SAC @ NOP, Thu, Oct 29 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 29·SAC @ NOP·Thu, Oct 29·9 of 10 right

SacramentoKings

120

New OrleansPelicans

132▸

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	SAC	NOP	pred	pick	miss
Final			+12	NOP
LOKI †	−3.3	+1.2	+4.5	NOP	7.5	✓
BPM	−8.7	−2.0	+6.7	NOP	5.3	✓
EPM projection	−4.2	−1.2	+3.1	NOP	8.9	✓
DARKO	−6.1	−1.4	+4.8	NOP	7.2	✓
OpenRAPM	−8.4	−4.2	+4.2	NOP	7.8	✓
EPM	−4.4	−5.4	−1.0	SAC	13.0	✗
xPM	−4.0	+2.4	+6.5	NOP	5.5	✓
Pulse	−5.5	−2.6	+2.9	NOP	9.1	✓
xRAPM	−8.3	−2.4	+5.9	NOP	6.1	✓
LEBRON	−4.5	−2.3	+2.2	NOP	9.8	✓

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

SAC	rating		min		48		adds
Precious Achiuwa	−0.76	×	41	÷	48	=	−0.65
Darius Acuff Jr.	−2.00	×	41	÷	48	=	−1.71
Domantas Sabonis	+2.07	×	40	÷	48	=	+1.73
Zach LaVine	+0.21	×	39	÷	48	=	+0.17
De'Andre Hunter	−1.85	×	37	÷	48	=	−1.43
Emanuel Sharp	−2.00	×	18	÷	48	=	−0.75
Alex Karaban	−2.00	×	12	÷	48	=	−0.50
Malik Monk	−0.54	×	8	÷	48	=	−0.09
Nique Clifford	−0.37	×	4	÷	48	=	−0.03
SAC team rating (sum)			240				−3.25

NOP	rating		min		48		adds
Trey Murphy III	+1.56	×	32	÷	48	=	+1.04
Herbert Jones	+1.36	×	32	÷	48	=	+0.91
Zion Williamson	+3.85	×	31	÷	48	=	+2.49
Jeremiah Fears	−1.42	×	29	÷	48	=	−0.86
Karlo Matković	+0.08	×	28	÷	48	=	+0.05
Saddiq Bey	+0.70	×	24	÷	48	=	+0.35
Derik Queen	−2.22	×	22	÷	48	=	−1.02
Bennedict Mathurin	−1.56	×	19	÷	48	=	−0.62
Trendon Watford	−2.43	×	17	÷	48	=	−0.86
Bryce McGowens	−2.17	×	6	÷	48	=	−0.27
NOP team rating (sum)			240				+1.20

predicted margin = NOP − SAC = +1.20 − (−3.25) = +4.46 → pick NOP

final margin = 132 − 120 = +12 → won NOP ✓

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

SAC	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Precious Achiuwa	41	−0.8	−1.6	−1.0	−0.4	+0.5	−1.3	−1.0	−0.7	−3.1	−0.1
Darius Acuff Jr.	41	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Domantas Sabonis	40	+2.1	+0.6	+1.6	+0.1	−0.9	+1.5	+2.7	+1.0	−0.2	+1.1
Zach LaVine	39	+0.2	−1.5	−1.2	−2.4	−3.3	−1.4	−1.1	−1.5	−2.1	−1.7
De'Andre Hunter	37	−1.9	−3.9	−0.7	−0.9	−2.5	−0.2	−1.8	−1.6	−0.8	−0.8
Emanuel Sharp	18

NOP	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Trey Murphy III	32	+1.6	+2.4	+1.1	+0.5	+0.5	+0.6	+1.6	+2.5	−0.6	+0.5
Herbert Jones	32	+1.4	−3.1	+0.5	+0.2	+0.9	+0.3	+1.4	+0.5	+3.2	−0.3
Zion Williamson	31	+3.8	+2.9	+2.3	+1.6	+0.2	+0.9	+3.5	+0.8	+0.9	+0.4
Jeremiah Fears	29	−1.4	−2.7	−0.2	−0.8	−2.7	−2.1	−1.7	−3.4	−2.8	−1.5
Karlo Matković	28	+0.1	+0.7	−2.4	−0.2	−0.5	−2.8	+1.0	−0.3	+0.5	−0.7
Saddiq Bey	24	+0.7	+0.5	+0.2	−0.5	−1.8	−0.4	−0.9	−0.7	−0.4	−0.2
Derik Queen	22	−2.2	−0.8	−0.7	−1.4	−0.9	−2.6	−0.8	−2.2	−3.3	−0.5
Bennedict Mathurin	19	−1.6	−2.5	−0.7	−1.4	−2.0	−1.0	−0.3	−1.3	−1.1	0.0
Trendon Watford	17	−2.4	−1.9	−3.9	−1.9	−3.1	−4.4	−0.3	−2.4	−2.6	−2.7
Bryce McGowens	6	−2.2	−2.9	−2.8	−1.7	−2.0	−3.1	−2.8	−1.8	−2.0	−1.3
Team rating	240	+1.2	−2.0	−1.2	−1.4	−4.2	−5.4	+2.4	−2.6	−2.4	−2.3