UTA @ MEM, Wed, Oct 21 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 21·UTA @ MEM·Wed, Oct 21·8 of 10 right

UtahJazz

103

MemphisGrizzlies

123▸

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	UTA	MEM	pred	pick	miss
Final			+20	MEM
LOKI †	+0.8	+0.7	−0.1	UTA	20.1	✗
BPM	−3.3	+1.0	+4.4	MEM	15.6	✓
EPM projection	−1.2	+2.1	+3.4	MEM	16.6	✓
DARKO	−2.8	−1.8	+1.0	MEM	19.0	✓
OpenRAPM	−2.9	−1.8	+1.1	MEM	18.9	✓
EPM	−3.6	+1.4	+5.1	MEM	14.9	✓
xPM	−0.4	−1.3	−0.9	UTA	20.9	✗
Pulse	−2.0	−0.2	+1.8	MEM	18.2	✓
xRAPM	−4.3	+0.7	+5.0	MEM	15.0	✓
LEBRON	−3.0	−1.6	+1.4	MEM	18.6	✓

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

UTA	rating		min		48		adds
Lauri Markkanen	+4.97	×	36	÷	48	=	+3.73
Darryn Peterson	−2.00	×	31	÷	48	=	−1.29
Keyonte George	−0.65	×	29	÷	48	=	−0.40
Jaren Jackson Jr.	+2.69	×	28	÷	48	=	+1.57
Jaxson Hayes	−0.62	×	26	÷	48	=	−0.34
Ace Bailey	−3.56	×	24	÷	48	=	−1.78
Svi Mykhailiuk	+0.82	×	19	÷	48	=	+0.33
Isaiah Collier	−2.99	×	16	÷	48	=	−1.00
Brice Sensabaugh	−1.05	×	14	÷	48	=	−0.31
Kyle Filipowski	+1.04	×	9	÷	48	=	+0.19
Josh Okogie	+0.30	×	8	÷	48	=	+0.05
UTA team rating (sum)			240				+0.76

MEM	rating		min		48		adds
Cameron Boozer	−2.00	×	33	÷	48	=	−1.37
Ty Jerome	+4.01	×	32	÷	48	=	+2.67
Jaylen Wells	−0.47	×	28	÷	48	=	−0.28
Cedric Coward	+1.45	×	28	÷	48	=	+0.84
Zach Edey	+2.02	×	21	÷	48	=	+0.88
Jerami Grant	−1.62	×	24	÷	48	=	−0.81
Scotty Pippen Jr.	−2.00	×	20	÷	48	=	−0.83
GG Jackson	−0.54	×	19	÷	48	=	−0.21
Quinten Post	−1.76	×	19	÷	48	=	−0.70
Cam Spencer	+1.52	×	16	÷	48	=	+0.51
MEM team rating (sum)			240				+0.70

predicted margin = MEM − UTA = +0.70 − (+0.76) = −0.06 → pick UTA

final margin = 123 − 103 = +20 → won MEM ✗

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

UTA	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Lauri Markkanen	36	+5.0	+2.6	+3.3	+1.7	+1.9	+3.3	+1.9	+4.8	+3.7	+2.2
Darryn Peterson	31	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Keyonte George	29	−0.7	+0.9	+1.3	−1.8	−0.3	−0.2	−1.5	−1.0	−3.4	−0.6
Jaren Jackson Jr.	28	+2.7	−0.6	+1.2	+1.4	+1.6	+0.9	+3.1	+0.5	+1.5	+0.2
Jaxson Hayes	26	−0.6	+1.2	−1.0	0.0	+0.2	−0.6	+1.2	+0.8	−0.5	+0.3
Ace Bailey	24

MEM	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Cameron Boozer	33	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Ty Jerome	32	+4.0	+7.7	+3.8	+3.2	+2.8	+4.1	+1.2	+2.8	+2.7	+3.0
Jaylen Wells	28	−0.5	−3.1	+1.3	−1.0	−0.7	+1.0	−1.8	−0.8	0.0	−0.6
Cedric Coward	28	+1.4	−0.2	+1.7	−0.7	0.0	+1.1	+1.0	−0.4	+0.9	−1.2
Zach Edey	21	+2.0	+0.5	+2.3	+0.6	+2.1	+2.7	+2.6	+3.8	+4.8	+0.9
Jerami Grant	24	−1.6	0.0	−1.0	−0.8	−1.7	−1.1	−1.5	−0.3	−2.0	−0.3
Scotty Pippen Jr.	20	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
GG Jackson	19	−0.5	−1.2	−1.2	−1.0	−1.7	−1.9	−0.6	−2.4	−2.9	−0.8
Quinten Post	19	−1.8	−1.1	−0.1	−0.4	−0.7	0.0	0.0	+0.1	+0.4	−0.6
Cam Spencer	16	+1.5	+2.2	+0.3	+0.1	−0.5	−0.3	+1.3	+0.8	+1.3	−0.3
Team rating	240	+0.7	+1.0	+2.1	−1.8	−1.8	+1.4	−1.3	−0.2	+0.7	−1.6