BKN @ CLE, Sat, Oct 24 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 24·BKN @ CLE·Sat, Oct 24·10 of 10 right

BrooklynNets

121

ClevelandCavaliers

125▸

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	BKN	CLE	pred	pick	miss
Final			+4	CLE
LOKI †	+0.1	+8.3	+8.2	CLE	4.2	✓
BPM	−0.5	+8.1	+8.6	CLE	4.6	✓
EPM projection	−2.0	+7.5	+9.5	CLE	5.5	✓
DARKO	0.0	+7.0	+7.0	CLE	3.0	✓
OpenRAPM	−1.7	+5.8	+7.5	CLE	3.5	✓
EPM	−3.5	+6.2	+9.6	CLE	5.6	✓
xPM	+0.6	+6.1	+5.5	CLE	1.5	✓
Pulse	+0.4	+6.4	+6.0	CLE	2.0	✓
xRAPM	−3.7	+5.5	+9.3	CLE	5.3	✓
LEBRON	−2.8	+6.6	+9.5	CLE	5.4	✓

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

BKN	rating		min		47.8		adds
Julius Randle	+0.96	×	35	÷	47.8	=	+0.70
Michael Porter Jr.	+1.64	×	33	÷	47.8	=	+1.13
Egor Dëmin	−0.69	×	31	÷	47.8	=	−0.45
Day'Ron Sharpe	+4.02	×	23	÷	47.8	=	+1.93
Keon Ellis	−0.13	×	22	÷	47.8	=	−0.06
Chaney Johnson	−1.62	×	27	÷	47.8	=	−0.91
Mikel Brown Jr.	−2.00	×	20	÷	47.8	=	−0.84
Noah Clowney	−2.51	×	20	÷	47.8	=	−1.05
Moritz Wagner	−0.30	×	14	÷	47.8	=	−0.09
Josh Minott	+0.63	×	9	÷	47.8	=	+0.12
Nolan Traore	−3.62	×	5	÷	47.8	=	−0.38
BKN team rating (sum)			239				+0.12

CLE	rating		min		47.8		adds
Evan Mobley	+3.23	×	35	÷	47.8	=	+2.37
Donovan Mitchell	+5.71	×	35	÷	47.8	=	+4.18
James Harden	+0.79	×	33	÷	47.8	=	+0.54
Peyton Watson	+0.20	×	31	÷	47.8	=	+0.13
Jarrett Allen	+5.01	×	27	÷	47.8	=	+2.83
Sam Merrill	−0.09	×	21	÷	47.8	=	−0.04
Jaylon Tyson	−0.95	×	21	÷	47.8	=	−0.42
Mario Hezonja	−2.00	×	20	÷	47.8	=	−0.84
Tyrese Proctor	−1.61	×	11	÷	47.8	=	−0.37
Craig Porter Jr.	−0.55	×	5	÷	47.8	=	−0.06
CLE team rating (sum)			239				+8.32

predicted margin = CLE − BKN = +8.32 − (+0.12) = +8.20 → pick CLE

final margin = 125 − 121 = +4 → won CLE ✓

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

BKN	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Julius Randle	35	+1.0	+1.5	+0.5	+0.4	+0.7	+0.2	0.0	+0.8	−0.2	+0.3
Michael Porter Jr.	33	+1.6	+3.0	+2.3	+2.0	+0.7	+2.1	+0.7	+2.0	+0.6	+0.7
Egor Dëmin	31	−0.7	−1.6	−1.0	−1.2	−1.3	−1.7	−1.1	−1.1	+0.3	−0.9
Day'Ron Sharpe	23	+4.0	+1.4	+1.2	+1.5	+2.1	+0.9	+4.7	+2.8	+2.6	+0.5
Keon Ellis	22	−0.1	−0.5	−1.0	+0.3	−0.2	−1.6	+1.2	−0.4	+0.1	−0.2
Chaney Johnson	27	−1.6	+0.1	−1.6	−0.4	−0.9	−1.2	−1.8	−0.3	−4.1	−0.9
Mikel Brown Jr.	20	−2.0	−2.0

CLE	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Evan Mobley	35	+3.2	+3.0	+2.4	+2.7	+2.5	+1.6	+2.5	+3.0	+2.1	+3.1
Donovan Mitchell	35	+5.7	+5.1	+4.7	+4.4	+3.5	+4.1	+3.5	+4.7	+4.0	+3.4
James Harden	33	+0.8	+3.9	+2.3	+3.2	+2.5	+2.0	+0.6	+1.3	+0.6	+2.1
Peyton Watson	31	+0.2	−1.2	−0.5	−1.1	+0.1	−0.8	−0.4	−0.7	−1.5	−1.3
Jarrett Allen	27	+5.0	+2.6	+5.1	+3.0	+2.9	+5.5	+4.7	+1.4	+3.1	+2.1
Sam Merrill	21	−0.1	+0.1	+0.5	+0.2	−1.1	+0.9	+0.4	+1.5	+2.6	+1.3
Jaylon Tyson	21	−0.9	+0.1	−1.0	−0.5	−0.8	−1.6	+0.3	0.0	+0.6	+0.6
Mario Hezonja	20	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Tyrese Proctor	11	−1.6	−2.8	−2.0	−1.2	−2.2	−2.8	−2.0	−1.7	−2.9	−0.7
Craig Porter Jr.	5	−0.5	+2.0	−2.1	−0.8	+1.4	−2.3	−0.7	+0.3	−0.3	+1.8
Team rating	239	+8.3	+8.1	+7.5	+7.0	+5.8	+6.2	+6.1	+6.4	+5.5	+6.6