NOP @ UTA, Fri, Oct 23 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 23·NOP @ UTA·Fri, Oct 23·2 of 10 right

New OrleansPelicans

119

UtahJazz

120▸

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	NOP	UTA	pred	pick	miss
Final			+1	UTA
LOKI †	+1.6	+0.8	−0.8	NOP	1.8	✗
BPM	−0.7	−3.3	−2.6	NOP	3.6	✗
EPM projection	+0.6	−1.2	−1.8	NOP	2.8	✗
DARKO	−1.2	−2.9	−1.7	NOP	2.7	✗
OpenRAPM	−3.8	−3.2	+0.6	UTA	0.4	✓
EPM	−3.7	−3.8	−0.1	NOP	1.1	✗
xPM	+2.1	−0.3	−2.4	NOP	3.4	✗
Pulse	−1.9	−2.2	−0.3	NOP	1.3	✗
xRAPM	−5.6	−4.6	+1.0	UTA	0.0	✓
LEBRON	−0.5	−3.2	−2.7	NOP	3.7	✗

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

NOP	rating		min		47.8		adds
Zion Williamson	+3.85	×	33	÷	47.8	=	+2.66
Trey Murphy III	+1.56	×	31	÷	47.8	=	+1.01
Dejounte Murray	+0.50	×	30	÷	47.8	=	+0.32
Jeremiah Fears	−1.42	×	24	÷	47.8	=	−0.72
Yves Missi	−1.61	×	9	÷	47.8	=	−0.30
Derik Queen	−2.22	×	29	÷	47.8	=	−1.35
Saddiq Bey	+0.70	×	22	÷	47.8	=	+0.32
Jordan Poole	−0.89	×	19	÷	47.8	=	−0.35
Herbert Jones	+1.36	×	18	÷	47.8	=	+0.51
Bennedict Mathurin	−1.56	×	15	÷	47.8	=	−0.49
Karlo Matković	+0.08	×	9	÷	47.8	=	+0.02
NOP team rating (sum)			239				+1.62

UTA	rating		min		48		adds
Lauri Markkanen	+4.97	×	34	÷	48	=	+3.52
Jaren Jackson Jr.	+2.69	×	33	÷	48	=	+1.85
Keyonte George	−0.65	×	32	÷	48	=	−0.44
Darryn Peterson	−2.00	×	30	÷	48	=	−1.25
Ace Bailey	−3.56	×	22	÷	48	=	−1.63
Jaxson Hayes	−0.62	×	26	÷	48	=	−0.34
Svi Mykhailiuk	+0.82	×	21	÷	48	=	+0.36
Isaiah Collier	−2.99	×	18	÷	48	=	−1.12
Brice Sensabaugh	−1.05	×	16	÷	48	=	−0.35
Kyle Filipowski	+1.04	×	8	÷	48	=	+0.17
UTA team rating (sum)			240				+0.78

predicted margin = UTA − NOP = +0.78 − (+1.62) = −0.84 → pick NOP

final margin = 120 − 119 = +1 → won UTA ✗

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

NOP	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Zion Williamson	33	+3.8	+2.9	+2.3	+1.6	+0.2	+0.9	+3.5	+0.8	+0.9	+0.4
Trey Murphy III	31	+1.6	+2.4	+1.1	+0.5	+0.5	+0.6	+1.6	+2.5	−0.6	+0.5
Dejounte Murray	30	+0.5	+1.4	+0.3	+0.6	+0.6	0.0	+0.3	+1.0	−2.5	+1.6
Jeremiah Fears	24	−1.4	−2.7	−0.2	−0.8	−2.7	−2.1	−1.7	−3.4	−2.8	−1.5
Yves Missi	9	−1.6	−1.7	−0.2	−0.9	+0.5	−0.7	−2.9	−1.3	−2.6	−0.5
Derik Queen	29	−2.2	−0.8	−0.7	−1.4	−0.9	−2.6	−0.8	−2.2	−3.3	−0.5
Saddiq Bey	22	+0.7	+0.5	+0.2	−0.5	−1.8	−0.4

UTA	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Lauri Markkanen	34	+5.0	+2.6	+3.3	+1.7	+1.9	+3.3	+1.9	+4.8	+3.7	+2.2
Jaren Jackson Jr.	33	+2.7	−0.6	+1.2	+1.4	+1.6	+0.9	+3.1	+0.5	+1.5	+0.2
Keyonte George	32	−0.7	+0.9	+1.3	−1.8	−0.3	−0.2	−1.5	−1.0	−3.4	−0.6
Darryn Peterson	30	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Ace Bailey	22	−3.6	−4.4	−2.1	−2.6	−3.2	−3.6	−2.3	−4.1	−3.4	−2.5
Jaxson Hayes	26	−0.6	+1.2	−1.0	0.0	+0.2	−0.6	+1.2	+0.8	−0.5	+0.3
Svi Mykhailiuk	21	+0.8	−1.7	−1.8	−0.4	−1.4	−1.7	−1.1	−0.9	+0.2	−1.8
Isaiah Collier	18	−3.0	−2.4	−3.2	−2.8	−2.3	−4.4	−2.0	−3.3	−5.3	−2.3
Brice Sensabaugh	16	−1.1	−2.6	−1.4	−0.7	−3.8	−2.5	−0.6	−2.4	−2.5	−1.9
Kyle Filipowski	8	+1.0	−1.1	0.0	+0.2	+0.1	−1.1	+1.6	−1.0	−1.2	−0.3
Team rating	240	+0.8	−3.3	−1.2	−2.9	−3.2	−3.8	−0.3	−2.2	−4.6	−3.2