DET @ NYK, Tue, Oct 27 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 27·DET @ NYK·Tue, Oct 27·10 of 10 right

DetroitPistons

New YorkKnicks

111▸

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	DET	NYK	pred	pick	miss
Final			+14	NYK
LOKI †	+5.7	+6.2	+0.5	NYK	13.5	✓
BPM	+7.6	+9.4	+1.8	NYK	12.2	✓
EPM projection	+5.2	+9.5	+4.3	NYK	9.7	✓
DARKO	+4.3	+8.2	+3.9	NYK	10.2	✓
OpenRAPM	+5.1	+7.7	+2.6	NYK	11.4	✓
EPM	+4.1	+9.4	+5.3	NYK	8.7	✓
xPM	+5.5	+5.6	+0.03	NYK	14.0	✓
Pulse	+6.7	+7.3	+0.6	NYK	13.4	✓
xRAPM	+6.3	+8.1	+1.8	NYK	12.2	✓
LEBRON	+6.5	+7.5	+1.1	NYK	12.9	✓

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

DET	rating		min		48.2		adds
Cade Cunningham	+4.46	×	36	÷	48.2	=	+3.33
Duncan Robinson	−0.42	×	33	÷	48.2	=	−0.29
John Collins	−0.13	×	27	÷	48.2	=	−0.07
Paul Reed	+3.37	×	26	÷	48.2	=	+1.82
Ausar Thompson	+3.92	×	25	÷	48.2	=	+2.03
Daniss Jenkins	−0.72	×	24	÷	48.2	=	−0.36
Javonte Green	+0.67	×	17	÷	48.2	=	+0.24
Kevin Huerter	+1.82	×	16	÷	48.2	=	+0.60
Ronald Holland II	−1.41	×	12	÷	48.2	=	−0.35
Taurean Prince	−3.21	×	7	÷	48.2	=	−0.47
Tolu Smith	−2.00	×	6	÷	48.2	=	−0.25
Ebuka Okorie	−2.00	×	4	÷	48.2	=	−0.17
Elijah Harkless	−1.08	×	3	÷	48.2	=	−0.07
Isaac Jones	−2.00	×	3	÷	48.2	=	−0.12
Chaz Lanier	−4.82	×	2	÷	48.2	=	−0.20
DET team rating (sum)			241				+5.68

NYK	rating		min		47.8		adds
OG Anunoby	+3.03	×	36	÷	47.8	=	+2.28
Jalen Brunson	+2.55	×	36	÷	47.8	=	+1.92
Karl-Anthony Towns	+2.94	×	33	÷	47.8	=	+2.03
Mikal Bridges	+0.96	×	32	÷	47.8	=	+0.64
Josh Hart	+0.09	×	27	÷	47.8	=	+0.05
Landry Shamet	−1.07	×	28	÷	47.8	=	−0.62
Miles McBride	+1.75	×	17	÷	47.8	=	+0.62
Andre Drummond	−1.22	×	14	÷	47.8	=	−0.36
Tyler Kolek	−0.76	×	11	÷	47.8	=	−0.17
Jaden Akins	−2.00	×	2	÷	47.8	=	−0.08
Pacôme Dadiet	−2.00	×	1	÷	47.8	=	−0.04
Mohamed Diawara	−1.72	×	1	÷	47.8	=	−0.04
James Wiseman	−2.00	×	1	÷	47.8	=	−0.04
NYK team rating (sum)			239				+6.19

predicted margin = NYK − DET = +6.19 − (+5.68) = +0.51 → pick NYK

final margin = 111 − 97 = +14 → won NYK ✓

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

DET	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Cade Cunningham	36	+4.5	+6.3	+5.5	+3.8	+4.0	+4.1	+3.7	+4.8	+3.7	+5.4
Duncan Robinson	33	−0.4	+0.8	+0.4	+0.9	−0.5	+0.8	−0.8	+0.4	+1.3	+1.1
John Collins	27	−0.1	−0.5	−0.8	+0.3	−1.3	−1.4	+1.4	−0.2	−1.7	−0.1
Paul Reed	26	+3.4	+5.3	+2.0	+1.7	+3.0	+2.4	+4.3	+4.0	+2.2	+2.0
Ausar Thompson	25	+3.9	+3.1	+3.5	+1.1	+4.8	+3.8	+3.5	+3.3	+3.2	+2.8
Daniss Jenkins	24	−0.7	−0.7	−1.1	−0.8	−1.8	−2.0	−0.6	−0.1	+0.4	+0.2
Javonte Green	17	+0.7	+2.1	+0.3	+0.8	+2.4	+0.7

NYK	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
OG Anunoby	36	+3.0	+2.0	+2.5	+3.7	+3.2	+2.8	+2.5	+3.0	+2.7	+1.8
Jalen Brunson	36	+2.6	+3.1	+5.1	+3.4	+2.2	+4.4	+1.1	+2.2	+2.1	+2.1
Karl-Anthony Towns	33	+2.9	+3.3	+5.2	+3.4	+4.1	+5.8	+3.3	+3.0	+2.9	+3.0
Mikal Bridges	32	+1.0	+2.7	+1.0	+0.5	+2.3	+0.4	+1.8	+1.7	+1.6	+2.2
Josh Hart	27	+0.1	+3.0	+0.9	+0.6	+1.9	+1.4	+0.3	+0.7	+1.3	+1.3
Landry Shamet	28	−1.1	−0.3	−0.9	+0.3	−1.4	−0.8	−1.0	+0.6	+1.3	+0.7
Miles McBride	17	+1.7	+1.2	+1.0	+1.2	−0.5	+0.9	+0.6	+0.2	+4.2	+1.0
Andre Drummond	14	−1.2	−0.6	−0.5	−1.1	+0.1	0.0	−0.2	−0.3	−4.4	−0.2
Tyler Kolek	11	−0.8	−0.6	−2.2	−1.0	−2.4	−3.0	−0.6	−1.1	−0.3	−1.1
Jaden Akins	2	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Pacôme Dadiet	1	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Mohamed Diawara	1	−1.7	−1.7	−2.6	−2.7	−2.6	−3.4	−2.3	−2.5	−1.6	−2.1
James Wiseman	1	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Team rating	239	+6.2	+9.4	+9.5	+8.2	+7.7	+9.4	+5.6	+7.3	+8.1	+7.5