CHI @ BOS, Mon, Oct 26 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 26·CHI @ BOS·Mon, Oct 26·10 of 10 right

ChicagoBulls

BostonCeltics

134▸

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	CHI	BOS	pred	pick	miss
Final			+35	BOS
LOKI †	−2.7	+5.0	+7.7	BOS	27.3	✓
BPM	−4.4	+8.4	+12.8	BOS	22.2	✓
EPM projection	−3.8	+7.7	+11.5	BOS	23.5	✓
DARKO	−4.4	+7.4	+11.8	BOS	23.2	✓
OpenRAPM	−5.2	+6.3	+11.5	BOS	23.6	✓
EPM	−5.4	+8.0	+13.4	BOS	21.6	✓
xPM	−3.2	+5.9	+9.1	BOS	25.9	✓
Pulse	−5.2	+6.3	+11.5	BOS	23.5	✓
xRAPM	−4.8	+10.0	+14.8	BOS	20.2	✓
LEBRON	−4.4	+7.7	+12.0	BOS	23.0	✓

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

CHI	rating		min		48		adds
Caleb Wilson	−2.00	×	32	÷	48	=	−1.33
Norman Powell	−0.04	×	24	÷	48	=	−0.02
Josh Giddey	+2.20	×	24	÷	48	=	+1.10
Matas Buzelis	−0.78	×	22	÷	48	=	−0.36
Jalen Smith	+2.64	×	20	÷	48	=	+1.10
Noa Essengue	−2.00	×	16	÷	48	=	−0.67
Tre Jones	+2.32	×	15	÷	48	=	+0.72
Leonard Miller	+0.06	×	14	÷	48	=	+0.02
Buddy Hield	−2.19	×	13	÷	48	=	−0.59
Tobe Awaka	−2.00	×	12	÷	48	=	−0.50
Jaylin Sellers	−2.00	×	12	÷	48	=	−0.50
Dailyn Swain	−2.00	×	12	÷	48	=	−0.50
Isaac Okoro	−1.49	×	11	÷	48	=	−0.34
Jordan Hawkins	−3.94	×	7	÷	48	=	−0.57
Zach Collins	−2.00	×	6	÷	48	=	−0.25
CHI team rating (sum)			240				−2.69

BOS	rating		min		48		adds
Jayson Tatum	+4.59	×	28	÷	48	=	+2.68
Paul George	+1.13	×	25	÷	48	=	+0.59
Jordan Walsh	−2.05	×	18	÷	48	=	−0.77
Derrick White	+3.76	×	18	÷	48	=	+1.41
Mitchell Robinson	+1.53	×	16	÷	48	=	+0.51
Hugo González	−1.10	×	24	÷	48	=	−0.55
Payton Pritchard	+1.53	×	22	÷	48	=	+0.70
Sam Hauser	+0.53	×	20	÷	48	=	+0.22
Neemias Queta	+3.56	×	19	÷	48	=	+1.41
Baylor Scheierman	−1.42	×	18	÷	48	=	−0.53
Luka Garza	+0.02	×	13	÷	48	=	0.00
Mike Conley	−1.17	×	7	÷	48	=	−0.17
Ron Harper Jr.	−1.76	×	7	÷	48	=	−0.26
Chris Cenac Jr.	−2.00	×	5	÷	48	=	−0.21
BOS team rating (sum)			240				+5.03

predicted margin = BOS − CHI = +5.03 − (−2.69) = +7.73 → pick BOS

final margin = 134 − 99 = +35 → won BOS ✓

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

CHI	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Caleb Wilson	32	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Norman Powell	24	0.0	+1.6	+1.1	+0.8	+0.2	+1.0	−1.2	+0.4	+1.4	+0.6
Josh Giddey	24	+2.2	+2.7	+1.6	+0.1	+0.1	+0.9	+1.7	+0.1	+0.6	+0.5
Matas Buzelis	22	−0.8	−1.0	−0.3	−1.2	0.0	−2.0	+0.5	−0.5	−2.6	−0.8
Jalen Smith	20	+2.6	−0.7	+1.9	+1.3	+0.9	+2.4	+1.9	+1.4	+2.4	+1.3
Noa Essengue	16

BOS	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Jayson Tatum	28	+4.6	+4.8	+5.9	+5.0	+1.7	+5.4	+4.7	+2.8	+4.4	+3.9
Paul George	25	+1.1	+1.7	+1.2	+1.9	−0.1	+1.2	+1.5	+2.3	+1.4	+1.7
Jordan Walsh	18	−2.1	+0.2	−0.5	+0.5	+1.8	−1.0	−0.7	−0.7	+1.2	−0.5
Derrick White	18	+3.8	+3.2	+3.3	+2.5	+3.0	+3.3	+2.8	+4.1	+4.4	+4.6
Mitchell Robinson	16	+1.5	+3.5	+2.4	+2.7	+3.3	+3.5	+3.5	+2.7	+1.1	+2.2
Hugo González	24	−1.1	−1.5	−1.0	−0.9	+1.1	−1.5	−2.4	−1.2	+1.8	−0.1
Payton Pritchard	22	+1.5	+2.3	+2.8	+1.5	+0.8	+2.6	+0.7	+0.4	+2.4	+1.9
Sam Hauser	20	+0.5	+0.6	+0.6	+0.6	0.0	+0.9	+0.1	0.0	+0.9	+0.6
Neemias Queta	19	+3.6	+2.8	+2.2	+2.4	+4.4	+3.3	+4.4	+4.4	+4.0	+3.7
Baylor Scheierman	18	−1.4	+0.6	+0.5	+0.1	+0.3	+0.7	−0.6	+0.1	+2.0	−0.3
Luka Garza	13	0.0	+2.4	+1.0	+1.4	+0.8	+1.0	+2.1	+1.3	+0.3	+0.6
Mike Conley	7	−1.2	−1.3	+0.3	−1.9	−0.5	+1.2	−2.2	−1.4	+0.5	−0.8
Ron Harper Jr.	7	−1.8	+1.1	−2.5	+0.4	−2.1	−2.8	−2.6	−0.3	−3.2	−0.4
Chris Cenac Jr.	5	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Team rating	240	+5.0	+8.4	+7.7	+7.4	+6.3	+8.0	+5.9	+6.3	+10.0	+7.7