ORL @ TOR, Fri, Oct 30 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 30·ORL @ TOR·Fri, Oct 30·1 of 10 right

OrlandoMagic

121◂

TorontoRaptors

114

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	ORL	TOR	pred	pick	miss
Final			−7	ORL
LOKI †	+5.0	+4.3	−0.7	ORL	6.3	✓
BPM	0.0	+3.9	+3.9	TOR	10.9	✗
EPM projection	+4.2	+5.6	+1.3	TOR	8.3	✗
DARKO	+1.6	+4.8	+3.1	TOR	10.1	✗
OpenRAPM	−1.0	+3.5	+4.5	TOR	11.5	✗
EPM	+1.2	+3.4	+2.2	TOR	9.2	✗
xPM	+2.5	+4.6	+2.1	TOR	9.1	✗
Pulse	+2.6	+3.6	+1.0	TOR	8.0	✗
xRAPM	+3.5	+4.4	+0.8	TOR	7.8	✗
LEBRON	+1.7	+3.2	+1.4	TOR	8.4	✗

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

ORL	rating		min		48		adds
Franz Wagner	+5.71	×	39	÷	48	=	+4.64
Wendell Carter Jr.	+1.48	×	39	÷	48	=	+1.21
Desmond Bane	+2.87	×	39	÷	48	=	+2.33
Jase Richardson	−2.41	×	33	÷	48	=	−1.65
Anthony Black	−0.20	×	31	÷	48	=	−0.13
Tristan da Silva	−1.24	×	23	÷	48	=	−0.59
Jamal Cain	−1.44	×	15	÷	48	=	−0.45
Alex Morales	−2.00	×	9	÷	48	=	−0.37
Goga Bitadze	+1.29	×	6	÷	48	=	+0.16
Nikola Vučević	−0.78	×	6	÷	48	=	−0.10
ORL team rating (sum)			240				+5.04

TOR	rating		min		48		adds
Scottie Barnes	+2.99	×	39	÷	48	=	+2.43
Immanuel Quickley	+2.31	×	37	÷	48	=	+1.78
RJ Barrett	+1.59	×	34	÷	48	=	+1.13
Ja'Kobe Walter	−0.92	×	32	÷	48	=	−0.62
Jakob Poeltl	+1.56	×	23	÷	48	=	+0.75
Collin Murray-Boyles	+0.15	×	23	÷	48	=	+0.07
Jamal Shead	+0.80	×	23	÷	48	=	+0.38
Jamison Battle	−3.03	×	19	÷	48	=	−1.20
Allen Graves	−2.00	×	9	÷	48	=	−0.37
Trayce Jackson-Davis	−1.16	×	1	÷	48	=	−0.02
TOR team rating (sum)			240				+4.33

predicted margin = TOR − ORL = +4.33 − (+5.04) = −0.71 → pick ORL

final margin = 114 − 121 = −7 → won ORL ✓

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

ORL	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Franz Wagner	39	+5.7	+2.5	+5.1	+2.0	+0.5	+4.6	+3.1	+1.9	+4.7	+2.3
Wendell Carter Jr.	39	+1.5	−0.6	+1.8	+1.4	+1.4	+1.6	+1.2	+2.4	+1.5	+0.3
Desmond Bane	39	+2.9	+1.4	+2.8	+0.7	+0.7	+1.9	+2.1	+2.0	+1.7	+1.7
Jase Richardson	33	−2.4	−2.5	−3.2	−1.6	−3.1	−3.8	−2.5	−3.3	−2.9	−2.2
Anthony Black	31	−0.2	−0.6	−0.2	+0.2	+0.7	−1.5	+0.4	0.0	−0.1	+0.5
Tristan da Silva	23	−1.2	−0.6	−0.6	−0.5	−1.0	−1.3	−1.4	+0.1	+0.6	−0.7
Jamal Cain	15	−1.4	−1.4	−2.6	−0.6	−2.3	−3.0

TOR	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Scottie Barnes	39	+3.0	+4.2	+3.6	+3.0	+3.8	+2.8	+3.2	+4.5	+2.7	+3.0
Immanuel Quickley	37	+2.3	+2.4	+2.2	+1.1	+0.4	+1.6	+2.4	+0.8	+1.8	+2.3
RJ Barrett	34	+1.6	+0.2	+2.2	+1.1	+0.6	+2.4	−0.7	+0.9	+0.1	+1.2
Ja'Kobe Walter	32	−0.9	−0.3	−1.3	−0.4	+0.2	−2.1	−0.2	−1.4	+0.4	−0.8
Jakob Poeltl	23	+1.6	+1.6	+1.3	+2.5	+1.0	+1.3	+2.7	+1.6	+0.8	−0.2
Collin Murray-Boyles	23	+0.2	+1.0	+2.0	+1.1	+1.8	+0.5	+2.9	+0.3	+0.6	+0.6
Jamal Shead	23	+0.8	−2.3	+1.0	+0.2	−0.2	+1.2	−1.0	+0.1	+1.1	+0.2
Jamison Battle	19	−3.0	−2.6	−3.6	−1.4	−3.3	−3.6	−2.6	−2.5	−0.9	−3.2
Allen Graves	9	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Trayce Jackson-Davis	1	−1.2	−0.4	−1.5	−1.4	−1.5	−1.5	+0.4	−1.0	−1.5	−0.6
Team rating	240	+4.3	+3.9	+5.6	+4.8	+3.5	+3.4	+4.6	+3.6	+4.4	+3.2