PHX @ POR, Wed, Oct 21 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 21·PHX @ POR·Wed, Oct 21·3 of 10 right

PhoenixSuns

PortlandTrail Blazers

124▸

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	PHX	POR	pred	pick	miss
Final			+41	POR
LOKI †	+1.4	−0.5	−2.0	PHX	43.0	✗
BPM	−1.3	−2.5	−1.2	PHX	42.2	✗
EPM projection	+0.6	−0.2	−0.7	PHX	41.7	✗
DARKO	+0.9	+1.9	+1.0	POR	40.0	✓
OpenRAPM	−1.2	−1.5	−0.3	PHX	41.3	✗
EPM	−0.3	−0.8	−0.5	PHX	41.5	✗
xPM	−0.2	+1.6	+1.8	POR	39.2	✓
Pulse	−0.6	+0.8	+1.4	POR	39.6	✓
xRAPM	+0.5	+0.2	−0.3	PHX	41.3	✗
LEBRON	+1.9	+0.7	−1.3	PHX	42.3	✗

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

PHX	rating		min		48.2		adds
Miles Bridges	+1.15	×	29	÷	48.2	=	+0.69
Devin Booker	+3.91	×	29	÷	48.2	=	+2.35
Dillon Brooks	−1.00	×	27	÷	48.2	=	−0.56
Jalen Green	−0.09	×	25	÷	48.2	=	−0.05
Khaman Maluach	−3.05	×	17	÷	48.2	=	−1.08
Jordan Goodwin	+0.72	×	22	÷	48.2	=	+0.33
Collin Gillespie	+2.66	×	21	÷	48.2	=	+1.16
Oso Ighodaro	+0.94	×	15	÷	48.2	=	+0.29
Ryan Dunn	−1.01	×	14	÷	48.2	=	−0.29
Rasheer Fleming	−1.58	×	12	÷	48.2	=	−0.39
Duop Reath	−2.45	×	9	÷	48.2	=	−0.46
Jamaree Bouyea	−0.65	×	7	÷	48.2	=	−0.09
Koa Peat	−2.00	×	7	÷	48.2	=	−0.29
Pat Spencer	−1.25	×	7	÷	48.2	=	−0.18
PHX team rating (sum)			241				+1.44

POR	rating		min		48		adds
Damian Lillard	−2.00	×	24	÷	48	=	−1.00
Deni Avdija	+2.47	×	23	÷	48	=	+1.18
Toumani Camara	+1.41	×	23	÷	48	=	+0.67
Ja Morant	+3.22	×	23	÷	48	=	+1.54
Donovan Clingan	+1.82	×	21	÷	48	=	+0.79
Sidy Cissoko	−2.99	×	25	÷	48	=	−1.56
Jrue Holiday	+1.41	×	21	÷	48	=	+0.62
Scoot Henderson	−1.08	×	19	÷	48	=	−0.43
Robert Williams III	+2.60	×	15	÷	48	=	+0.81
Vít Krejčí	−1.61	×	15	÷	48	=	−0.50
Micah Potter	−0.59	×	12	÷	48	=	−0.15
Hansen Yang	−8.92	×	12	÷	48	=	−2.23
Jayson Kent	−2.00	×	7	÷	48	=	−0.29
POR team rating (sum)			240				−0.54

predicted margin = POR − PHX = −0.54 − (+1.44) = −1.97 → pick PHX

final margin = 124 − 83 = +41 → won POR ✗

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

PHX	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Miles Bridges	29	+1.2	+1.1	+0.5	+0.5	+0.1	0.0	+0.2	+0.1	−1.7	+0.8
Devin Booker	29	+3.9	+2.2	+4.0	+2.2	+1.5	+3.7	+1.8	+2.8	+2.8	+2.5
Dillon Brooks	27	−1.0	−2.3	+0.5	−0.3	−1.8	+0.7	−1.0	−1.0	+0.2	−0.1
Jalen Green	25	−0.1	−1.1	+0.1	+0.3	−1.3	−0.4	−0.1	−1.9	+0.1	−0.4
Khaman Maluach	17	−3.1	−3.7	−3.3	−1.9	−2.1	−4.1	−1.4	−2.7	−2.8	−0.6
Jordan Goodwin	22	+0.7	+1.8	+0.8	+0.6	+2.2	+1.0	+0.5	+1.3	+2.4	+1.9
Collin Gillespie	21	+2.7	+2.5	+1.2	+1.7	+1.0	+1.8

POR	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Damian Lillard	24	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Deni Avdija	23	+2.5	+4.3	+3.1	+1.9	+1.6	+2.6	+1.6	+2.4	+0.9	+1.7
Toumani Camara	23	+1.4	−1.0	+1.8	+1.1	+1.2	+1.9	+0.8	+0.3	+1.5	0.0
Ja Morant	23	+3.2	−1.5	+2.6	+1.9	−0.9	+1.9	+2.5	+0.9	+1.2	+1.5
Donovan Clingan	21	+1.8	+3.0	+3.0	+1.3	+3.7	+3.3	+2.4	+2.5	+2.0	+3.4
Sidy Cissoko	25	−3.0	−4.0	−2.8	−0.3	−0.6	−3.1	−1.7	−1.8	−0.7	−1.7
Jrue Holiday	21	+1.4	+1.9	+1.6	+1.2	−0.6	+2.0	+0.4	+2.1	+2.0	+1.5
Scoot Henderson	19	−1.1	−2.2	−2.3	−0.3	−2.4	−3.1	−0.5	−1.4	−0.8	−1.0
Robert Williams III	15	+2.6	+4.5	+1.3	+2.7	+1.9	+1.8	+4.1	+3.6	+1.7	+1.9
Vít Krejčí	15	−1.6	−1.6	−2.2	−0.3	−1.4	−2.4	−0.4	−1.1	−1.5	−1.4
Micah Potter	12	−0.6	+0.7	−2.3	+0.3	−1.8	−2.4	−0.9	+0.7	−1.6	−0.2
Hansen Yang	12	−8.9	−9.5	−5.1	−2.8	−3.9	−5.2	−2.2	−4.7	−3.9	−2.2
Jayson Kent	7	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Team rating	240	−0.5	−2.5	−0.2	+1.9	−1.5	−0.8	+1.6	+0.8	+0.2	+0.7