MEM @ POR, Thu, Oct 29 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 29·MEM @ POR·Thu, Oct 29·1 of 10 right

MemphisGrizzlies

124◂

PortlandTrail Blazers

103

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	MEM	POR	pred	pick	miss
Final			−21	MEM
LOKI †	+0.3	+0.9	+0.6	POR	21.6	✗
BPM	+0.6	−0.5	−1.0	MEM	20.0	✓
EPM projection	+0.9	+1.1	+0.2	POR	21.2	✗
DARKO	−2.3	+2.1	+4.4	POR	25.4	✗
OpenRAPM	−2.6	−0.8	+1.7	POR	22.7	✗
EPM	−0.2	+0.2	+0.3	POR	21.3	✗
xPM	−1.1	+1.1	+2.2	POR	23.2	✗
Pulse	−1.1	+1.3	+2.3	POR	23.3	✗
xRAPM	−0.6	+0.3	+0.9	POR	21.9	✗
LEBRON	−2.3	+1.6	+3.8	POR	24.8	✗

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

MEM	rating		min		48.4		adds
Cameron Boozer	−2.00	×	28	÷	48.4	=	−1.16
Cedric Coward	+1.45	×	27	÷	48.4	=	+0.81
Jaylen Wells	−0.47	×	25	÷	48.4	=	−0.25
Ty Jerome	+4.01	×	24	÷	48.4	=	+1.99
Zach Edey	+2.02	×	18	÷	48.4	=	+0.75
Jerami Grant	−1.62	×	27	÷	48.4	=	−0.91
Cam Spencer	+1.52	×	23	÷	48.4	=	+0.72
GG Jackson	−0.54	×	21	÷	48.4	=	−0.23
Isaiah Stewart	−0.95	×	16	÷	48.4	=	−0.31
Scotty Pippen Jr.	−2.00	×	14	÷	48.4	=	−0.58
Quinten Post	−1.76	×	7	÷	48.4	=	−0.26
Taylor Hendricks	−0.94	×	3	÷	48.4	=	−0.06
Karim López	−2.00	×	3	÷	48.4	=	−0.12
Kris Murray	+0.02	×	3	÷	48.4	=	0.00
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	−1.24	×	3	÷	48.4	=	−0.08
MEM team rating (sum)			242				+0.32

POR	rating		min		48.2		adds
Deni Avdija	+2.47	×	32	÷	48.2	=	+1.64
Damian Lillard	−2.00	×	30	÷	48.2	=	−1.24
Donovan Clingan	+1.82	×	29	÷	48.2	=	+1.09
Toumani Camara	+1.41	×	26	÷	48.2	=	+0.76
Ja Morant	+3.22	×	23	÷	48.2	=	+1.53
Jrue Holiday	+1.41	×	24	÷	48.2	=	+0.70
Sidy Cissoko	−2.99	×	19	÷	48.2	=	−1.18
Scoot Henderson	−1.08	×	19	÷	48.2	=	−0.43
Branden Carlson	−1.88	×	12	÷	48.2	=	−0.47
Micah Potter	−0.59	×	9	÷	48.2	=	−0.11
Vít Krejčí	−1.61	×	8	÷	48.2	=	−0.27
John Tonje	−2.00	×	5	÷	48.2	=	−0.21
Hansen Yang	−8.92	×	5	÷	48.2	=	−0.93
POR team rating (sum)			241				+0.90

predicted margin = POR − MEM = +0.90 − (+0.32) = +0.58 → pick POR

final margin = 103 − 124 = −21 → won MEM ✗

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

MEM	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Cameron Boozer	28	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Cedric Coward	27	+1.4	−0.2	+1.7	−0.7	0.0	+1.1	+1.0	−0.4	+0.9	−1.2
Jaylen Wells	25	−0.5	−3.1	+1.3	−1.0	−0.7	+1.0	−1.8	−0.8	0.0	−0.6
Ty Jerome	24	+4.0	+7.7	+3.8	+3.2	+2.8	+4.1	+1.2	+2.8	+2.7	+3.0
Zach Edey	18	+2.0	+0.5	+2.3	+0.6	+2.1	+2.7	+2.6	+3.8	+4.8	+0.9
Jerami Grant	27

POR	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Deni Avdija	32	+2.5	+4.3	+3.1	+1.9	+1.6	+2.6	+1.6	+2.4	+0.9	+1.7
Damian Lillard	30	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Donovan Clingan	29	+1.8	+3.0	+3.0	+1.3	+3.7	+3.3	+2.4	+2.5	+2.0	+3.4
Toumani Camara	26	+1.4	−1.0	+1.8	+1.1	+1.2	+1.9	+0.8	+0.3	+1.5	0.0
Ja Morant	23	+3.2	−1.5	+2.6	+1.9	−0.9	+1.9	+2.5	+0.9	+1.2	+1.5
Jrue Holiday	24	+1.4	+1.9	+1.6	+1.2	−0.6	+2.0	+0.4	+2.1	+2.0	+1.5
Sidy Cissoko	19	−3.0	−4.0	−2.8	−0.3	−0.6	−3.1	−1.7	−1.8	−0.7	−1.7
Scoot Henderson	19	−1.1	−2.2	−2.3	−0.3	−2.4	−3.1	−0.5	−1.4	−0.8	−1.0
Branden Carlson	12	−1.9	+0.8	−4.0	−0.2	−1.8	−5.2	−1.7	−1.0	−3.4	−0.3
Micah Potter	9	−0.6	+0.7	−2.3	+0.3	−1.8	−2.4	−0.9	+0.7	−1.6	−0.2
Vít Krejčí	8	−1.6	−1.6	−2.2	−0.3	−1.4	−2.4	−0.4	−1.1	−1.5	−1.4
John Tonje	5	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Hansen Yang	5	−8.9	−9.5	−5.1	−2.8	−3.9	−5.2	−2.2	−4.7	−3.9	−2.2
Team rating	241	+0.9	−0.5	+1.1	+2.1	−0.8	+0.2	+1.1	+1.3	+0.3	+1.6