GSW @ PHX, Sat, Oct 24 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 24·GSW @ PHX·Sat, Oct 24·10 of 10 right

Golden StateWarriors

122

PhoenixSuns

131▸

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	GSW	PHX	pred	pick	miss
Final			+9	PHX
LOKI †	−4.8	+2.6	+7.4	PHX	1.6	✓
BPM	−7.7	0.0	+7.6	PHX	1.4	✓
EPM projection	−7.1	+2.0	+9.1	PHX	0.1	✓
DARKO	−3.8	+1.7	+5.5	PHX	3.5	✓
OpenRAPM	−3.8	−1.3	+2.6	PHX	6.5	✓
EPM	−8.3	+1.2	+9.5	PHX	0.4	✓
xPM	−4.8	+0.3	+5.2	PHX	3.8	✓
Pulse	−4.9	+0.3	+5.2	PHX	3.8	✓
xRAPM	−7.2	+1.9	+9.1	PHX	0.1	✓
LEBRON	−3.6	+2.5	+6.0	PHX	3.0	✓

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

GSW	rating		min		47.6		adds
Yaxel Lendeborg	−2.00	×	36	÷	47.6	=	−1.51
Will Richard	−1.59	×	31	÷	47.6	=	−1.04
Graham Ike	−2.00	×	26	÷	47.6	=	−1.09
Brandon Williams	−0.16	×	24	÷	47.6	=	−0.08
Gui Santos	+1.52	×	23	÷	47.6	=	+0.74
De'Anthony Melton	+1.01	×	27	÷	47.6	=	+0.57
Georges Niang	−2.00	×	23	÷	47.6	=	−0.97
Gary Payton II	+0.95	×	17	÷	47.6	=	+0.34
LJ Cryer	−3.10	×	14	÷	47.6	=	−0.91
Charles Bassey	−2.00	×	13	÷	47.6	=	−0.55
Malevy Leons	−3.52	×	4	÷	47.6	=	−0.30
GSW team rating (sum)			238				−4.80

PHX	rating		min		47.8		adds
Devin Booker	+3.91	×	36	÷	47.8	=	+2.95
Dillon Brooks	−1.00	×	34	÷	47.8	=	−0.71
Miles Bridges	+1.15	×	33	÷	47.8	=	+0.79
Khaman Maluach	−3.05	×	28	÷	47.8	=	−1.79
Jalen Green	−0.09	×	26	÷	47.8	=	−0.05
Collin Gillespie	+2.66	×	28	÷	47.8	=	+1.56
Jordan Goodwin	+0.72	×	20	÷	47.8	=	+0.30
Luke Kennard	−0.18	×	18	÷	47.8	=	−0.07
Ryan Dunn	−1.01	×	13	÷	47.8	=	−0.27
Duop Reath	−2.45	×	3	÷	47.8	=	−0.15
PHX team rating (sum)			239				+2.56

predicted margin = PHX − GSW = +2.56 − (−4.80) = +7.36 → pick PHX

final margin = 131 − 122 = +9 → won PHX ✓

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

GSW	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Yaxel Lendeborg	36	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Will Richard	31	−1.6	−1.7	−1.5	−0.4	+0.5	−2.2	−0.9	−0.6	−1.2	−0.7
Graham Ike	26	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Brandon Williams	24	−0.2	+0.4	−1.1	+0.5	−0.7	−1.8	−0.8	−0.4

PHX	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Devin Booker	36	+3.9	+2.2	+4.0	+2.2	+1.5	+3.7	+1.8	+2.8	+2.8	+2.5
Dillon Brooks	34	−1.0	−2.3	+0.5	−0.3	−1.8	+0.7	−1.0	−1.0	+0.2	−0.1
Miles Bridges	33	+1.2	+1.1	+0.5	+0.5	+0.1	0.0	+0.2	+0.1	−1.7	+0.8
Khaman Maluach	28	−3.1	−3.7	−3.3	−1.9	−2.1	−4.1	−1.4	−2.7	−2.8	−0.6
Jalen Green	26	−0.1	−1.1	+0.1	+0.3	−1.3	−0.4	−0.1	−1.9	+0.1	−0.4
Collin Gillespie	28	+2.7	+2.5	+1.2	+1.7	+1.0	+1.8	+0.9	+2.3	+2.6	+1.9
Jordan Goodwin	20	+0.7	+1.8	+0.8	+0.6	+2.2	+1.0	+0.5	+1.3	+2.4	+1.9
Luke Kennard	18	−0.2	+0.1	−1.2	−0.4	−1.4	−1.3	−0.4	−0.8	−0.1	−2.9
Ryan Dunn	13	−1.0	−0.9	−1.0	−0.2	0.0	−1.5	−0.5	0.0	+0.7	−0.1
Duop Reath	3	−2.4	−0.9	−2.5	−2.0	−3.2	−1.8	−1.2	−2.1	−3.7	−2.1
Team rating	239	+2.6	0.0	+2.0	+1.7	−1.3	+1.2	+0.3	+0.3	+1.9	+2.5