WAS @ CHI, Sat, Oct 24 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 24·WAS @ CHI·Sat, Oct 24·3 of 10 right

WashingtonWizards

124◂

ChicagoBulls

120

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	WAS	CHI	pred	pick	miss
Final			−4	WAS
LOKI †	−0.3	−0.2	+0.1	CHI	4.1	✗
BPM	−3.6	−1.9	+1.7	CHI	5.7	✗
EPM projection	−0.8	−1.3	−0.6	WAS	3.4	✓
DARKO	−4.4	−2.5	+2.0	CHI	6.0	✗
OpenRAPM	−3.8	−3.1	+0.7	CHI	4.7	✗
EPM	−3.5	−3.6	−0.1	WAS	3.9	✓
xPM	−0.8	−0.7	+0.1	CHI	4.1	✗
Pulse	−3.0	−3.2	−0.1	WAS	3.9	✓
xRAPM	−7.0	−2.9	+4.1	CHI	8.1	✗
LEBRON	−5.8	−2.3	+3.5	CHI	7.5	✗

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

WAS	rating		min		48		adds
Kyshawn George	−0.64	×	36	÷	48	=	−0.48
Trae Young	+2.22	×	34	÷	48	=	+1.57
Anthony Davis	+3.28	×	31	÷	48	=	+2.12
Bilal Coulibaly	−1.32	×	25	÷	48	=	−0.69
Alex Sarr	+0.35	×	23	÷	48	=	+0.17
Justin Champagnie	+1.40	×	26	÷	48	=	+0.76
Tre Johnson	−2.40	×	23	÷	48	=	−1.15
Bub Carrington	−4.20	×	21	÷	48	=	−1.84
Deandre Ayton	−1.24	×	16	÷	48	=	−0.41
Will Riley	−3.33	×	5	÷	48	=	−0.35
WAS team rating (sum)			240				−0.30

CHI	rating		min		48		adds
Caleb Wilson	−2.00	×	38	÷	48	=	−1.58
Matas Buzelis	−0.78	×	35	÷	48	=	−0.57
Norman Powell	−0.04	×	33	÷	48	=	−0.03
Josh Giddey	+2.20	×	30	÷	48	=	+1.38
Jalen Smith	+2.64	×	24	÷	48	=	+1.32
Leonard Miller	+0.06	×	21	÷	48	=	+0.03
Tre Jones	+2.32	×	18	÷	48	=	+0.87
Buddy Hield	−2.19	×	16	÷	48	=	−0.73
Isaac Okoro	−1.49	×	14	÷	48	=	−0.43
Zach Collins	−2.00	×	11	÷	48	=	−0.46
CHI team rating (sum)			240				−0.21

predicted margin = CHI − WAS = −0.21 − (−0.30) = +0.09 → pick CHI

final margin = 120 − 124 = −4 → won WAS ✗

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

WAS	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Kyshawn George	36	−0.6	−1.2	−0.2	−2.1	−0.7	−0.9	0.0	0.0	−0.7	−1.1
Trae Young	34	+2.2	+2.8	+2.6	+1.2	+0.1	+2.9	+0.9	+1.8	−0.5	+0.9
Anthony Davis	31	+3.3	+2.4	+2.8	+2.2	+1.1	+3.0	+3.3	+2.5	+1.3	+1.6
Bilal Coulibaly	25	−1.3	−2.1	−1.1	−1.8	+0.3	−1.8	−0.9	−0.7	−1.2	−1.7
Alex Sarr	23	+0.4	+0.7	−1.1	−2.2	+0.6	−1.7	+0.8	−0.4	−3.4	−0.3
Justin Champagnie	26	+1.4	−0.4	−0.7	−0.1	−0.3	−1.5	+0.7	−1.2	−0.9	−0.9
Tre Johnson	23	−2.4	−5.0	−2.1	−2.8	−4.0	−3.2

CHI	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Caleb Wilson	38	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Matas Buzelis	35	−0.8	−1.0	−0.3	−1.2	0.0	−2.0	+0.5	−0.5	−2.6	−0.8
Norman Powell	33	0.0	+1.6	+1.1	+0.8	+0.2	+1.0	−1.2	+0.4	+1.4	+0.6
Josh Giddey	30	+2.2	+2.7	+1.6	+0.1	+0.1	+0.9	+1.7	+0.1	+0.6	+0.5
Jalen Smith	24	+2.6	−0.7	+1.9	+1.3	+0.9	+2.4	+1.9	+1.4	+2.4	+1.3
Leonard Miller	21	+0.1	−1.3	−2.8	−0.4	−2.9	−3.8	+0.6	−2.2	−1.1	−1.0
Tre Jones	18	+2.3	+1.3	+1.2	−0.1	+0.7	+0.4	+0.6	+1.8	+0.3	+1.2
Buddy Hield	16	−2.2	−1.0	−1.6	−0.6	−1.8	−1.4	−1.4	−2.3	−2.3	−1.3
Isaac Okoro	14	−1.5	−3.8	−1.5	−1.7	−0.4	−2.0	−0.9	−2.4	−1.2	−2.2
Zach Collins	11	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Team rating	240	−0.2	−1.9	−1.3	−2.5	−3.1	−3.6	−0.7	−3.2	−2.9	−2.3