BOS @ DET, Tue, Oct 20 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 20·BOS @ DET·Tue, Oct 20·4 of 10 right

BostonCeltics

113

DetroitPistons

121▸

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	BOS	DET	pred	pick	miss
Final			+8	DET
LOKI †	+9.2	+10.5	+1.3	DET	6.7	✓
BPM	+11.8	+13.0	+1.2	DET	6.8	✓
EPM projection	+11.7	+9.2	−2.4	BOS	10.4	✗
DARKO	+10.5	+6.5	−4.1	BOS	12.1	✗
OpenRAPM	+8.2	+8.1	−0.1	BOS	8.1	✗
EPM	+12.0	+8.2	−3.8	BOS	11.8	✗
xPM	+10.1	+10.2	+0.1	DET	7.9	✓
Pulse	+9.9	+10.6	+0.7	DET	7.3	✓
xRAPM	+13.2	+9.3	−3.9	BOS	11.9	✗
LEBRON	+11.4	+10.2	−1.2	BOS	9.2	✗

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

BOS	rating		min		48		adds
Jayson Tatum	+4.59	×	38	÷	48	=	+3.64
Derrick White	+3.76	×	36	÷	48	=	+2.82
Paul George	+1.13	×	31	÷	48	=	+0.73
Mitchell Robinson	+1.53	×	18	÷	48	=	+0.57
Jordan Walsh	−2.05	×	13	÷	48	=	−0.56
Payton Pritchard	+1.53	×	28	÷	48	=	+0.89
Neemias Queta	+3.56	×	22	÷	48	=	+1.63
Sam Hauser	+0.53	×	18	÷	48	=	+0.20
Baylor Scheierman	−1.42	×	18	÷	48	=	−0.53
Hugo González	−1.10	×	10	÷	48	=	−0.23
Luka Garza	+0.02	×	8	÷	48	=	0.00
BOS team rating (sum)			240				+9.17

DET	rating		min		47.8		adds
Cade Cunningham	+4.46	×	35	÷	47.8	=	+3.26
Ausar Thompson	+3.92	×	33	÷	47.8	=	+2.71
Jalen Duren	+3.93	×	28	÷	47.8	=	+2.30
Duncan Robinson	−0.42	×	28	÷	47.8	=	−0.24
John Collins	−0.13	×	25	÷	47.8	=	−0.07
Isaiah Joe	+1.79	×	19	÷	47.8	=	+0.71
Kevin Huerter	+1.82	×	18	÷	47.8	=	+0.68
Javonte Green	+0.67	×	18	÷	47.8	=	+0.25
Paul Reed	+3.37	×	17	÷	47.8	=	+1.20
Daniss Jenkins	−0.72	×	15	÷	47.8	=	−0.23
Ronald Holland II	−1.41	×	3	÷	47.8	=	−0.09
DET team rating (sum)			239				+10.50

predicted margin = DET − BOS = +10.50 − (+9.17) = +1.33 → pick DET

final margin = 121 − 113 = +8 → won DET ✓

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

BOS	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Jayson Tatum	38	+4.6	+4.8	+5.9	+5.0	+1.7	+5.4	+4.7	+2.8	+4.4	+3.9
Derrick White	36	+3.8	+3.2	+3.3	+2.5	+3.0	+3.3	+2.8	+4.1	+4.4	+4.6
Paul George	31	+1.1	+1.7	+1.2	+1.9	−0.1	+1.2	+1.5	+2.3	+1.4	+1.7
Mitchell Robinson	18	+1.5	+3.5	+2.4	+2.7	+3.3	+3.5	+3.5	+2.7	+1.1	+2.2
Jordan Walsh	13	−2.1	+0.2	−0.5	+0.5	+1.8	−1.0	−0.7	−0.7	+1.2	−0.5
Payton Pritchard	28	+1.5	+2.3	+2.8	+1.5	+0.8	+2.6	+0.7	+0.4	+2.4	+1.9
Neemias Queta	22	+3.6	+2.8	+2.2	+2.4	+4.4	+3.3

DET	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Cade Cunningham	35	+4.5	+6.3	+5.5	+3.8	+4.0	+4.1	+3.7	+4.8	+3.7	+5.4
Ausar Thompson	33	+3.9	+3.1	+3.5	+1.1	+4.8	+3.8	+3.5	+3.3	+3.2	+2.8
Jalen Duren	28	+3.9	+5.0	+3.5	+1.7	+2.7	+3.2	+4.4	+4.3	+1.4	+4.0
Duncan Robinson	28	−0.4	+0.8	+0.4	+0.9	−0.5	+0.8	−0.8	+0.4	+1.3	+1.1
John Collins	25	−0.1	−0.5	−0.8	+0.3	−1.3	−1.4	+1.4	−0.2	−1.7	−0.1
Isaiah Joe	19	+1.8	+2.5	+1.0	+1.2	−0.6	+1.2	+2.1	+0.4	+2.9	+0.9
Kevin Huerter	18	+1.8	−0.6	+0.2	+0.3	+0.1	+0.6	+0.6	+0.5	+2.3	0.0
Javonte Green	18	+0.7	+2.1	+0.3	+0.8	+2.4	+0.7	−0.3	+1.3	+1.8	+0.7
Paul Reed	17	+3.4	+5.3	+2.0	+1.7	+3.0	+2.4	+4.3	+4.0	+2.2	+2.0
Daniss Jenkins	15	−0.7	−0.7	−1.1	−0.8	−1.8	−2.0	−0.6	−0.1	+0.4	+0.2
Ronald Holland II	3	−1.4	−2.0	−0.9	+0.3	+0.6	−2.1	+0.1	−2.0	+1.2	−0.5
Team rating	239	+10.5	+13.0	+9.2	+6.5	+8.1	+8.2	+10.2	+10.6	+9.3	+10.2