MIA @ CHA, Sat, Oct 24 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 24·MIA @ CHA·Sat, Oct 24·0 of 10 right

MiamiHeat

110

CharlotteHornets

115▸

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	MIA	CHA	pred	pick	miss
Final			+5	CHA
LOKI †	+4.2	−1.5	−5.7	MIA	10.7	✗
BPM	+3.7	+2.1	−1.7	MIA	6.7	✗
EPM projection	+5.3	+1.7	−3.7	MIA	8.7	✗
DARKO	+3.3	−0.7	−4.0	MIA	9.0	✗
OpenRAPM	+1.3	+1.1	−0.3	MIA	5.3	✗
EPM	+5.7	+0.5	−5.2	MIA	10.2	✗
xPM	+1.4	+0.7	−0.7	MIA	5.8	✗
Pulse	+3.8	+3.3	−0.5	MIA	5.5	✗
xRAPM	+4.1	+3.1	−1.0	MIA	6.0	✗
LEBRON	+2.1	+1.0	−1.1	MIA	6.1	✗

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

MIA	rating		min		48		adds
Bam Adebayo	+3.82	×	39	÷	48	=	+3.10
Davion Mitchell	+1.17	×	37	÷	48	=	+0.90
Klay Thompson	−3.27	×	27	÷	48	=	−1.84
Giannis Antetokounmpo	+8.65	×	25	÷	48	=	+4.50
Andrew Wiggins	−1.55	×	18	÷	48	=	−0.58
Pelle Larsson	+0.10	×	36	÷	48	=	+0.07
Bobby Portis Jr.	−0.85	×	27	÷	48	=	−0.48
Tim Hardaway Jr.	−2.79	×	21	÷	48	=	−1.22
Nikola Jović	−0.93	×	6	÷	48	=	−0.12
Ryan Conwell	−2.00	×	4	÷	48	=	−0.17
MIA team rating (sum)			240				+4.18

CHA	rating		min		48		adds
Dennis Schröder	−2.00	×	38	÷	48	=	−1.58
Naz Reid	+1.19	×	37	÷	48	=	+0.91
Brandon Miller	+1.67	×	36	÷	48	=	+1.25
Sion James	−1.70	×	26	÷	48	=	−0.92
Moussa Diabaté	+3.33	×	22	÷	48	=	+1.52
Grayson Allen	−0.79	×	34	÷	48	=	−0.56
Ryan Kalkbrenner	−1.37	×	23	÷	48	=	−0.66
Royce O'Neale	−3.24	×	11	÷	48	=	−0.74
Tidjane Salaün	−3.12	×	10	÷	48	=	−0.65
Christian Anderson	−2.00	×	3	÷	48	=	−0.12
CHA team rating (sum)			240				−1.54

predicted margin = CHA − MIA = −1.54 − (+4.18) = −5.72 → pick MIA

final margin = 115 − 110 = +5 → won CHA ✗

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

MIA	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Bam Adebayo	39	+3.8	+2.0	+3.4	+3.4	+4.1	+4.2	+4.2	+4.3	+2.7	+3.5
Davion Mitchell	37	+1.2	−0.9	+1.1	+0.4	+1.4	+1.4	−1.3	+0.2	+1.8	−0.1
Klay Thompson	27	−3.3	−1.4	−1.5	−1.4	−4.3	−1.5	−2.7	−2.8	−1.0	−2.5
Giannis Antetokounmpo	25	+8.6	+9.5	+7.9	+5.4	+4.8	+8.3	+6.4	+6.5	+5.7	+5.1
Andrew Wiggins	18	−1.6	+1.2	−0.9	−0.6	+0.3	−1.1	−0.6	+0.3	−1.7	+0.4
Pelle Larsson	36	+0.1	−1.2	+0.7	−0.3	+0.2	+0.4	−0.2	+0.3	+1.4	+0.1
Bobby Portis Jr.	27	−0.9	0.0	−1.6	−1.0	−3.3	−2.3

CHA	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Dennis Schröder	38	−2.0	−2.2	−1.4	−2.5	−2.9	−1.6	−2.3	−1.5	−1.9	−0.9
Naz Reid	37	+1.2	+0.9	+0.8	+0.7	+0.3	+0.7	+0.6	+1.6	+2.0	+1.1
Brandon Miller	36	+1.7	+1.6	+2.4	+1.2	+2.4	+1.6	+1.8	+2.8	+3.8	+1.3
Sion James	26	−1.7	−2.0	−0.1	−1.4	+0.2	−0.2	−1.6	−0.8	+1.5	−0.3
Moussa Diabaté	22	+3.3	+1.7	+2.0	+1.2	+4.0	+2.3	+3.9	+3.0	+0.7	+1.8
Grayson Allen	34	−0.8	+2.1	+0.8	+0.9	−0.1	+1.0	−0.1	+0.8	+0.3	+0.5
Ryan Kalkbrenner	23	−1.4	+1.8	+0.3	+0.4	+0.7	−0.7	+1.7	+1.3	−0.5	−0.5
Royce O'Neale	11	−3.2	+0.7	−2.0	−1.5	−1.2	−2.4	−1.3	−1.2	−1.7	−2.1
Tidjane Salaün	10	−3.1	−0.8	−3.0	−1.8	−2.3	−3.0	−2.5	−2.6	−1.6	−1.2
Christian Anderson	3	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Team rating	240	−1.5	+2.1	+1.7	−0.7	+1.1	+0.5	+0.7	+3.3	+3.1	+1.0