CHA @ WAS, Fri, Oct 30 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 30·CHA @ WAS·Fri, Oct 30·1 of 10 right

CharlotteHornets

WashingtonWizards

95▸

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	CHA	WAS	pred	pick	miss
Final			+16	WAS
LOKI †	−1.5	−1.3	+0.2	WAS	15.8	✓
BPM	+1.1	−2.9	−4.1	CHA	20.1	✗
EPM projection	+1.0	−0.7	−1.7	CHA	17.7	✗
DARKO	−1.3	−4.7	−3.4	CHA	19.4	✗
OpenRAPM	+1.4	−3.7	−5.1	CHA	21.1	✗
EPM	0.0	−2.5	−2.6	CHA	18.6	✗
xPM	+0.5	−1.1	−1.6	CHA	17.6	✗
Pulse	+2.7	−2.2	−5.0	CHA	21.0	✗
xRAPM	+2.6	−7.8	−10.4	CHA	26.4	✗
LEBRON	+0.5	−5.0	−5.5	CHA	21.5	✗

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

CHA	rating		min		48		adds
Brandon Miller	+1.67	×	37	÷	48	=	+1.29
Naz Reid	+1.19	×	31	÷	48	=	+0.77
Moussa Diabaté	+3.33	×	31	÷	48	=	+2.15
Sion James	−1.70	×	29	÷	48	=	−1.02
Dennis Schröder	−2.00	×	29	÷	48	=	−1.21
Grayson Allen	−0.79	×	21	÷	48	=	−0.34
Royce O'Neale	−3.24	×	17	÷	48	=	−1.15
Ryan Kalkbrenner	−1.37	×	15	÷	48	=	−0.43
Christian Anderson	−2.00	×	14	÷	48	=	−0.58
Tidjane Salaün	−3.12	×	9	÷	48	=	−0.59
Liam McNeeley	−3.89	×	3	÷	48	=	−0.24
PJ Hall	−2.00	×	2	÷	48	=	−0.08
Hannes Steinbach	−2.00	×	2	÷	48	=	−0.08
CHA team rating (sum)			240				−1.53

WAS	rating		min		48.4		adds
Trae Young	+2.22	×	38	÷	48.4	=	+1.74
Anthony Davis	+3.28	×	34	÷	48.4	=	+2.30
Kyshawn George	−0.64	×	32	÷	48.4	=	−0.43
AJ Dybantsa	−2.00	×	30	÷	48.4	=	−1.24
Alex Sarr	+0.35	×	29	÷	48.4	=	+0.21
Bilal Coulibaly	−1.32	×	22	÷	48.4	=	−0.60
Bub Carrington	−4.20	×	20	÷	48.4	=	−1.74
Deandre Ayton	−1.24	×	17	÷	48.4	=	−0.44
Tre Johnson	−2.40	×	13	÷	48.4	=	−0.64
Khris Middleton	−3.21	×	5	÷	48.4	=	−0.33
Tre Mann	−3.76	×	1	÷	48.4	=	−0.08
Will Riley	−3.33	×	1	÷	48.4	=	−0.07
WAS team rating (sum)			242				−1.31

predicted margin = WAS − CHA = −1.31 − (−1.53) = +0.22 → pick WAS

final margin = 95 − 79 = +16 → won WAS ✓

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

CHA	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Brandon Miller	37	+1.7	+1.6	+2.4	+1.2	+2.4	+1.6	+1.8	+2.8	+3.8	+1.3
Naz Reid	31	+1.2	+0.9	+0.8	+0.7	+0.3	+0.7	+0.6	+1.6	+2.0	+1.1
Moussa Diabaté	31	+3.3	+1.7	+2.0	+1.2	+4.0	+2.3	+3.9	+3.0	+0.7	+1.8
Sion James	29	−1.7	−2.0	−0.1	−1.4	+0.2	−0.2	−1.6	−0.8	+1.5	−0.3
Dennis Schröder	29	−2.0	−2.2	−1.4	−2.5	−2.9	−1.6	−2.3	−1.5	−1.9	−0.9
Grayson Allen	21	−0.8	+2.1	+0.8	+0.9	−0.1	+1.0	−0.1	+0.8	+0.3	+0.5
Royce O'Neale	17	−3.2	+0.7	−2.0	−1.5	−1.2	−2.4

WAS	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Trae Young	38	+2.2	+2.8	+2.6	+1.2	+0.1	+2.9	+0.9	+1.8	−0.5	+0.9
Anthony Davis	34	+3.3	+2.4	+2.8	+2.2	+1.1	+3.0	+3.3	+2.5	+1.3	+1.6
Kyshawn George	32	−0.6	−1.2	−0.2	−2.1	−0.7	−0.9	0.0	0.0	−0.7	−1.1
AJ Dybantsa	30	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Alex Sarr	29	+0.4	+0.7	−1.1	−2.2	+0.6	−1.7	+0.8	−0.4	−3.4	−0.3
Bilal Coulibaly	22	−1.3	−2.1	−1.1	−1.8	+0.3	−1.8	−0.9	−0.7	−1.2	−1.7
Bub Carrington	20	−4.2	−4.7	−2.9	−3.9	−4.0	−4.2	−4.4	−4.7	−4.6	−5.6
Deandre Ayton	17	−1.2	−0.9	−0.3	+0.5	−0.5	−0.8	−0.7	−0.7	−4.0	−0.3
Tre Johnson	13	−2.4	−5.0	−2.1	−2.8	−4.0	−3.2	−2.8	−4.1	−1.1	−4.4
Khris Middleton	5	−3.2	−4.4	−1.4	−1.9	−2.7	−1.6	−1.0	−1.9	−2.3	−1.4
Tre Mann	1	−3.8	−5.3	−4.5	−2.6	−4.0	−5.2	−1.3	−3.9	−4.1	−1.7
Will Riley	1	−3.3	−4.5	−4.0	−2.4	−4.1	−5.8	−3.2	−4.5	−3.6	−4.0
Team rating	242	−1.3	−2.9	−0.7	−4.7	−3.7	−2.5	−1.1	−2.2	−7.8	−5.0