PHI @ IND, Wed, Oct 28 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 28·PHI @ IND·Wed, Oct 28·10 of 10 right

Philadelphia76ers

114◂

IndianaPacers

109

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	PHI	IND	pred	pick	miss
Final			−5	PHI
LOKI †	+8.0	−1.8	−9.9	PHI	4.9	✓
BPM	+11.2	−4.9	−16.1	PHI	11.1	✓
EPM projection	+9.9	−2.5	−12.4	PHI	7.4	✓
DARKO	+7.6	−2.2	−9.8	PHI	4.8	✓
OpenRAPM	+3.4	−6.8	−10.2	PHI	5.2	✓
EPM	+7.9	−3.4	−11.3	PHI	6.3	✓
xPM	+4.8	−0.2	−5.0	PHI	0.0	✓
Pulse	+3.8	−3.8	−7.6	PHI	2.6	✓
xRAPM	+4.5	−4.8	−9.3	PHI	4.3	✓
LEBRON	+6.0	−3.4	−9.4	PHI	4.4	✓

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

PHI	rating		min		48		adds
Joel Embiid	+5.69	×	39	÷	48	=	+4.63
Tyrese Maxey	+3.39	×	36	÷	48	=	+2.54
Jaylen Brown	+0.17	×	34	÷	48	=	+0.12
LeBron James	+1.67	×	33	÷	48	=	+1.15
VJ Edgecombe	+0.56	×	29	÷	48	=	+0.34
Anfernee Simons	−0.64	×	27	÷	48	=	−0.36
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	−1.48	×	21	÷	48	=	−0.65
Dean Wade	+1.02	×	17	÷	48	=	+0.36
Adem Bona	−1.25	×	4	÷	48	=	−0.10
PHI team rating (sum)			240				+8.02

IND	rating		min		48		adds
Andrew Nembhard	−0.04	×	35	÷	48	=	−0.03
Pascal Siakam	+2.84	×	34	÷	48	=	+2.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	−2.34	×	30	÷	48	=	−1.46
Aaron Nesmith	+0.29	×	27	÷	48	=	+0.16
Jay Huff	−0.65	×	16	÷	48	=	−0.22
Larry Nance Jr.	−2.40	×	23	÷	48	=	−1.15
Obi Toppin	+1.55	×	22	÷	48	=	+0.71
Jarace Walker	−3.61	×	22	÷	48	=	−1.66
Quenton Jackson	+0.62	×	14	÷	48	=	+0.18
Jalen Slawson	−0.79	×	12	÷	48	=	−0.20
Braden Smith	−2.00	×	5	÷	48	=	−0.21
IND team rating (sum)			240				−1.85

predicted margin = IND − PHI = −1.85 − (+8.02) = −9.87 → pick PHI

final margin = 109 − 114 = −5 → won PHI ✓

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

PHI	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Joel Embiid	39	+5.7	+4.9	+5.0	+4.1	+1.8	+4.7	+5.7	+3.8	+2.1	+1.7
Tyrese Maxey	36	+3.4	+5.4	+3.3	+2.5	+2.3	+1.9	+1.5	+2.0	+3.5	+2.9
Jaylen Brown	34	+0.2	+3.3	+1.7	+2.7	+1.5	+1.1	+1.2	+1.2	−0.6	+1.5
LeBron James	33	+1.7	+3.5	+2.3	+2.3	+0.3	+2.0	−0.2	+1.0	+0.5	+2.5
VJ Edgecombe	29	+0.6	−0.5	+2.5	−0.7	+0.4	+1.4	+0.1	−0.8	+1.1	0.0
Anfernee Simons	27	−0.6	−0.1	−1.0	−1.1	−2.5	−0.9	−1.6	−2.0	−1.3	0.0
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	21	−1.5	−2.5	−1.1	−0.6	−1.5	−0.2

IND	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Andrew Nembhard	35	0.0	−0.8	+1.1	−0.6	−2.0	+0.5	−0.8	−0.4	−0.8	+0.2
Pascal Siakam	34	+2.8	+0.7	+2.2	+1.4	+0.6	+2.0	+1.7	+0.8	+1.9	+1.0
Kelly Oubre Jr.	30	−2.3	−1.4	−1.0	−0.3	−1.7	−1.1	−2.1	−1.9	−1.9	−2.4
Aaron Nesmith	27	+0.3	−3.4	+0.5	−0.1	−1.9	+0.5	+0.4	−1.5	+0.6	−0.9
Jay Huff	16	−0.7	+0.4	−1.8	−0.2	+0.4	−2.5	+0.6	+1.3	−1.3	−0.4
Larry Nance Jr.	23	−2.4	−3.4	−1.8	−2.0	−1.9	−1.4	+0.5	−2.7	−3.3	−1.4
Obi Toppin	22	+1.6	+3.0	0.0	0.0	−1.4	+0.5	+1.8	+1.9	+0.8	+0.8
Jarace Walker	22	−3.6	−2.4	−3.3	−2.5	−3.1	−4.4	−1.2	−3.6	−4.3	−2.7
Quenton Jackson	14	+0.6	−1.8	−1.2	−0.4	−1.6	−1.0	−0.9	+0.2	+0.1	−1.2
Jalen Slawson	12	−0.8	−0.4	−3.7	−0.2	−0.1	−3.9	+0.3	−0.7	−3.5	−0.2
Braden Smith	5	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Team rating	240	−1.8	−4.9	−2.5	−2.2	−6.8	−3.4	−0.2	−3.8	−4.8	−3.4