GSW @ MIN, Wed, Oct 28 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 28·GSW @ MIN·Wed, Oct 28·6 of 10 right

Golden StateWarriors

119◂

MinnesotaTimberwolves

114

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	GSW	MIN	pred	pick	miss
Final			−5	GSW
LOKI †	+1.5	−0.7	−2.1	GSW	2.9	✓
BPM	−0.4	−0.3	+0.2	MIN	5.2	✗
EPM projection	+1.2	+0.1	−1.1	GSW	3.9	✓
DARKO	−0.2	+0.6	+0.9	MIN	5.8	✗
OpenRAPM	−1.2	−2.8	−1.7	GSW	3.3	✓
EPM	+0.3	−1.3	−1.6	GSW	3.4	✓
xPM	−1.4	+1.8	+3.2	MIN	8.2	✗
Pulse	−1.6	−0.9	+0.7	MIN	5.7	✗
xRAPM	−0.4	−1.1	−0.7	GSW	4.3	✓
LEBRON	+0.1	−1.6	−1.7	GSW	3.3	✓

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

GSW	rating		min		48.2		adds
Yaxel Lendeborg	−2.00	×	35	÷	48.2	=	−1.45
Draymond Green	−1.43	×	32	÷	48.2	=	−0.95
Brandin Podziemski	+3.00	×	32	÷	48.2	=	+1.99
Stephen Curry	+4.83	×	32	÷	48.2	=	+3.20
Georges Niang	−2.00	×	23	÷	48.2	=	−0.95
Will Richard	−1.59	×	23	÷	48.2	=	−0.76
De'Anthony Melton	+1.01	×	20	÷	48.2	=	+0.42
Al Horford	−0.26	×	18	÷	48.2	=	−0.10
Brandon Williams	−0.16	×	14	÷	48.2	=	−0.05
Gary Payton II	+0.95	×	10	÷	48.2	=	+0.20
Charles Bassey	−2.00	×	2	÷	48.2	=	−0.08
GSW team rating (sum)			241				+1.47

MIN	rating		min		47.8		adds
Jaden McDaniels	−0.09	×	35	÷	47.8	=	−0.07
Jonathan Kuminga	+1.67	×	32	÷	47.8	=	+1.12
Ayo Dosunmu	−1.41	×	32	÷	47.8	=	−0.94
LaMelo Ball	+3.23	×	28	÷	47.8	=	+1.89
Rudy Gobert	+1.28	×	20	÷	47.8	=	+0.54
Terrence Shannon Jr	−3.15	×	27	÷	47.8	=	−1.78
Trey Lyles	−2.00	×	22	÷	47.8	=	−0.92
Joan Beringer	−0.99	×	20	÷	47.8	=	−0.41
Bones Hyland	−0.09	×	16	÷	47.8	=	−0.03
Jaylen Clark	−0.43	×	7	÷	47.8	=	−0.06
MIN team rating (sum)			239				−0.67

predicted margin = MIN − GSW = −0.67 − (+1.47) = −2.14 → pick GSW

final margin = 114 − 119 = −5 → won GSW ✓

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

GSW	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Yaxel Lendeborg	35	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Draymond Green	32	−1.4	−1.4	+0.2	0.0	−0.4	−0.2	−0.4	−0.6	−1.5	−0.7
Brandin Podziemski	32	+3.0	+0.2	+1.9	+0.5	−0.6	+0.7	+1.3	+0.6	+2.3	+0.2
Stephen Curry	32	+4.8	+5.4	+5.2	+2.8	+1.9	+5.9	+1.7	+2.4	+3.6	+3.1
Georges Niang	23	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0

MIN	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Jaden McDaniels	35	−0.1	−0.3	+1.3	+0.6	−0.1	+0.9	+0.5	0.0	+0.9	−1.2
Jonathan Kuminga	32	+1.7	−2.0	−1.0	−0.7	−1.7	−1.0	+1.3	−1.0	+1.1	−0.4
Ayo Dosunmu	32	−1.4	+1.0	−0.5	−0.4	−1.4	−1.0	−0.2	−0.9	−1.4	−1.2
LaMelo Ball	28	+3.2	+4.7	+5.1	+3.1	+2.9	+4.5	+2.8	+3.7	+2.7	+2.8
Rudy Gobert	20	+1.3	+1.0	+2.3	+2.6	+3.1	+2.5	+3.5	+2.4	+2.2	+1.8
Terrence Shannon Jr	27	−3.2	−3.6	−1.5	−1.8	−3.6	−1.6	−2.1	−1.8	−3.6	−2.2
Trey Lyles	22	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Joan Beringer	20	−1.0	+0.4	−3.0	+0.1	−1.1	−3.6	−0.8	−2.0	−2.9	−0.7
Bones Hyland	16	−0.1	+1.7	−1.3	+0.2	−0.9	−1.8	+0.7	+0.5	+0.1	+1.3
Jaylen Clark	7	−0.4	−2.4	−1.8	−0.4	+0.2	−2.0	−1.1	−1.4	+0.7	−0.7
Team rating	239	−0.7	−0.3	+0.1	+0.6	−2.8	−1.3	+1.8	−0.9	−1.1	−1.6