MIN @ SAS, Sat, Oct 31 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 31·MIN @ SAS·Sat, Oct 31·10 of 10 right

MinnesotaTimberwolves

111

San AntonioSpurs

121▸

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	MIN	SAS	pred	pick	miss
Final			+10	SAS
LOKI †	−1.2	+11.7	+12.9	SAS	2.9	✓
BPM	−1.4	+13.1	+14.6	SAS	4.6	✓
EPM projection	−2.7	+14.4	+17.1	SAS	7.1	✓
DARKO	−0.6	+8.5	+9.1	SAS	0.9	✓
OpenRAPM	−4.4	+12.3	+16.7	SAS	6.7	✓
EPM	−4.3	+12.8	+17.1	SAS	7.1	✓
xPM	+0.1	+11.8	+11.6	SAS	1.6	✓
Pulse	−3.2	+8.8	+12.0	SAS	2.0	✓
xRAPM	−2.1	+16.8	+18.9	SAS	8.9	✓
LEBRON	−3.0	+9.1	+12.1	SAS	2.1	✓

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

MIN	rating		min		48		adds
Jonathan Kuminga	+1.67	×	40	÷	48	=	+1.39
Jaden McDaniels	−0.09	×	39	÷	48	=	−0.07
Ayo Dosunmu	−1.41	×	38	÷	48	=	−1.12
Joan Beringer	−0.99	×	34	÷	48	=	−0.70
LaMelo Ball	+3.23	×	20	÷	48	=	+1.35
Jaylen Clark	−0.43	×	20	÷	48	=	−0.18
Terrence Shannon Jr	−3.15	×	18	÷	48	=	−1.18
Trey Lyles	−2.00	×	17	÷	48	=	−0.71
Bones Hyland	−0.09	×	14	÷	48	=	−0.03
MIN team rating (sum)			240				−1.25

SAS	rating		min		48		adds
Dylan Harper	+1.55	×	39	÷	48	=	+1.26
De'Aaron Fox	+2.44	×	35	÷	48	=	+1.78
Devin Vassell	+1.61	×	34	÷	48	=	+1.14
Victor Wembanyama	+10.01	×	34	÷	48	=	+7.09
Stephon Castle	+1.18	×	22	÷	48	=	+0.54
Julian Champagnie	+1.58	×	27	÷	48	=	+0.89
Keldon Johnson	−0.41	×	24	÷	48	=	−0.21
Luke Kornet	+1.25	×	14	÷	48	=	+0.37
Carter Bryant	−5.19	×	11	÷	48	=	−1.19
SAS team rating (sum)			240				+11.66

predicted margin = SAS − MIN = +11.66 − (−1.25) = +12.91 → pick SAS

final margin = 121 − 111 = +10 → won SAS ✓

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

MIN	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Jonathan Kuminga	40	+1.7	−2.0	−1.0	−0.7	−1.7	−1.0	+1.3	−1.0	+1.1	−0.4
Jaden McDaniels	39	−0.1	−0.3	+1.3	+0.6	−0.1	+0.9	+0.5	0.0	+0.9	−1.2
Ayo Dosunmu	38	−1.4	+1.0	−0.5	−0.4	−1.4	−1.0	−0.2	−0.9	−1.4	−1.2
Joan Beringer	34	−1.0	+0.4	−3.0	+0.1	−1.1	−3.6	−0.8	−2.0	−2.9	−0.7
LaMelo Ball	20	+3.2	+4.7	+5.1	+3.1	+2.9	+4.5	+2.8	+3.7	+2.7	+2.8
Jaylen Clark	20	−0.4	−2.4	−1.8	−0.4	+0.2	−2.0	−1.1	−1.4	+0.7	−0.7
Terrence Shannon Jr	18	−3.2	−3.6	−1.5	−1.8	−3.6	−1.6

SAS	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Dylan Harper	39	+1.5	+1.4	+3.5	+0.5	+1.2	+2.8	+1.7	−0.6	+4.5	+0.9
De'Aaron Fox	35	+2.4	+2.2	+3.5	+2.4	+1.8	+3.4	+1.3	+2.4	+3.6	+1.7
Devin Vassell	34	+1.6	+0.5	+1.8	+1.5	+1.6	+1.9	+0.9	+0.4	+1.3	−0.1
Victor Wembanyama	34	+10.0	+10.7	+9.0	+6.2	+8.8	+8.8	+10.4	+8.9	+10.2	+7.6
Stephon Castle	22	+1.2	+1.9	+3.3	+1.4	+2.3	+1.8	+1.3	+1.2	+1.5	+1.5
Julian Champagnie	27	+1.6	+1.4	+1.4	+1.5	+3.0	+1.8	+1.2	+1.1	+2.4	+1.5
Keldon Johnson	24	−0.4	+0.9	−1.0	−0.5	−0.3	−1.5	−0.4	−0.2	−0.5	+0.5
Luke Kornet	14	+1.3	+3.6	+0.9	+0.8	+2.0	+0.4	+2.6	+2.5	+2.5	+0.9
Carter Bryant	11	−5.2	−3.0	−2.7	−2.4	−2.0	−3.5	−1.5	−3.7	−0.6	−1.2
Team rating	240	+11.7	+13.1	+14.4	+8.5	+12.3	+12.8	+11.8	+8.8	+16.8	+9.1