WAS @ CHA, Mon, Oct 26 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 26·WAS @ CHA·Mon, Oct 26·10 of 10 right

WashingtonWizards

103

CharlotteHornets

110▸

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	WAS	CHA	pred	pick	miss
Final			+7	CHA
LOKI †	−1.7	−0.9	+0.8	CHA	6.2	✓
BPM	−4.5	+1.2	+5.7	CHA	1.3	✓
EPM projection	−0.8	+1.4	+2.2	CHA	4.8	✓
DARKO	−5.1	−1.1	+4.0	CHA	3.0	✓
OpenRAPM	−4.5	+1.6	+6.0	CHA	1.0	✓
EPM	−3.2	+0.6	+3.8	CHA	3.2	✓
xPM	−1.5	+0.7	+2.2	CHA	4.8	✓
Pulse	−3.1	+3.0	+6.1	CHA	0.9	✓
xRAPM	−7.6	+2.9	+10.4	CHA	3.4	✓
LEBRON	−6.1	+1.1	+7.2	CHA	0.2	✓

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

WAS	rating		min		48.4		adds
Trae Young	+2.22	×	38	÷	48.4	=	+1.74
Anthony Davis	+3.28	×	36	÷	48.4	=	+2.44
Bilal Coulibaly	−1.32	×	29	÷	48.4	=	−0.79
Kyshawn George	−0.64	×	29	÷	48.4	=	−0.39
Alex Sarr	+0.35	×	26	÷	48.4	=	+0.19
Bub Carrington	−4.20	×	28	÷	48.4	=	−2.43
Tre Johnson	−2.40	×	23	÷	48.4	=	−1.14
Khris Middleton	−3.21	×	13	÷	48.4	=	−0.86
Deandre Ayton	−1.24	×	12	÷	48.4	=	−0.31
Justin Champagnie	+1.40	×	4	÷	48.4	=	+0.12
Will Riley	−3.33	×	4	÷	48.4	=	−0.28
WAS team rating (sum)			242				−1.71

CHA	rating		min		48		adds
Brandon Miller	+1.67	×	36	÷	48	=	+1.25
Dennis Schröder	−2.00	×	36	÷	48	=	−1.50
Moussa Diabaté	+3.33	×	35	÷	48	=	+2.43
Sion James	−1.70	×	29	÷	48	=	−1.02
Naz Reid	+1.19	×	29	÷	48	=	+0.72
Grayson Allen	−0.79	×	28	÷	48	=	−0.46
Tidjane Salaün	−3.12	×	16	÷	48	=	−1.04
Ryan Kalkbrenner	−1.37	×	13	÷	48	=	−0.37
Christian Anderson	−2.00	×	11	÷	48	=	−0.46
Royce O'Neale	−3.24	×	7	÷	48	=	−0.47
CHA team rating (sum)			240				−0.93

predicted margin = CHA − WAS = −0.93 − (−1.71) = +0.78 → pick CHA

final margin = 110 − 103 = +7 → won CHA ✓

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

WAS	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Trae Young	38	+2.2	+2.8	+2.6	+1.2	+0.1	+2.9	+0.9	+1.8	−0.5	+0.9
Anthony Davis	36	+3.3	+2.4	+2.8	+2.2	+1.1	+3.0	+3.3	+2.5	+1.3	+1.6
Bilal Coulibaly	29	−1.3	−2.1	−1.1	−1.8	+0.3	−1.8	−0.9	−0.7	−1.2	−1.7
Kyshawn George	29	−0.6	−1.2	−0.2	−2.1	−0.7	−0.9	0.0	0.0	−0.7	−1.1
Alex Sarr	26	+0.4	+0.7	−1.1	−2.2	+0.6	−1.7	+0.8	−0.4	−3.4	−0.3
Bub Carrington	28	−4.2	−4.7	−2.9	−3.9	−4.0	−4.2	−4.4	−4.7	−4.6	−5.6
Tre Johnson	23	−2.4	−5.0	−2.1	−2.8	−4.0	−3.2

CHA	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Brandon Miller	36	+1.7	+1.6	+2.4	+1.2	+2.4	+1.6	+1.8	+2.8	+3.8	+1.3
Dennis Schröder	36	−2.0	−2.2	−1.4	−2.5	−2.9	−1.6	−2.3	−1.5	−1.9	−0.9
Moussa Diabaté	35	+3.3	+1.7	+2.0	+1.2	+4.0	+2.3	+3.9	+3.0	+0.7	+1.8
Sion James	29	−1.7	−2.0	−0.1	−1.4	+0.2	−0.2	−1.6	−0.8	+1.5	−0.3
Naz Reid	29	+1.2	+0.9	+0.8	+0.7	+0.3	+0.7	+0.6	+1.6	+2.0	+1.1
Grayson Allen	28	−0.8	+2.1	+0.8	+0.9	−0.1	+1.0	−0.1	+0.8	+0.3	+0.5
Tidjane Salaün	16	−3.1	−0.8	−3.0	−1.8	−2.3	−3.0	−2.5	−2.6	−1.6	−1.2
Ryan Kalkbrenner	13	−1.4	+1.8	+0.3	+0.4	+0.7	−0.7	+1.7	+1.3	−0.5	−0.5
Christian Anderson	11	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Royce O'Neale	7	−3.2	+0.7	−2.0	−1.5	−1.2	−2.4	−1.3	−1.2	−1.7	−2.1
Team rating	240	−0.9	+1.2	+1.4	−1.1	+1.6	+0.6	+0.7	+3.0	+2.9	+1.1