MIL @ PHI, Sat, Oct 24 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 24·MIL @ PHI·Sat, Oct 24·10 of 10 right

MilwaukeeBucks

116

Philadelphia76ers

127▸

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	MIL	PHI	pred	pick	miss
Final			+11	PHI
LOKI †	−1.8	+6.1	+7.9	PHI	3.1	✓
BPM	−2.0	+7.0	+9.0	PHI	2.0	✓
EPM projection	−2.4	+7.4	+9.8	PHI	1.3	✓
DARKO	−3.2	+5.6	+8.8	PHI	2.2	✓
OpenRAPM	−3.7	+3.2	+6.9	PHI	4.1	✓
EPM	−5.4	+5.7	+11.1	PHI	0.1	✓
xPM	−2.4	+4.1	+6.5	PHI	4.5	✓
Pulse	−4.5	+2.2	+6.7	PHI	4.3	✓
xRAPM	−5.3	+4.1	+9.5	PHI	1.6	✓
LEBRON	−4.5	+3.5	+8.0	PHI	3.0	✓

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

MIL	rating		min		47.8		adds
Kyle Kuzma	−3.89	×	35	÷	47.8	=	−2.85
Tyler Herro	+1.72	×	31	÷	47.8	=	+1.11
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	−0.26	×	27	÷	47.8	=	−0.15
Ryan Rollins	+2.61	×	25	÷	47.8	=	+1.37
Myles Turner	+0.07	×	20	÷	47.8	=	+0.03
Kel'el Ware	+1.11	×	29	÷	47.8	=	+0.67
Kasparas Jakučionis	−1.35	×	25	÷	47.8	=	−0.71
AJ Green	−0.35	×	19	÷	47.8	=	−0.14
Brayden Burries	−2.00	×	17	÷	47.8	=	−0.71
Nate Ament	−2.00	×	11	÷	47.8	=	−0.46
MIL team rating (sum)			239				−1.84

PHI	rating		min		47.8		adds
Joel Embiid	+5.69	×	36	÷	47.8	=	+4.29
Tyrese Maxey	+3.39	×	36	÷	47.8	=	+2.55
Jaylen Brown	+0.17	×	35	÷	47.8	=	+0.12
VJ Edgecombe	+0.56	×	30	÷	47.8	=	+0.35
Dean Wade	+1.02	×	28	÷	47.8	=	+0.60
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	−1.48	×	28	÷	47.8	=	−0.86
Anfernee Simons	−0.64	×	20	÷	47.8	=	−0.27
Jabari Walker	−1.10	×	12	÷	47.8	=	−0.28
Adem Bona	−1.25	×	10	÷	47.8	=	−0.26
Labaron Philon	−2.00	×	4	÷	47.8	=	−0.17
PHI team rating (sum)			239				+6.07

predicted margin = PHI − MIL = +6.07 − (−1.84) = +7.91 → pick PHI

final margin = 127 − 116 = +11 → won PHI ✓

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

MIL	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Kyle Kuzma	35	−3.9	−2.3	−2.6	−3.6	−2.2	−3.0	−2.5	−1.7	−4.2	−2.0
Tyler Herro	31	+1.7	+2.0	+1.5	+1.1	−1.9	+0.7	−0.3	−0.4	−0.8	−0.5
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	27	−0.3	+0.1	−0.1	−0.2	−1.0	−1.3	0.0	−1.0	−0.6	−1.5
Ryan Rollins	25	+2.6	+0.2	+0.7	+1.5	+1.5	−1.0	+1.8	+0.1	+1.8	−0.7
Myles Turner	20	+0.1	−0.9	+0.1	+0.2	+0.5	0.0	+1.5	+0.6	−1.7	+0.1
Kel'el Ware	29	+1.1	+2.1	0.0	−1.1	+0.4	−0.9	+1.3	−0.6	−0.6	+0.8
Kasparas Jakučionis	25	−1.3	−0.4	−0.7	−0.4	0.0	−1.1

PHI	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Joel Embiid	36	+5.7	+4.9	+5.0	+4.1	+1.8	+4.7	+5.7	+3.8	+2.1	+1.7
Tyrese Maxey	36	+3.4	+5.4	+3.3	+2.5	+2.3	+1.9	+1.5	+2.0	+3.5	+2.9
Jaylen Brown	35	+0.2	+3.3	+1.7	+2.7	+1.5	+1.1	+1.2	+1.2	−0.6	+1.5
VJ Edgecombe	30	+0.6	−0.5	+2.5	−0.7	+0.4	+1.4	+0.1	−0.8	+1.1	0.0
Dean Wade	28	+1.0	+0.2	+0.5	+0.8	+1.9	+1.1	−0.3	+0.8	+3.1	+0.6
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	28	−1.5	−2.5	−1.1	−0.6	−1.5	−0.2	−1.5	−2.0	−1.3	−1.3
Anfernee Simons	20	−0.6	−0.1	−1.0	−1.1	−2.5	−0.9	−1.6	−2.0	−1.3	0.0
Jabari Walker	12	−1.1	−2.7	−2.4	−0.7	−1.7	−2.6	−1.5	−1.9	−0.7	−1.4
Adem Bona	10	−1.3	−2.9	−0.8	−1.1	+0.6	−1.1	+0.2	−2.1	−2.4	−0.9
Labaron Philon	4	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Team rating	239	+6.1	+7.0	+7.4	+5.6	+3.2	+5.7	+4.1	+2.2	+4.1	+3.5