LAL @ LAC, Wed, Oct 28 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 28·LAL @ LAC·Wed, Oct 28·9 of 10 right

Los AngelesLakers

103◂

LAClippers

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	LAL	LAC	pred	pick	miss
Final			−16	LAL
LOKI †	+1.8	−3.5	−5.3	LAL	10.7	✓
BPM	+1.6	−8.7	−10.3	LAL	5.7	✓
EPM projection	−2.8	−4.2	−1.4	LAL	14.6	✓
DARKO	+1.0	−2.7	−3.7	LAL	12.3	✓
OpenRAPM	+0.1	−4.0	−4.1	LAL	11.9	✓
EPM	−5.7	−4.8	+0.8	LAC	16.8	✗
xPM	+1.4	−4.6	−6.0	LAL	10.0	✓
Pulse	+2.4	−5.1	−7.5	LAL	8.5	✓
xRAPM	+0.5	−2.2	−2.7	LAL	13.3	✓
LEBRON	−1.4	−4.6	−3.2	LAL	12.8	✓

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

LAL	rating		min		47.8		adds
Quentin Grimes	−0.14	×	38	÷	47.8	=	−0.12
Jake LaRavia	−0.78	×	35	÷	47.8	=	−0.57
Austin Reaves	+2.82	×	31	÷	47.8	=	+1.83
Matisse Thybulle	+2.03	×	28	÷	47.8	=	+1.19
Walker Kessler	−2.00	×	26	÷	47.8	=	−1.09
Sandro Mamukelashvili	+1.86	×	30	÷	47.8	=	+1.17
Collin Sexton	−0.55	×	21	÷	47.8	=	−0.24
Jarred Vanderbilt	−0.05	×	21	÷	47.8	=	−0.02
Jaden Hardy	−2.05	×	9	÷	47.8	=	−0.39
LAL team rating (sum)			239				+1.77

LAC	rating		min		48.2		adds
Derrick Jones Jr.	+0.53	×	28	÷	48.2	=	+0.31
Kobe Sanders	−2.10	×	27	÷	48.2	=	−1.18
Kris Dunn	+0.77	×	27	÷	48.2	=	+0.43
Darius Garland	+2.74	×	26	÷	48.2	=	+1.48
Isaiah Jackson	+0.32	×	19	÷	48.2	=	+0.13
Keaton Wagler	−2.00	×	28	÷	48.2	=	−1.16
Brook Lopez	−2.23	×	22	÷	48.2	=	−1.02
Gradey Dick	−1.89	×	19	÷	48.2	=	−0.74
Baba Miller	−2.00	×	17	÷	48.2	=	−0.71
Cam Christie	−2.37	×	14	÷	48.2	=	−0.69
Jalen Pickett	−0.88	×	8	÷	48.2	=	−0.15
Nick Martinelli	−2.00	×	6	÷	48.2	=	−0.25
LAC team rating (sum)			241				−3.55

predicted margin = LAC − LAL = −3.55 − (+1.77) = −5.31 → pick LAL

final margin = 87 − 103 = −16 → won LAL ✓

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

LAL	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Quentin Grimes	38	−0.1	−1.6	−0.9	−0.9	−1.7	−2.1	0.0	0.0	−0.2	−1.5
Jake LaRavia	35	−0.8	−1.2	−1.3	+0.3	+1.4	−2.1	−0.2	−0.4	+0.2	−1.2
Austin Reaves	31	+2.8	+2.8	+3.6	+1.9	+0.7	+3.2	+2.4	+3.9	+2.6	+2.4
Matisse Thybulle	28	+2.0	+4.4	−1.4	+0.8	+2.7	−1.4	−0.1	+2.3	−0.4	+0.8
Walker Kessler	26	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Sandro Mamukelashvili	30

LAC	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Derrick Jones Jr.	28	+0.5	−0.7	+0.3	+1.3	+0.8	+0.9	+0.4	+0.1	+0.3	0.0
Kobe Sanders	27	−2.1	−2.9	−1.1	−1.1	−1.4	−1.7	−1.1	−0.5	−1.0	−1.8
Kris Dunn	27	+0.8	−0.8	−0.1	+0.5	+2.0	+0.1	−1.8	+1.2	+1.4	+0.5
Darius Garland	26	+2.7	−0.2	+2.4	+1.7	−1.1	+1.6	+1.6	−0.2	+1.6	+0.4
Isaiah Jackson	19	+0.3	−1.2	−1.3	+0.2	+0.3	−1.7	+2.5	+0.1	−1.4	0.0
Keaton Wagler	28	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Brook Lopez	22	−2.2	−0.9	+0.3	−0.5	+0.1	+1.0	−1.7	−1.1	−1.2	−0.1
Gradey Dick	19	−1.9	−3.6	−2.7	−2.1	−2.0	−3.3	−2.1	−2.5	+0.1	−2.5
Baba Miller	17	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Cam Christie	14	−2.4	−4.6	−3.7	−2.6	−3.4	−4.1	−3.3	−4.9	−1.1	−1.5
Jalen Pickett	8	−0.9	−2.3	−2.6	−1.4	−3.4	−2.9	−2.4	−2.6	+0.4	−2.9
Nick Martinelli	6	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Team rating	241	−3.5	−8.7	−4.2	−2.7	−4.0	−4.8	−4.6	−5.1	−2.2	−4.6