BKN @ BOS, Tue, Oct 27 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 27·BKN @ BOS·Tue, Oct 27·10 of 10 right

BrooklynNets

124

BostonCeltics

125▸

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	BKN	BOS	pred	pick	miss
Final			+1	BOS
LOKI †	−1.7	+7.8	+9.6	BOS	8.6	✓
BPM	−3.1	+11.5	+14.7	BOS	13.7	✓
EPM projection	−3.3	+11.0	+14.3	BOS	13.3	✓
DARKO	−1.3	+10.3	+11.6	BOS	10.6	✓
OpenRAPM	−3.3	+7.6	+10.9	BOS	9.9	✓
EPM	−4.6	+11.2	+15.9	BOS	14.9	✓
xPM	−1.3	+9.5	+10.9	BOS	9.9	✓
Pulse	−1.6	+9.0	+10.6	BOS	9.6	✓
xRAPM	−6.0	+12.0	+18.0	BOS	17.0	✓
LEBRON	−3.9	+10.2	+14.1	BOS	13.1	✓

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

BKN	rating		min		52.6		adds
Julius Randle	+0.96	×	44	÷	52.6	=	+0.80
Michael Porter Jr.	+1.64	×	40	÷	52.6	=	+1.25
Nolan Traore	−3.62	×	24	÷	52.6	=	−1.65
Day'Ron Sharpe	+4.02	×	17	÷	52.6	=	+1.30
Egor Dëmin	−0.69	×	10	÷	52.6	=	−0.13
Chaney Johnson	−1.62	×	29	÷	52.6	=	−0.89
Mikel Brown Jr.	−2.00	×	28	÷	52.6	=	−1.06
Keon Ellis	−0.13	×	25	÷	52.6	=	−0.06
Noah Clowney	−2.51	×	24	÷	52.6	=	−1.14
Moritz Wagner	−0.30	×	22	÷	52.6	=	−0.12
BKN team rating (sum)			263				−1.72

BOS	rating		min		52.8		adds
Jayson Tatum	+4.59	×	42	÷	52.8	=	+3.65
Paul George	+1.13	×	36	÷	52.8	=	+0.77
Derrick White	+3.76	×	33	÷	52.8	=	+2.35
Mitchell Robinson	+1.53	×	25	÷	52.8	=	+0.73
Jordan Walsh	−2.05	×	24	÷	52.8	=	−0.93
Sam Hauser	+0.53	×	25	÷	52.8	=	+0.25
Payton Pritchard	+1.53	×	24	÷	52.8	=	+0.69
Baylor Scheierman	−1.42	×	21	÷	52.8	=	−0.56
Neemias Queta	+3.56	×	15	÷	52.8	=	+1.01
Luka Garza	+0.02	×	13	÷	52.8	=	0.00
Hugo González	−1.10	×	6	÷	52.8	=	−0.12
BOS team rating (sum)			264				+7.84

predicted margin = BOS − BKN = +7.84 − (−1.72) = +9.55 → pick BOS

final margin = 125 − 124 = +1 → won BOS ✓

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

BKN	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Julius Randle	44	+1.0	+1.5	+0.5	+0.4	+0.7	+0.2	0.0	+0.8	−0.2	+0.3
Michael Porter Jr.	40	+1.6	+3.0	+2.3	+2.0	+0.7	+2.1	+0.7	+2.0	+0.6	+0.7
Nolan Traore	24	−3.6	−6.8	−4.9	−2.7	−3.6	−6.0	−3.2	−4.2	−3.2	−3.4
Day'Ron Sharpe	17	+4.0	+1.4	+1.2	+1.5	+2.1	+0.9	+4.7	+2.8	+2.6	+0.5
Egor Dëmin	10	−0.7	−1.6	−1.0	−1.2	−1.3	−1.7	−1.1	−1.1	+0.3	−0.9
Chaney Johnson	29	−1.6	+0.1	−1.6	−0.4	−0.9	−1.2	−1.8	−0.3	−4.1	−0.9
Mikel Brown Jr.	28	−2.0	−2.0

BOS	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Jayson Tatum	42	+4.6	+4.8	+5.9	+5.0	+1.7	+5.4	+4.7	+2.8	+4.4	+3.9
Paul George	36	+1.1	+1.7	+1.2	+1.9	−0.1	+1.2	+1.5	+2.3	+1.4	+1.7
Derrick White	33	+3.8	+3.2	+3.3	+2.5	+3.0	+3.3	+2.8	+4.1	+4.4	+4.6
Mitchell Robinson	25	+1.5	+3.5	+2.4	+2.7	+3.3	+3.5	+3.5	+2.7	+1.1	+2.2
Jordan Walsh	24	−2.1	+0.2	−0.5	+0.5	+1.8	−1.0	−0.7	−0.7	+1.2	−0.5
Sam Hauser	25	+0.5	+0.6	+0.6	+0.6	0.0	+0.9	+0.1	0.0	+0.9	+0.6
Payton Pritchard	24	+1.5	+2.3	+2.8	+1.5	+0.8	+2.6	+0.7	+0.4	+2.4	+1.9
Baylor Scheierman	21	−1.4	+0.6	+0.5	+0.1	+0.3	+0.7	−0.6	+0.1	+2.0	−0.3
Neemias Queta	15	+3.6	+2.8	+2.2	+2.4	+4.4	+3.3	+4.4	+4.4	+4.0	+3.7
Luka Garza	13	0.0	+2.4	+1.0	+1.4	+0.8	+1.0	+2.1	+1.3	+0.3	+0.6
Hugo González	6	−1.1	−1.5	−1.0	−0.9	+1.1	−1.5	−2.4	−1.2	+1.8	−0.1
Team rating	264	+7.8	+11.5	+11.0	+10.3	+7.6	+11.2	+9.5	+9.0	+12.0	+10.2