ORL @ TOR, Wed, Oct 28 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 28·ORL @ TOR·Wed, Oct 28·5 of 10 right

OrlandoMagic

TorontoRaptors

129▸

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	ORL	TOR	pred	pick	miss
Final			+30	TOR
LOKI †	+3.1	+1.5	−1.6	ORL	31.6	✗
BPM	+0.6	+1.3	+0.7	TOR	29.4	✓
EPM projection	+2.6	+2.2	−0.4	ORL	30.4	✗
DARKO	+0.8	+1.7	+0.9	TOR	29.1	✓
OpenRAPM	−1.9	+0.7	+2.5	TOR	27.5	✓
EPM	−0.1	+0.6	+0.7	TOR	29.3	✓
xPM	+1.5	+1.8	+0.3	TOR	29.7	✓
Pulse	+2.2	+1.1	−1.1	ORL	31.1	✗
xRAPM	+2.8	+1.7	−1.1	ORL	31.1	✗
LEBRON	+1.5	+1.0	−0.4	ORL	30.4	✗

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

ORL	rating		min		48		adds
Franz Wagner	+5.71	×	34	÷	48	=	+4.05
Desmond Bane	+2.87	×	34	÷	48	=	+2.04
Wendell Carter Jr.	+1.48	×	26	÷	48	=	+0.80
Anthony Black	−0.20	×	22	÷	48	=	−0.09
Jase Richardson	−2.41	×	14	÷	48	=	−0.70
Tristan da Silva	−1.24	×	31	÷	48	=	−0.80
Jevon Carter	−2.46	×	22	÷	48	=	−1.13
Nikola Vučević	−0.78	×	16	÷	48	=	−0.26
Jamal Cain	−1.44	×	16	÷	48	=	−0.48
Goga Bitadze	+1.29	×	11	÷	48	=	+0.30
Colin Castleton	−2.00	×	7	÷	48	=	−0.29
Alex Morales	−2.00	×	7	÷	48	=	−0.29
ORL team rating (sum)			240				+3.13

TOR	rating		min		48.2		adds
RJ Barrett	+1.59	×	32	÷	48.2	=	+1.06
Scottie Barnes	+2.99	×	31	÷	48.2	=	+1.92
Immanuel Quickley	+2.31	×	29	÷	48.2	=	+1.39
Ja'Kobe Walter	−0.92	×	28	÷	48.2	=	−0.54
Jakob Poeltl	+1.56	×	10	÷	48.2	=	+0.32
Jamal Shead	+0.80	×	23	÷	48.2	=	+0.38
Jamison Battle	−3.03	×	20	÷	48.2	=	−1.26
Trayce Jackson-Davis	−1.16	×	20	÷	48.2	=	−0.48
Allen Graves	−2.00	×	18	÷	48.2	=	−0.75
Collin Murray-Boyles	+0.15	×	15	÷	48.2	=	+0.05
Jaden Bradley	−2.00	×	5	÷	48.2	=	−0.21
Alijah Martin	−2.00	×	5	÷	48.2	=	−0.21
Kyle Anderson	−1.29	×	5	÷	48.2	=	−0.13
TOR team rating (sum)			241				+1.55

predicted margin = TOR − ORL = +1.55 − (+3.13) = −1.58 → pick ORL

final margin = 129 − 99 = +30 → won TOR ✗

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

ORL	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Franz Wagner	34	+5.7	+2.5	+5.1	+2.0	+0.5	+4.6	+3.1	+1.9	+4.7	+2.3
Desmond Bane	34	+2.9	+1.4	+2.8	+0.7	+0.7	+1.9	+2.1	+2.0	+1.7	+1.7
Wendell Carter Jr.	26	+1.5	−0.6	+1.8	+1.4	+1.4	+1.6	+1.2	+2.4	+1.5	+0.3
Anthony Black	22	−0.2	−0.6	−0.2	+0.2	+0.7	−1.5	+0.4	0.0	−0.1	+0.5
Jase Richardson	14	−2.4	−2.5	−3.2	−1.6	−3.1	−3.8	−2.5	−3.3	−2.9	−2.2
Tristan da Silva	31	−1.2	−0.6	−0.6	−0.5	−1.0	−1.3	−1.4	+0.1	+0.6	−0.7
Jevon Carter	22	−2.5	−1.1	−3.0	−0.6	−2.3	−3.6

TOR	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
RJ Barrett	32	+1.6	+0.2	+2.2	+1.1	+0.6	+2.4	−0.7	+0.9	+0.1	+1.2
Scottie Barnes	31	+3.0	+4.2	+3.6	+3.0	+3.8	+2.8	+3.2	+4.5	+2.7	+3.0
Immanuel Quickley	29	+2.3	+2.4	+2.2	+1.1	+0.4	+1.6	+2.4	+0.8	+1.8	+2.3
Ja'Kobe Walter	28	−0.9	−0.3	−1.3	−0.4	+0.2	−2.1	−0.2	−1.4	+0.4	−0.8
Jakob Poeltl	10	+1.6	+1.6	+1.3	+2.5	+1.0	+1.3	+2.7	+1.6	+0.8	−0.2
Jamal Shead	23	+0.8	−2.3	+1.0	+0.2	−0.2	+1.2	−1.0	+0.1	+1.1	+0.2
Jamison Battle	20	−3.0	−2.6	−3.6	−1.4	−3.3	−3.6	−2.6	−2.5	−0.9	−3.2
Trayce Jackson-Davis	20	−1.2	−0.4	−1.5	−1.4	−1.5	−1.5	+0.4	−1.0	−1.5	−0.6
Allen Graves	18	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Collin Murray-Boyles	15	+0.2	+1.0	+2.0	+1.1	+1.8	+0.5	+2.9	+0.3	+0.6	+0.6
Jaden Bradley	5	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Alijah Martin	5	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Kyle Anderson	5	−1.3	+0.4	−2.1	−1.2	−0.6	−1.9	−0.6	+0.2	−1.3	−0.9
Team rating	241	+1.5	+1.3	+2.2	+1.7	+0.7	+0.6	+1.8	+1.1	+1.7	+1.0