SAC @ SAS, Tue, Oct 27 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 27·SAC @ SAS·Tue, Oct 27·10 of 10 right

SacramentoKings

103

San AntonioSpurs

130▸

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	SAC	SAS	pred	pick	miss
Final			+27	SAS
LOKI †	−5.8	+7.9	+13.7	SAS	13.3	✓
BPM	−9.9	+10.6	+20.5	SAS	6.6	✓
EPM projection	−6.8	+10.9	+17.7	SAS	9.3	✓
DARKO	−6.6	+6.4	+12.9	SAS	14.1	✓
OpenRAPM	−9.9	+9.5	+19.4	SAS	7.6	✓
EPM	−7.1	+9.3	+16.3	SAS	10.7	✓
xPM	−5.0	+8.5	+13.5	SAS	13.5	✓
Pulse	−6.3	+6.3	+12.6	SAS	14.4	✓
xRAPM	−8.6	+12.4	+21.0	SAS	6.0	✓
LEBRON	−5.9	+7.0	+13.0	SAS	14.0	✓

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

SAC	rating		min		48		adds
Domantas Sabonis	+2.07	×	37	÷	48	=	+1.60
De'Andre Hunter	−1.85	×	33	÷	48	=	−1.27
Darius Acuff Jr.	−2.00	×	33	÷	48	=	−1.37
Zach LaVine	+0.21	×	31	÷	48	=	+0.14
Precious Achiuwa	−0.76	×	14	÷	48	=	−0.22
Emanuel Sharp	−2.00	×	20	÷	48	=	−0.83
Jonathan Mogbo	−3.52	×	18	÷	48	=	−1.32
Daeqwon Plowden	−3.51	×	17	÷	48	=	−1.24
Malik Monk	−0.54	×	13	÷	48	=	−0.15
Alex Karaban	−2.00	×	11	÷	48	=	−0.46
Leaky Black	−3.81	×	8	÷	48	=	−0.63
Nique Clifford	−0.37	×	5	÷	48	=	−0.04
SAC team rating (sum)			240				−5.81

SAS	rating		min		48.2		adds
Dylan Harper	+1.55	×	30	÷	48.2	=	+0.96
Stephon Castle	+1.18	×	27	÷	48.2	=	+0.66
Victor Wembanyama	+10.01	×	27	÷	48.2	=	+5.61
De'Aaron Fox	+2.44	×	26	÷	48.2	=	+1.31
Devin Vassell	+1.61	×	24	÷	48.2	=	+0.80
Julian Champagnie	+1.58	×	25	÷	48.2	=	+0.82
Keldon Johnson	−0.41	×	22	÷	48.2	=	−0.19
Luke Kornet	+1.25	×	17	÷	48.2	=	+0.44
Carter Bryant	−5.19	×	17	÷	48.2	=	−1.83
Harrison Barnes	−1.71	×	14	÷	48.2	=	−0.50
Jordan McLaughlin	+0.34	×	7	÷	48.2	=	+0.05
Tarris Reed Jr.	−2.00	×	5	÷	48.2	=	−0.21
SAS team rating (sum)			241				+7.93

predicted margin = SAS − SAC = +7.93 − (−5.81) = +13.74 → pick SAS

final margin = 130 − 103 = +27 → won SAS ✓

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

SAC	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Domantas Sabonis	37	+2.1	+0.6	+1.6	+0.1	−0.9	+1.5	+2.7	+1.0	−0.2	+1.1
De'Andre Hunter	33	−1.9	−3.9	−0.7	−0.9	−2.5	−0.2	−1.8	−1.6	−0.8	−0.8
Darius Acuff Jr.	33	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Zach LaVine	31	+0.2	−1.5	−1.2	−2.4	−3.3	−1.4	−1.1	−1.5	−2.1	−1.7
Precious Achiuwa	14	−0.8	−1.6	−1.0	−0.4	+0.5	−1.3	−1.0	−0.7	−3.1	−0.1
Emanuel Sharp	20

SAS	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Dylan Harper	30	+1.5	+1.4	+3.5	+0.5	+1.2	+2.8	+1.7	−0.6	+4.5	+0.9
Stephon Castle	27	+1.2	+1.9	+3.3	+1.4	+2.3	+1.8	+1.3	+1.2	+1.5	+1.5
Victor Wembanyama	27	+10.0	+10.7	+9.0	+6.2	+8.8	+8.8	+10.4	+8.9	+10.2	+7.6
De'Aaron Fox	26	+2.4	+2.2	+3.5	+2.4	+1.8	+3.4	+1.3	+2.4	+3.6	+1.7
Devin Vassell	24	+1.6	+0.5	+1.8	+1.5	+1.6	+1.9	+0.9	+0.4	+1.3	−0.1
Julian Champagnie	25	+1.6	+1.4	+1.4	+1.5	+3.0	+1.8	+1.2	+1.1	+2.4	+1.5
Keldon Johnson	22	−0.4	+0.9	−1.0	−0.5	−0.3	−1.5	−0.4	−0.2	−0.5	+0.5
Luke Kornet	17	+1.3	+3.6	+0.9	+0.8	+2.0	+0.4	+2.6	+2.5	+2.5	+0.9
Carter Bryant	17	−5.2	−3.0	−2.7	−2.4	−2.0	−3.5	−1.5	−3.7	−0.6	−1.2
Harrison Barnes	14	−1.7	−0.1	+0.4	+0.5	−0.2	+0.9	−2.4	−0.2	−1.9	+0.1
Jordan McLaughlin	7	+0.3	+0.6	−3.1	−1.0	−2.4	−2.9	−1.3	−2.2	−3.3	−1.7
Tarris Reed Jr.	5	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Team rating	241	+7.9	+10.6	+10.9	+6.4	+9.5	+9.3	+8.5	+6.3	+12.4	+7.0