaton Wagler	25	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0

MIN	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Jaden McDaniels	33	−0.1	−0.3	+1.3	+0.6	−0.1	+0.9	+0.5	0.0	+0.9	−1.2
Rudy Gobert	30	+1.3	+1.0	+2.3	+2.6	+3.1	+2.5	+3.5	+2.4	+2.2	+1.8
Ayo Dosunmu	30	−1.4	+1.0	−0.5	−0.4	−1.4	−1.0	−0.2	−0.9	−1.4	−1.2
LaMelo Ball	29	+3.2	+4.7	+5.1	+3.1	+2.9	+4.5	+2.8	+3.7	+2.7	+2.8
Jonathan Kuminga	22	+1.7	−2.0	−1.0	−0.7	−1.7	−1.0	+1.3	−1.0	+1.1	−0.4
Terrence Shannon Jr	20	−3.2	−3.6	−1.5	−1.8	−3.6	−1.6	−2.1	−1.8	−3.6	−2.2
Bones Hyland	20	−0.1	+1.7	−1.3	+0.2	−0.9	−1.8	+0.7	+0.5	+0.1	+1.3
Joan Beringer	18	−1.0	+0.4	−3.0	+0.1	−1.1	−3.6	−0.8	−2.0	−2.9	−0.7
Trey Lyles	17	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Jaylen Clark	17	−0.4	−2.4	−1.8	−0.4	+0.2	−2.0	−1.1	−1.4	+0.7	−0.7
Isaiah Evans	2	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Zyon Pullin	2	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Cody Williams	2	−4.6	−5.5	−3.5	−2.7	−2.6	−4.4	−4.3	−4.1	−4.7	−3.0
Team rating	242	−0.4	+0.4	+0.6	+1.5	−1.2	−0.8	+2.3	−0.1	−0.1	−0.8