POR @ SAC, Fri, Oct 23 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 23·POR @ SAC·Fri, Oct 23·10 of 10 right

PortlandTrail Blazers

128◂

SacramentoKings

120

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	POR	SAC	pred	pick	miss
Final			−8	POR
LOKI †	+3.5	−3.3	−6.8	POR	1.2	✓
BPM	+1.4	−9.8	−11.2	POR	3.2	✓
EPM projection	+3.6	−4.2	−7.7	POR	0.3	✓
DARKO	+3.7	−5.5	−9.2	POR	1.2	✓
OpenRAPM	+0.7	−9.3	−9.9	POR	1.9	✓
EPM	+2.9	−4.7	−7.6	POR	0.4	✓
xPM	+3.4	−4.0	−7.4	POR	0.6	✓
Pulse	+3.2	−5.6	−8.8	POR	0.8	✓
xRAPM	+2.6	−7.7	−10.3	POR	2.3	✓
LEBRON	+2.4	−4.5	−6.9	POR	1.1	✓

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

POR	rating		min		48		adds
Deni Avdija	+2.47	×	38	÷	48	=	+1.95
Damian Lillard	−2.00	×	33	÷	48	=	−1.37
Toumani Camara	+1.41	×	27	÷	48	=	+0.79
Ja Morant	+3.22	×	27	÷	48	=	+1.81
Donovan Clingan	+1.82	×	21	÷	48	=	+0.79
Jrue Holiday	+1.41	×	26	÷	48	=	+0.76
Sidy Cissoko	−2.99	×	26	÷	48	=	−1.62
Scoot Henderson	−1.08	×	21	÷	48	=	−0.47
Robert Williams III	+2.60	×	18	÷	48	=	+0.98
Vít Krejčí	−1.61	×	3	÷	48	=	−0.10
POR team rating (sum)			240				+3.52

SAC	rating		min		48		adds
Domantas Sabonis	+2.07	×	39	÷	48	=	+1.68
Zach LaVine	+0.21	×	39	÷	48	=	+0.17
Darius Acuff Jr.	−2.00	×	37	÷	48	=	−1.54
Keegan Murray	−0.02	×	26	÷	48	=	−0.01
De'Andre Hunter	−1.85	×	25	÷	48	=	−0.96
Precious Achiuwa	−0.76	×	26	÷	48	=	−0.41
Daeqwon Plowden	−3.51	×	20	÷	48	=	−1.46
Emanuel Sharp	−2.00	×	14	÷	48	=	−0.58
Malik Monk	−0.54	×	12	÷	48	=	−0.13
Nique Clifford	−0.37	×	2	÷	48	=	−0.02
SAC team rating (sum)			240				−3.27

predicted margin = SAC − POR = −3.27 − (+3.52) = −6.79 → pick POR

final margin = 120 − 128 = −8 → won POR ✓

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

POR	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Deni Avdija	38	+2.5	+4.3	+3.1	+1.9	+1.6	+2.6	+1.6	+2.4	+0.9	+1.7
Damian Lillard	33	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Toumani Camara	27	+1.4	−1.0	+1.8	+1.1	+1.2	+1.9	+0.8	+0.3	+1.5	0.0
Ja Morant	27	+3.2	−1.5	+2.6	+1.9	−0.9	+1.9	+2.5	+0.9	+1.2	+1.5
Donovan Clingan	21	+1.8	+3.0	+3.0	+1.3	+3.7	+3.3	+2.4	+2.5	+2.0	+3.4
Jrue Holiday	26

SAC	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Domantas Sabonis	39	+2.1	+0.6	+1.6	+0.1	−0.9	+1.5	+2.7	+1.0	−0.2	+1.1
Zach LaVine	39	+0.2	−1.5	−1.2	−2.4	−3.3	−1.4	−1.1	−1.5	−2.1	−1.7
Darius Acuff Jr.	37	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Keegan Murray	26	0.0	−3.1	−0.1	−0.1	−1.4	−0.4	−0.3	−1.3	−0.1	−0.4
De'Andre Hunter	25	−1.9	−3.9	−0.7	−0.9	−2.5	−0.2	−1.8	−1.6	−0.8	−0.8
Precious Achiuwa	26	−0.8	−1.6	−1.0	−0.4	+0.5	−1.3	−1.0	−0.7	−3.1	−0.1
Daeqwon Plowden	20	−3.5	−4.4	−2.9	−1.3	−2.8	−3.2	−3.1	−1.8	−3.2	−1.7
Emanuel Sharp	14	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Malik Monk	12	−0.5	−1.3	−0.7	−0.8	−2.7	−0.7	−0.5	−1.4	−0.6	−2.0
Nique Clifford	2	−0.4	−4.9	−1.4	−1.9	−1.0	−2.1	−1.5	−1.1	−1.2	−1.1
Team rating	240	−3.3	−9.8	−4.2	−5.5	−9.3	−4.7	−4.0	−5.6	−7.7	−4.5