MEM @ UTA, Mon, Oct 26 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 26·MEM @ UTA·Mon, Oct 26·10 of 10 right

MemphisGrizzlies

110◂

UtahJazz

105

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	MEM	UTA	pred	pick	miss
Final			−5	MEM
LOKI †	+1.0	−5.9	−6.9	MEM	1.9	✓
BPM	+1.3	−8.2	−9.4	MEM	4.4	✓
EPM projection	+2.4	−5.7	−8.1	MEM	3.1	✓
DARKO	−1.9	−6.1	−4.2	MEM	0.8	✓
OpenRAPM	−1.6	−5.8	−4.1	MEM	0.9	✓
EPM	+1.6	−8.2	−9.8	MEM	4.8	✓
xPM	−0.7	−5.7	−5.0	MEM	0.0	✓
Pulse	0.0	−7.8	−7.7	MEM	2.7	✓
xRAPM	+0.7	−9.3	−10.1	MEM	5.1	✓
LEBRON	−1.5	−6.9	−5.4	MEM	0.4	✓

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

MEM	rating		min		48.2		adds
Cameron Boozer	−2.00	×	31	÷	48.2	=	−1.29
Cedric Coward	+1.45	×	31	÷	48.2	=	+0.93
Jaylen Wells	−0.47	×	30	÷	48.2	=	−0.30
Ty Jerome	+4.01	×	30	÷	48.2	=	+2.50
Zach Edey	+2.02	×	21	÷	48.2	=	+0.88
Jerami Grant	−1.62	×	24	÷	48.2	=	−0.81
Cam Spencer	+1.52	×	18	÷	48.2	=	+0.57
GG Jackson	−0.54	×	16	÷	48.2	=	−0.18
Isaiah Stewart	−0.95	×	15	÷	48.2	=	−0.30
Scotty Pippen Jr.	−2.00	×	13	÷	48.2	=	−0.54
Quinten Post	−1.76	×	12	÷	48.2	=	−0.44
MEM team rating (sum)			241				+1.03

UTA	rating		min		48.2		adds
Ace Bailey	−3.56	×	34	÷	48.2	=	−2.51
Keyonte George	−0.65	×	33	÷	48.2	=	−0.45
Darryn Peterson	−2.00	×	26	÷	48.2	=	−1.08
Jaren Jackson Jr.	+2.69	×	10	÷	48.2	=	+0.56
Lauri Markkanen	+4.97	×	6	÷	48.2	=	+0.62
Mo Bamba	−2.00	×	29	÷	48.2	=	−1.20
Josh Green	−0.87	×	25	÷	48.2	=	−0.45
Isaiah Collier	−2.99	×	21	÷	48.2	=	−1.30
Josh Okogie	+0.30	×	21	÷	48.2	=	+0.13
Svi Mykhailiuk	+0.82	×	13	÷	48.2	=	+0.22
Brice Sensabaugh	−1.05	×	9	÷	48.2	=	−0.20
Kyle Filipowski	+1.04	×	8	÷	48.2	=	+0.17
Tony Bradley	−3.14	×	6	÷	48.2	=	−0.39
UTA team rating (sum)			241				−5.88

predicted margin = UTA − MEM = −5.88 − (+1.03) = −6.91 → pick MEM

final margin = 105 − 110 = −5 → won MEM ✓

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

MEM	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Cameron Boozer	31	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Cedric Coward	31	+1.4	−0.2	+1.7	−0.7	0.0	+1.1	+1.0	−0.4	+0.9	−1.2
Jaylen Wells	30	−0.5	−3.1	+1.3	−1.0	−0.7	+1.0	−1.8	−0.8	0.0	−0.6
Ty Jerome	30	+4.0	+7.7	+3.8	+3.2	+2.8	+4.1	+1.2	+2.8	+2.7	+3.0
Zach Edey	21	+2.0	+0.5	+2.3	+0.6	+2.1	+2.7	+2.6	+3.8	+4.8	+0.9
Jerami Grant	24

UTA	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Ace Bailey	34	−3.6	−4.4	−2.1	−2.6	−3.2	−3.6	−2.3	−4.1	−3.4	−2.5
Keyonte George	33	−0.7	+0.9	+1.3	−1.8	−0.3	−0.2	−1.5	−1.0	−3.4	−0.6
Darryn Peterson	26	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Jaren Jackson Jr.	10	+2.7	−0.6	+1.2	+1.4	+1.6	+0.9	+3.1	+0.5	+1.5	+0.2
Lauri Markkanen	6	+5.0	+2.6	+3.3	+1.7	+1.9	+3.3	+1.9	+4.8	+3.7	+2.2
Mo Bamba	29	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Josh Green	25	−0.9	−0.7	−1.2	+0.2	+0.7	−0.7	−1.2	−0.1	+0.6	−1.0
Isaiah Collier	21	−3.0	−2.4	−3.2	−2.8	−2.3	−4.4	−2.0	−3.3	−5.3	−2.3
Josh Okogie	21	+0.3	−1.2	−0.8	+0.4	+1.1	−0.3	−0.1	0.0	0.0	−0.4
Svi Mykhailiuk	13	+0.8	−1.7	−1.8	−0.4	−1.4	−1.7	−1.1	−0.9	+0.2	−1.8
Brice Sensabaugh	9	−1.1	−2.6	−1.4	−0.7	−3.8	−2.5	−0.6	−2.4	−2.5	−1.9
Kyle Filipowski	8	+1.0	−1.1	0.0	+0.2	+0.1	−1.1	+1.6	−1.0	−1.2	−0.3
Tony Bradley	6	−3.1	−4.2	−3.1	−1.2	−2.3	−3.0	+0.5	−2.3	−3.8	−1.9
Team rating	241	−5.9	−8.2	−5.7	−6.1	−5.8	−8.2	−5.7	−7.8	−9.3	−6.9