LAL @ GSW, Fri, Oct 30 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 30·LAL @ GSW·Fri, Oct 30·0 of 10 right

Los AngelesLakers

Golden StateWarriors

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Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	LAL	GSW	pred	pick	miss
Final			+17	GSW
LOKI †	+7.8	+2.6	−5.2	LAL	22.3	✗
BPM	+9.8	−0.2	−10.0	LAL	27.0	✗
EPM projection	+5.1	+1.8	−3.2	LAL	20.2	✗
DARKO	+4.9	+0.5	−4.4	LAL	21.4	✗
OpenRAPM	+4.7	−1.0	−5.7	LAL	22.7	✗
EPM	+1.8	+0.8	−1.0	LAL	18.0	✗
xPM	+5.5	−0.4	−5.9	LAL	22.9	✗
Pulse	+7.6	−1.0	−8.5	LAL	25.5	✗
xRAPM	+5.3	+0.3	−5.0	LAL	22.0	✗
LEBRON	+3.5	+0.6	−2.9	LAL	19.9	✗

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

LAL	rating		min		47.8		adds
Austin Reaves	+2.82	×	37	÷	47.8	=	+2.18
Luka Dončić	+7.57	×	37	÷	47.8	=	+5.86
Walker Kessler	−2.00	×	31	÷	47.8	=	−1.30
Matisse Thybulle	+2.03	×	28	÷	47.8	=	+1.19
Jake LaRavia	−0.78	×	28	÷	47.8	=	−0.46
Quentin Grimes	−0.14	×	26	÷	47.8	=	−0.08
Sandro Mamukelashvili	+1.86	×	20	÷	47.8	=	+0.78
Collin Sexton	−0.55	×	16	÷	47.8	=	−0.18
Jarred Vanderbilt	−0.05	×	13	÷	47.8	=	−0.01
Jaden Hardy	−2.05	×	1	÷	47.8	=	−0.04
Bronny James	−2.91	×	1	÷	47.8	=	−0.06
Chris Mañon	−2.00	×	1	÷	47.8	=	−0.04
LAL team rating (sum)			239				+7.84

GSW	rating		min		48		adds
Brandin Podziemski	+3.00	×	33	÷	48	=	+2.06
Draymond Green	−1.43	×	32	÷	48	=	−0.95
Stephen Curry	+4.83	×	31	÷	48	=	+3.12
Yaxel Lendeborg	−2.00	×	24	÷	48	=	−1.00
Gui Santos	+1.52	×	16	÷	48	=	+0.51
De'Anthony Melton	+1.01	×	21	÷	48	=	+0.44
Georges Niang	−2.00	×	19	÷	48	=	−0.79
Al Horford	−0.26	×	17	÷	48	=	−0.09
Brandon Williams	−0.16	×	17	÷	48	=	−0.06
Will Richard	−1.59	×	13	÷	48	=	−0.43
Charles Bassey	−2.00	×	9	÷	48	=	−0.37
Gary Payton II	+0.95	×	8	÷	48	=	+0.16
GSW team rating (sum)			240				+2.59

predicted margin = GSW − LAL = +2.59 − (+7.84) = −5.25 → pick LAL

final margin = 112 − 95 = +17 → won GSW ✗

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

LAL	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Austin Reaves	37	+2.8	+2.8	+3.6	+1.9	+0.7	+3.2	+2.4	+3.9	+2.6	+2.4
Luka Dončić	37	+7.6	+9.3	+8.3	+5.1	+5.3	+6.9	+5.6	+6.1	+6.0	+5.2
Walker Kessler	31	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Matisse Thybulle	28	+2.0	+4.4	−1.4	+0.8	+2.7	−1.4	−0.1	+2.3	−0.4	+0.8
Jake LaRavia	28	−0.8	−1.2	−1.3	+0.3	+1.4	−2.1	−0.2	−0.4	+0.2	−1.2
Quentin Grimes	26

GSW	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Brandin Podziemski	33	+3.0	+0.2	+1.9	+0.5	−0.6	+0.7	+1.3	+0.6	+2.3	+0.2
Draymond Green	32	−1.4	−1.4	+0.2	0.0	−0.4	−0.2	−0.4	−0.6	−1.5	−0.7
Stephen Curry	31	+4.8	+5.4	+5.2	+2.8	+1.9	+5.9	+1.7	+2.4	+3.6	+3.1
Yaxel Lendeborg	24	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Gui Santos	16	+1.5	−0.6	+0.2	+0.8	+0.3	−0.2	+1.5	+0.6	+0.6	+0.1
De'Anthony Melton	21	+1.0	−2.5	−0.2	+1.2	+1.2	−0.6	+1.4	+0.7	−0.2	+0.6
Georges Niang	19	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Al Horford	17	−0.3	+1.6	+0.5	−0.8	−0.6	+1.3	−2.1	−1.3	+0.9	+1.0
Brandon Williams	17	−0.2	+0.4	−1.1	+0.5	−0.7	−1.8	−0.8	−0.4	−1.4	+1.0
Will Richard	13	−1.6	−1.7	−1.5	−0.4	+0.5	−2.2	−0.9	−0.6	−1.2	−0.7
Charles Bassey	9	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Gary Payton II	8	+1.0	+1.9	−1.1	−0.1	+1.8	−0.7	+0.8	−0.7	−0.3	+1.7
Team rating	240	+2.6	−0.2	+1.8	+0.5	−1.0	+0.8	−0.4	−1.0	+0.3	+0.6