LAC @ LAL, Fri, Oct 23 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 23·LAC @ LAL·Fri, Oct 23·10 of 10 right

LAClippers

117

Los AngelesLakers

125▸

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	LAC	LAL	pred	pick	miss
Final			+8	LAL
LOKI †	0.0	+7.3	+7.3	LAL	0.7	✓
BPM	−6.8	+9.4	+16.2	LAL	8.2	✓
EPM projection	−1.3	+5.4	+6.8	LAL	1.2	✓
DARKO	−0.1	+3.8	+3.9	LAL	4.1	✓
OpenRAPM	−2.2	+3.2	+5.4	LAL	2.6	✓
EPM	−2.1	+2.5	+4.6	LAL	3.4	✓
xPM	−2.0	+5.1	+7.2	LAL	0.8	✓
Pulse	−3.6	+7.4	+11.0	LAL	3.0	✓
xRAPM	−0.3	+4.9	+5.2	LAL	2.8	✓
LEBRON	−3.3	+3.5	+6.7	LAL	1.3	✓

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

LAC	rating		min		48.4		adds
Darius Garland	+2.74	×	37	÷	48.4	=	+2.09
Derrick Jones Jr.	+0.53	×	35	÷	48.4	=	+0.38
Kris Dunn	+0.77	×	34	÷	48.4	=	+0.54
Rui Hachimura	+0.08	×	33	÷	48.4	=	+0.05
Isaiah Jackson	+0.32	×	28	÷	48.4	=	+0.19
Keaton Wagler	−2.00	×	24	÷	48.4	=	−0.99
Brook Lopez	−2.23	×	20	÷	48.4	=	−0.92
Kobe Sanders	−2.10	×	19	÷	48.4	=	−0.83
Gradey Dick	−1.89	×	12	÷	48.4	=	−0.47
LAC team rating (sum)			242				+0.05

LAL	rating		min		48.2		adds
Austin Reaves	+2.82	×	38	÷	48.2	=	+2.22
Luka Dončić	+7.57	×	37	÷	48.2	=	+5.81
Walker Kessler	−2.00	×	35	÷	48.2	=	−1.45
Ziaire Williams	−1.36	×	31	÷	48.2	=	−0.88
Matisse Thybulle	+2.03	×	24	÷	48.2	=	+1.01
Quentin Grimes	−0.14	×	31	÷	48.2	=	−0.09
Sandro Mamukelashvili	+1.86	×	24	÷	48.2	=	+0.93
Collin Sexton	−0.55	×	16	÷	48.2	=	−0.18
Kevon Looney	−0.54	×	5	÷	48.2	=	−0.06
LAL team rating (sum)			241				+7.32

predicted margin = LAL − LAC = +7.32 − (+0.05) = +7.27 → pick LAL

final margin = 125 − 117 = +8 → won LAL ✓

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

LAC	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Darius Garland	37	+2.7	−0.2	+2.4	+1.7	−1.1	+1.6	+1.6	−0.2	+1.6	+0.4
Derrick Jones Jr.	35	+0.5	−0.7	+0.3	+1.3	+0.8	+0.9	+0.4	+0.1	+0.3	0.0
Kris Dunn	34	+0.8	−0.8	−0.1	+0.5	+2.0	+0.1	−1.8	+1.2	+1.4	+0.5
Rui Hachimura	33	+0.1	−2.2	−1.0	−1.1	−2.3	−1.5	−1.6	−3.1	−0.1	−2.2
Isaiah Jackson	28	+0.3	−1.2	−1.3	+0.2	+0.3	−1.7	+2.5	+0.1	−1.4	0.0
Keaton Wagler	24	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0

LAL	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Austin Reaves	38	+2.8	+2.8	+3.6	+1.9	+0.7	+3.2	+2.4	+3.9	+2.6	+2.4
Luka Dončić	37	+7.6	+9.3	+8.3	+5.1	+5.3	+6.9	+5.6	+6.1	+6.0	+5.2
Walker Kessler	35	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Ziaire Williams	31	−1.4	−1.7	−1.3	−1.1	−0.4	−1.6	−1.2	−0.5	−1.0	−1.2
Matisse Thybulle	24	+2.0	+4.4	−1.4	+0.8	+2.7	−1.4	−0.1	+2.3	−0.4	+0.8
Quentin Grimes	31	−0.1	−1.6	−0.9	−0.9	−1.7	−2.1	0.0	0.0	−0.2	−1.5
Sandro Mamukelashvili	24	+1.9	+2.8	+0.2	+1.5	+0.9	−0.5	+2.5	+1.1	+2.2	+1.6
Collin Sexton	16	−0.5	+0.6	−1.0	+0.1	−0.9	−2.0	−0.4	−0.5	−1.0	−0.9
Kevon Looney	5	−0.5	−1.8	−0.2	−0.3	−0.9	+0.7	+1.1	−1.5	−0.6	−0.4
Team rating	241	+7.3	+9.4	+5.4	+3.8	+3.2	+2.5	+5.1	+7.4	+4.9	+3.5