DET @ PHI, Sun, Oct 25 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 25·DET @ PHI·Sun, Oct 25·8 of 10 right

DetroitPistons

106◂

Philadelphia76ers

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	DET	PHI	pred	pick	miss
Final			−13	DET
LOKI †	+4.3	+2.0	−2.3	DET	10.7	✓
BPM	+6.2	+5.4	−0.8	DET	12.2	✓
EPM projection	+3.3	+3.5	+0.2	PHI	13.2	✗
DARKO	+4.2	+4.1	−0.04	DET	13.0	✓
OpenRAPM	+2.8	+2.0	−0.8	DET	12.2	✓
EPM	+1.3	+2.7	+1.4	PHI	14.4	✗
xPM	+4.7	−0.6	−5.4	DET	7.6	✓
Pulse	+5.0	−0.3	−5.3	DET	7.7	✓
xRAPM	+6.3	+1.4	−4.9	DET	8.1	✓
LEBRON	+5.4	+3.7	−1.8	DET	11.2	✓

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

DET	rating		min		48		adds
Daniss Jenkins	−0.72	×	38	÷	48	=	−0.57
John Collins	−0.13	×	34	÷	48	=	−0.09
Cade Cunningham	+4.46	×	33	÷	48	=	+3.07
Duncan Robinson	−0.42	×	32	÷	48	=	−0.28
Paul Reed	+3.37	×	23	÷	48	=	+1.62
Kevin Huerter	+1.82	×	26	÷	48	=	+0.98
Ronald Holland II	−1.41	×	23	÷	48	=	−0.67
Javonte Green	+0.67	×	22	÷	48	=	+0.31
Isaiah Joe	+1.79	×	4	÷	48	=	+0.15
Tolu Smith	−2.00	×	3	÷	48	=	−0.12
Ebuka Okorie	−2.00	×	2	÷	48	=	−0.08
DET team rating (sum)			240				+4.30

PHI	rating		min		48		adds
Jaylen Brown	+0.17	×	40	÷	48	=	+0.14
Dean Wade	+1.02	×	37	÷	48	=	+0.79
Tyrese Maxey	+3.39	×	34	÷	48	=	+2.40
LeBron James	+1.67	×	33	÷	48	=	+1.15
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	−1.48	×	31	÷	48	=	−0.95
Anfernee Simons	−0.64	×	27	÷	48	=	−0.36
Adem Bona	−1.25	×	25	÷	48	=	−0.65
Labaron Philon	−2.00	×	13	÷	48	=	−0.54
PHI team rating (sum)			240				+1.97

predicted margin = PHI − DET = +1.97 − (+4.30) = −2.33 → pick DET

final margin = 93 − 106 = −13 → won DET ✓

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

DET	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Daniss Jenkins	38	−0.7	−0.7	−1.1	−0.8	−1.8	−2.0	−0.6	−0.1	+0.4	+0.2
John Collins	34	−0.1	−0.5	−0.8	+0.3	−1.3	−1.4	+1.4	−0.2	−1.7	−0.1
Cade Cunningham	33	+4.5	+6.3	+5.5	+3.8	+4.0	+4.1	+3.7	+4.8	+3.7	+5.4
Duncan Robinson	32	−0.4	+0.8	+0.4	+0.9	−0.5	+0.8	−0.8	+0.4	+1.3	+1.1
Paul Reed	23	+3.4	+5.3	+2.0	+1.7	+3.0	+2.4	+4.3	+4.0	+2.2	+2.0
Kevin Huerter	26	+1.8	−0.6	+0.2	+0.3	+0.1	+0.6	+0.6	+0.5	+2.3	0.0
Ronald Holland II	23	−1.4	−2.0	−0.9	+0.3	+0.6	−2.1

PHI	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Jaylen Brown	40	+0.2	+3.3	+1.7	+2.7	+1.5	+1.1	+1.2	+1.2	−0.6	+1.5
Dean Wade	37	+1.0	+0.2	+0.5	+0.8	+1.9	+1.1	−0.3	+0.8	+3.1	+0.6
Tyrese Maxey	34	+3.4	+5.4	+3.3	+2.5	+2.3	+1.9	+1.5	+2.0	+3.5	+2.9
LeBron James	33	+1.7	+3.5	+2.3	+2.3	+0.3	+2.0	−0.2	+1.0	+0.5	+2.5
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	31	−1.5	−2.5	−1.1	−0.6	−1.5	−0.2	−1.5	−2.0	−1.3	−1.3
Anfernee Simons	27	−0.6	−0.1	−1.0	−1.1	−2.5	−0.9	−1.6	−2.0	−1.3	0.0
Adem Bona	25	−1.3	−2.9	−0.8	−1.1	+0.6	−1.1	+0.2	−2.1	−2.4	−0.9
Labaron Philon	13	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Team rating	240	+2.0	+5.4	+3.5	+4.1	+2.0	+2.7	−0.6	−0.3	+1.4	+3.7